Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $42.5400 (-0.3%) ($42.5000 - $42.7300) on Mon. Nov. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $42.5400(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.68(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.63(-0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.16(0.9%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2013	40.89	42.16	42.63				42.54(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	0	54	7.98	55%	0.07	83	0.73%	0	0.5	61	0
2	Nov_8_2013	40.86	42.07	42.64	42.68			42.67(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	2	77	15.16	55%	0.07	84.3	0.73%	0	0.8	69	0
3	Nov_7_2013	40.83	41.97	42.58	42.65			42.46(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	85	11.99	55%	0.05	84.1	0.73%	0	0.6	65	0
4	Nov_6_2013	40.81	41.87	42.53	42.63			43.09(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	7	98	7.36	59%	0.05	77.9	0.71%	0	1.3	76	0
5	Nov_5_2013	40.79	41.71	42.42	42.52			42.63(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10000	-4	105	6.8	56%	0.05	70.8	0.7%	0	0.9	78	0

6	Nov_4_2013	40.77	41.57	42.35	42.58			42.55(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	-10000	-1	145	5.31	56%	0.05	68.6	0.7%	0	1	81	0
7	Nov_1_2013	40.75	41.43	42.24	42.59			42.51(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	7	165	9.06	58%	0.02	67.3	0.7%	0	1	73	0
8	Oct_31_2013	40.74	41.29	42.14	42.49			42.35(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-10000	6	175	11.59	58%	0.05	62.3	0.7%	0	1	73	0
9	Oct_30_2013	40.72	41.16	42.06	42.4			42.57(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	7	188	11.87	58%	0.05	58	0.7%	0	1.3	77	0
10	Oct_29_2013	40.7	41.03	41.9	42.29			42.94(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	-10000	14	209	15.13	61%	0.07	56.5	0.69%	0	1.9	87	0

11	Oct_28_2013	40.67	40.88	41.64	42.09			42.57(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	-10000	17	207	33.01	59%	0.05	52.9	0.68%	0	1.8	86	0
12	Oct_25_2013	40.65	40.74	41.46	41.85			42.02(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	56	-10000	7	204	4.3	56%	0.02	45	0.67%	0	1.5	85	0
13	Oct_24_2013	40.64	40.64	41.31	41.75			41.92(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	-10000	7	211	7.75	56%	0.05	41.2	0.67%	0	1.6	80	0
14	Oct_23_2013	40.62	40.56	41.17	41.65			42(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	-10000	15	222	8.81	56%	0.05	34.1	0.67%	0	1.9	82	0
15	Oct_22_2013	40.6	40.47	40.94	41.44			41.92(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	66	-10000	22	199	9.4	56%	0.02	19.6	0.67%	0	2.2	76	0

16	Oct_21_2013	40.59	40.39	40.72	41.13			41.4(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	-10000	10	157	3.65	52%	0.05	2.8	0.65%	0	1.7	70	0
17	Oct_18_2013	40.57	40.36	40.55	41			41.49(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	-10000	13	140	5.86	52%	0	-5.9	0.66%	0	2.1	75	0
18	Oct_17_2013	40.57	40.32	40.37	40.82			41.43(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	-10000	15	111	8.5	52%	0.02	-13.2	0.66%	0	2	64	0
19	Oct_16_2013	40.56	40.31	40.2	40.62			40.97(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	19	78	7.03	48%	-0.02	-13.9	0.64%	0	1.1	54	0
20	Oct_15_2013	40.57	40.34	40.09	40.37			40.37(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	11	37	7.79	43%	0	-15.1	0.62%	0	0.1	50	0

21	Oct_14_2013	40.57	40.38	40.05	40.23			40.74(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	17	9	6.81	46%	-0.02	-13.2	0.61%	0	0.6	49	0
22	Oct_11_2013	40.58	40.38	39.95	40.02			40.57(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	12	-44	5.45	52%	-0.02	-15.2	0.61%	0	0.3	43	0
23	Oct_10_2013	40.59	40.38	39.91	39.87			40.45(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	11	-79	6.1	52%	-0.02	-15.2	0.64%	0	0.1	38	0
24	Oct_9_2013	40.6	40.39	39.9	39.73			39.71(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-4	-138	8.71	45%	-0.05	-16.6	0.59%	0	-1.1	18	0
25	Oct_8_2013	40.62	40.43	39.96	39.78			39.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-45	-10000	-6	-163	9.53	49%		-9.6	0.6%	0	-1.3	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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