Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $41.1900 (-0.7%) ($41.1700 - $41.5000) on Wed. Aug. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $41.1900(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-0%)    SHY(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $41.57
5 Day Moving Average   $41.49(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.59(-0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.57(-0.91%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2013	40.85	41.57	41.59	41.49			41.19(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-4	-10000	-4	-2	4.87	52%	0.02	7.9	0.8%	0	-2.4	40	0
2	Aug_13_2013	40.84	41.58	41.59	41.56			41.48(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-3	5	4.18	52%	0.05	38.9	0.81%	0	-0.7	55	0
3	Aug_12_2013	40.82	41.57	41.59	41.61			41.45(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-3	7	4.21	52%	0.07	66.7	0.81%	0	-0.8	45	0
4	Aug_9_2013	40.79	41.58	41.59	41.67			41.57(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-2	10	4.27	50%	0.05	111.1	0.81%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Aug_8_2013	40.77	41.57	41.61	41.71			41.75(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	0	10	2.92	50%	0.07	163.9	0.81%	0	1.2	47	0

6	Aug_7_2013	40.74	41.56	41.59	41.7			41.53(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	-10000	1	11	5.99	52%	0.07	141.5	0.81%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Aug_6_2013	40.71	41.52	41.58	41.68			41.73(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	4	8	3.15	50%	0.07	123.9	0.82%	0	0.7	59	0
8	Aug_5_2013	40.68	41.47	41.56	41.61			41.78(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	4	6	5.01	50%	0.1	104.8	0.82%	0	0.9	63	0
9	Aug_2_2013	40.64	41.41	41.56	41.54			41.75(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	2	2	3.96	50%	0.07	85.3	0.82%	0	0.8	56	0
10	Aug_1_2013	40.61	41.33	41.55	41.5			41.73(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	-10000	2	4	6.21	50%	0.07	84.4	0.82%	0	0.9	58	0

11	Jul_31_2013	40.58	41.24	41.53	41.47			41.39(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	-10000	0	2	6.74	49%	0.07	72.1	0.82%	0	0.3	50	0
12	Jul_30_2013	40.55	41.18	41.53	41.46			41.4(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-3	11	5.73	49%	0.05	71.3	0.82%	0	0.4	67	0
13	Jul_29_2013	40.53	41.11	41.53	41.51			41.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-3	26	7.49	49%	0.07	73.1	0.82%	0	0.5	69	0
14	Jul_26_2013	40.5	41.03	41.53	41.56			41.53(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10000	-3	49	6.07	49%	0.07	71.3	0.82%	0	0.7	76	0
15	Jul_25_2013	40.47	40.95	41.54	41.62			41.58(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	0	79	4.72	49%	0.07	76.4	0.82%	0	0.9	81	0

16	Jul_24_2013	40.44	40.86	41.52	41.61			41.36(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	-0	105	8.26	46%	0.07	70.7	0.82%	0	0.7	81	0
17	Jul_23_2013	40.41	40.77	41.47	41.62			41.63(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	3	120	6.12	47%	0.07	56.3	0.84%	0	1.1	85	0
18	Jul_22_2013	40.38	40.65	41.39	41.57			41.71(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	3	128	7.89	47%	0.1	43	0.85%	0	1.3	87	0
19	Jul_19_2013	40.34	40.54	41.26	41.52			41.8(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	4	139	8.35	50%	0.1	35.6	0.85%	0	1.5	91	0
20	Jul_18_2013	40.3	40.4	41.09	41.45			41.56(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	2	133	7.14	50%	0.07	24.6	0.87%	0	1.4	81	0

21	Jul_17_2013	40.27	40.34	40.93	41.42			41.42(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	40	-10000	7	139	9.37	49%	0.1	25.4	0.87%	0	1.4	81	0
22	Jul_16_2013	40.23	40.32	40.8	41.29			41.34(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	7	141	10.16	52%	0.1	25	0.87%	0	1.3	84	0
23	Jul_15_2013	40.19	40.29	40.66	41.17			41.49(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	11	140	7.08	49%	0.07	23.9	0.9%	0	1.6	88	0
24	Jul_12_2013	40.16	40.24	40.47	40.96			41.43(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	15	125	5.57	49%	0.07	16.7	0.93%	0	1.7	82	0
25	Jul_11_2013	40.13	40.2	40.32	40.68			41.42(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	40	-10000	16	113	12.28	49%		10.4	0.93%	0	1.8	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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