Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $41.7200 (1.19%) ($40.9900 - $41.7500) on Wed. Sep. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $41.7200(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.03(1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.55(2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.12(3.99%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2013	40.78	40.12	40.55	41.03			41.72(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	56	-10000	18	170	12.76	49%	0.02	29	0.74%	0	2.5	96	0
2	Sep_17_2013	40.77	40.03	40.34	40.76			41.23(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	50	-10000	16	151	5.34	48%	0	10.6	0.72%	0	2.3	82	0
3	Sep_16_2013	40.77	39.96	40.17	40.53			41.09(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	-10000	14	119	8.18	48%	0.02	-15	0.73%	0	2.5	73	0
4	Sep_13_2013	40.76	39.92	40	40.33			40.72(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	13	85	5.06	48%	-0.02	-48.4	0.72%	0	2.1	55	0
5	Sep_12_2013	40.77	39.9	39.87	40.14			40.39(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	10	52	7	45%	0	-81.1	0.73%	0	1.4	55	0

6	Sep_11_2013	40.77	39.93	39.75	39.99			40.38(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	9	24	6.81	45%	-0.02	-77.9	0.73%	0	1	58	0
7	Sep_10_2013	40.78	39.97	39.66	39.86			40.09(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10000	8	-2	6.5	45%	-0.02	-73.2	0.72%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Sep_9_2013	40.79	40.03	39.66	39.74			40.05(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	8	-23	10.35	45%	-0.02	-71.3	0.72%	0	0	47	0
9	Sep_6_2013	40.8	40.1	39.62	39.63			39.77(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	5	-39	6.98	49%	-0.02	-68.9	0.74%	0	-0.5	39	0
10	Sep_5_2013	40.81	40.19	39.64	39.56			39.67(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	6	-58	4.53	46%	-0.02	-66	0.74%	0	-0.7	33	0

11	Sep_4_2013	40.82	40.28	39.65	39.47			39.73(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	3	-94	6.47	46%	-0.02	-66	0.75%	0	-0.7	26	0
12	Sep_3_2013	40.83	40.38	39.68	39.43			39.48(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-127	15.16	49%	0	-63.3	0.75%	0	-1	19	0
13	Aug_30_2013	40.83	40.49	39.75	39.48			39.51(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-9	-142	8.67	44%	-0.02	-58.6	0.79%	0	-1.1	20	0
14	Aug_29_2013	40.84	40.6	39.82	39.62			39.39(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-8	-151	7.45	40%	-0.02	-53.6	0.79%	0	-1.3	17	0
15	Aug_28_2013	40.85	40.72	39.93	39.74			39.23(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-44	-10000	-7	-156	18.63	40%	-0.02	-52.1	0.82%	0	-1.7	12	0

16	Aug_27_2013	40.86	40.84	40.13	39.85			39.53(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-7	-155	11.46	40%	-0.02	-53.4	0.81%	0	-1.7	20	0
17	Aug_26_2013	40.87	40.94	40.32	39.97			39.74(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-41	-10000	-5	-147	17.41	40%	0	-55.6	0.82%	0	-1.6	20	0
18	Aug_23_2013	40.87	41.02	40.48	40.05			40.21(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-0	-145	3.35	45%	0.02	-57.7	0.82%	0	-1.2	22	0
19	Aug_22_2013	40.86	41.09	40.61	40.06			39.98(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-7	-154	5.5	45%	0	-62.1	0.81%	0	-1.7	17	0
20	Aug_21_2013	40.86	41.18	40.79	40.17			39.81(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-50	-10000	-17	-149	7.9	45%	0	-62.8	0.81%	0	-2.2	13	0

21	Aug_20_2013	40.86	41.26	40.97	40.45			40.12(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-10000	-16	-122	7.17	43%	0	-59.4	0.81%	0	-2.2	28	0
22	Aug_19_2013	40.86	41.34	41.13	40.72			40.11(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-10000	-16	-91	5.13	43%	-0.02	-49.1	0.82%	0	-2.6	28	0
23	Aug_16_2013	40.87	41.43	41.3	40.99			40.29(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-27	-10000	-15	-61	8.61	43%	0.02	-39.1	0.81%	0	-3	29	0
24	Aug_15_2013	40.86	41.51	41.46	41.24			40.53(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-20	-10000	-15	-33	8.85	46%	0.02	-23.1	0.81%	0	-3.6	31	0
25	Aug_14_2013	40.85	41.57	41.59	41.49			41.19(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-4	-10000	-4	-2	4.87	52%		7.9	0.8%	0	-2.4	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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