Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 9, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $40.7300 (0.74%) ($40.6300 - $40.8200) on Tue. Jul. 9, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $40.7300(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(-0%)    SHY(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.23(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.13(1.5%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2013	40.06	40.13	40	40.23			40.73(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	9	37	8.94	48%	0	-6.1	0.91%	0	1	42	0
2	Jul_8_2013	40.06	40.13	39.85	40.07			40.43(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	8	-4	7.61	50%	0.07	-12.4	0.91%	0	0.5	41	0
3	Jul_5_2013	40.03	40.12	39.74	39.92			40.03(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	1	-40	10.6	47%	0.13	-15	0.91%	0	-0.2	42	0
4	Jul_3_2013	39.98	40.13	39.66	39.9			39.93(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	2	-67	3.99	46%	0.08	-20.7	0.91%	0	-0.3	39	0
5	Jul_2_2013	39.95	40.14	39.7	39.86			40.01(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	8	-69	5.44	48%	0.08	-30.6	0.92%	0	-0.2	46	0

6	Jul_1_2013	39.92	40.16	39.8	39.72			39.96(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	7	-73	11.8	48%	0.05	-47.2	0.93%	0	-0.3	43	0
7	Jun_28_2013	39.9	40.19	39.89	39.59			39.67(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-10000	3	-84	11.03	48%	0.05	-63.2	0.92%	0	-0.9	39	0
8	Jun_27_2013	39.88	40.21	39.99	39.54			39.92(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	8	-87	10.03	48%	0.08	-75.7	0.92%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Jun_26_2013	39.85	40.25	40.07	39.39			39.74(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-30	-10000	-7	-99	18.13	49%	0.08	-85.9	0.92%	0	-0.8	47	0
10	Jun_25_2013	39.82	40.32	40.14	39.52			39.33(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-20	-90	13	48%	0.05	-76.8	0.92%	0	-1.5	45	0

11	Jun_24_2013	39.8	40.44	40.27	39.89			39.27(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-19	-56	24.97	48%	0.05	-63.5	0.92%	0	-1.9	39	0
12	Jun_21_2013	39.78	40.56	40.42	40.25			39.43(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-14	-20	22.74	49%	0.08	-51	0.92%	0	-1.8	40	0
13	Jun_20_2013	39.75	40.65	40.55	40.51			39.17(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-10	-10000	-17	11	32.3	50%	0.05	-47.6	0.92%	0	-2.6	44	0
14	Jun_19_2013	39.73	40.77	40.68	40.51			40.39(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-10000	0	42	25.8	56%	0.1	-43.9	0.85%	0	-0.8	45	0
15	Jun_18_2013	39.69	40.83	40.65	40.83			41.21(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	8	31	8.44	59%	0.1	-44.8	0.81%	0	0.7	51	0

16	Jun_17_2013	39.65	40.84	40.57	40.7			41.06(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	4	-4	9.88	59%	0.13	-47.7	0.81%	0	0.4	40	0
17	Jun_14_2013	39.6	40.88	40.51	40.63			40.7(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	0	-32	8.45	57%	0.1	-42.3	0.82%	0	-0.3	37	0
18	Jun_13_2013	39.56	40.93	40.51	40.62			40.8(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	7	-51	13.05	57%	0.1	-34.2	0.82%	0	-0.2	43	0
19	Jun_12_2013	39.52	40.99	40.44	40.5			40.38(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	4	-78	14.91	55%	0.1	-31.7	0.81%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Jun_11_2013	39.48	41.06	40.49	40.43			40.58(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	1	-99	20.33	55%	0.03	-31.7	0.8%	0	-0.7	38	0

21	Jun_10_2013	39.47	41.1	40.6	40.41			40.68(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	3	-97	11.19	55%	0.13	-31	0.8%	0	-0.6	39	0
22	Jun_7_2013	39.42	41.12	40.69	40.37			40.68(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	8	-105	18.7	55%	0.1	-34	0.8%	0	-0.7	35	0
23	Jun_6_2013	39.38	41.14	40.75	40.25			40.18(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-8	-137	12.35	53%	0.1	-40.5	0.79%	0	-1.5	29	0
24	Jun_5_2013	39.34	41.2	40.88	40.37			40.01(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-44	-10000	-12	-139	17.08	53%	0.1	-35	0.79%	0	-2	24	0
25	Jun_4_2013	39.3	41.27	41.03	40.56			40.5(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-17	-130	12.96	57%		-27.8	0.77%	0	-1.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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