Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $40.9400 (-0.2%) ($40.7700 - $41.0300) on Tue. Apr. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $40.9400(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(0%)    SHY(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.9(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.9(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.57(0.91%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2013	37.92	40.57	40.9	40.9			40.94(-0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-7	38	11.35	64%	0.13	58.6	0.69%	0	0.8	57	0
2	Apr_29_2013	37.87	40.54	40.89	41			41.02(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10000	-1	67	6.7	64%	0.13	71.1	0.69%	0	1	61	0
3	Apr_26_2013	37.82	40.47	40.8	41.02			40.89(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-1	71	9.48	64%	0.13	76.9	0.68%	0	0.9	60	0
4	Apr_25_2013	37.77	40.42	40.78	41.04			40.9(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	7	98	12.2	64%	0.13	85.5	0.69%	0	1	64	0
5	Apr_24_2013	37.72	40.35	40.74	40.94			40.77(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	4	99	30.02	64%	0.13	84.1	0.69%	0	0.8	59	0

6	Apr_23_2013	37.67	40.3	40.71	40.88			41.43(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	10	115	13.18	68%	0.16	88.4	0.65%	0	2.2	68	0
7	Apr_22_2013	37.61	40.19	40.57	40.75			41.11(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	16	101	5.97	67%	0.13	95.9	0.65%	0	1.9	59	0
8	Apr_19_2013	37.56	40.1	40.47	40.54			41.01(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	5	80	11.23	67%	0.16	94.2	0.65%	0	1.9	63	0
9	Apr_18_2013	37.5	40	40.33	40.48			40.38(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-3	71	10.3	64%	0.11	90.2	0.63%	0	0.8	58	0
10	Apr_17_2013	37.46	39.93	40.29	40.52			40.46(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	2	87	9.76	64%	0.16	91.5	0.63%	0	1	60	0

11	Apr_16_2013	37.4	39.85	40.22	40.5			40.81(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	11	93	10.34	67%	0.13	85.1	0.62%	0	1.7	64	0
12	Apr_15_2013	37.35	39.73	40.15	40.36			40.06(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-10000	-1	97	11.25	64%	0.13	71.5	0.58%	0	0.6	62	0
13	Apr_12_2013	37.3	39.65	40.13	40.37			40.71(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	20	130	5.78	70%	0.11	67.7	0.53%	0	1.7	72	0
14	Apr_11_2013	37.26	39.56	40.03	40.16			40.57(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	12	118	5.97	70%	0.13	63.6	0.53%	0	1.7	75	0
15	Apr_10_2013	37.21	39.46	39.93	40.03			40.37(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	11	114	7.33	70%	0.16	62	0.53%	0	1.5	70	0

16	Apr_9_2013	37.15	39.37	39.86	39.91			40.07(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	-10000	-2	117	6.61	68%	0.13	58.6	0.53%	0	1.2	72	0
17	Apr_8_2013	37.1	39.3	39.78	39.93			40.11(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	150	9.48	68%	0.16	62.7	0.53%	0	1.4	76	0
18	Apr_5_2013	37.04	39.23	39.7	39.86			39.66(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	39	-10000	-2	160	8.53	66%	0.16	65.2	0.53%	0	0.8	70	0
19	Apr_4_2013	36.98	39.17	39.63	39.88			39.95(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10000	7	177	8.89	69%	0.16	70	0.52%	0	1.4	66	0
20	Apr_3_2013	36.92	39.1	39.55	39.81			39.74(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	2	177	11.96	68%	0.14	72.8	0.52%	0	1.2	66	0

21	Apr_2_2013	36.87	39.04	39.45	39.79			40.18(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	-10000	18	197	8.04	79%	0.16	82.4	0.49%	0	2.2	75	0
22	Apr_1_2013	36.81	38.96	39.27	39.61			39.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	136	5.37	77%	0.22	90.5	0.57%	0	1.8	70	0
23	Mar_28_2013	36.73	38.88	39.14	39.52			39.77(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	15	122	5.04	74%	0.14	86.2	0.58%	0	2	71	0
24	Mar_27_2013	36.68	38.79	39.05	39.35			39.61(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	9	102	5.36	74%	0.11	83.3	0.6%	0	2	71	0
25	Mar_26_2013	36.64	38.72	38.95	39.24			39.64(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	-10000	16	94	7.23	70%		78.7	0.6%	0	2.2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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