Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $39.9200 (0.45%) ($39.9000 - $40.2900) on Thu. Jun. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.9200(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(-0%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.99(-7.34%)
Resistance Level   $40.21
5 Day Moving Average   $39.54(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.99(-0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.21(-0.72%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2013	39.88	40.21	39.99	39.54			39.92(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	8	-87	10.03	48%	0.08	-75.7	0.92%	0	-0.5	41	0
2	Jun_26_2013	39.85	40.25	40.07	39.39			39.74(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-30	-10000	-7	-99	18.13	49%	0.08	-85.9	0.92%	0	-0.8	47	0
3	Jun_25_2013	39.82	40.32	40.14	39.52			39.33(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-20	-90	13	48%	0.05	-76.8	0.92%	0	-1.5	45	0
4	Jun_24_2013	39.8	40.44	40.27	39.89			39.27(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-19	-56	24.97	48%	0.05	-63.5	0.92%	0	-1.9	39	0
5	Jun_21_2013	39.78	40.56	40.42	40.25			39.43(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-14	-20	22.74	49%	0.08	-51	0.92%	0	-1.8	40	0

6	Jun_20_2013	39.75	40.65	40.55	40.51			39.17(-3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-10	-10000	-17	11	32.3	50%	0.05	-47.6	0.92%	0	-2.6	44	0
7	Jun_19_2013	39.73	40.77	40.68	40.51			40.39(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-10000	0	42	25.8	56%	0.1	-43.9	0.85%	0	-0.8	45	0
8	Jun_18_2013	39.69	40.83	40.65	40.83			41.21(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	8	31	8.44	59%	0.1	-44.8	0.81%	0	0.7	51	0
9	Jun_17_2013	39.65	40.84	40.57	40.7			41.06(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	4	-4	9.88	59%	0.13	-47.7	0.81%	0	0.4	40	0
10	Jun_14_2013	39.6	40.88	40.51	40.63			40.7(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	0	-32	8.45	57%	0.1	-42.3	0.82%	0	-0.3	37	0

11	Jun_13_2013	39.56	40.93	40.51	40.62			40.8(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	7	-51	13.05	57%	0.1	-34.2	0.82%	0	-0.2	43	0
12	Jun_12_2013	39.52	40.99	40.44	40.5			40.38(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	4	-78	14.91	55%	0.1	-31.7	0.81%	0	-0.9	37	0
13	Jun_11_2013	39.48	41.06	40.49	40.43			40.58(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	1	-99	20.33	55%	0.03	-31.7	0.8%	0	-0.7	38	0
14	Jun_10_2013	39.47	41.1	40.6	40.41			40.68(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	3	-97	11.19	55%	0.13	-31	0.8%	0	-0.6	39	0
15	Jun_7_2013	39.42	41.12	40.69	40.37			40.68(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	8	-105	18.7	55%	0.1	-34	0.8%	0	-0.7	35	0

16	Jun_6_2013	39.38	41.14	40.75	40.25			40.18(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-8	-137	12.35	53%	0.1	-40.5	0.79%	0	-1.5	29	0
17	Jun_5_2013	39.34	41.2	40.88	40.37			40.01(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-44	-10000	-12	-139	17.08	53%	0.1	-35	0.79%	0	-2	24	0
18	Jun_4_2013	39.3	41.27	41.03	40.56			40.5(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-17	-130	12.96	57%	0.13	-27.8	0.77%	0	-1.5	36	0
19	Jun_3_2013	39.25	41.3	41.14	40.82			40.49(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-15	-99	39.02	57%	0.13	-15.7	0.78%	0	-1.6	44	0
20	May_31_2013	39.2	41.34	41.28	41.06			40.05(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-28	-10000	-16	-64	33.82	55%	0.1	0.9	0.77%	0	-2.8	40	0

21	May_30_2013	39.16	41.4	41.48	41.31			40.81(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-9	-22	15.95	59%	0.13	23	0.74%	0	-1.6	50	0
22	May_29_2013	39.11	41.4	41.61	41.45			40.97(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10000	-7	8	21.42	59%	0.15	35.6	0.74%	0	-1.2	48	0
23	May_28_2013	39.05	41.41	41.69	41.56			41.77(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	3	35	15.73	63%	0.26	37.9	0.7%	0	1	59	0
24	May_24_2013	38.95	41.38	41.64	41.51			41.7(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	6	-10000	-3	33	16.02	61%	0.15	33.3	0.71%	0	0.9	63	0
25	May_23_2013	38.89	41.34	41.59	41.56			41.31(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-7	36	12.83	60%		36.8	0.71%	0	-0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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