Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $40.1100 (1.13%) ($39.5200 - $40.1100) on Mon. Apr. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $40.1100(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(0%)    SHY(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.93(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.78(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.3(2.06%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2013	37.1	39.3	39.78	39.93			40.11(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	7	150	9.48	68%	0.16	62.7	0.53%	0	1.4	76	0
2	Apr_5_2013	37.04	39.23	39.7	39.86			39.66(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	39	-10000	-2	160	8.53	66%	0.16	65.2	0.53%	0	0.8	70	0
3	Apr_4_2013	36.98	39.17	39.63	39.88			39.95(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10000	7	177	8.89	69%	0.16	70	0.52%	0	1.4	66	0
4	Apr_3_2013	36.92	39.1	39.55	39.81			39.74(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	2	177	11.96	68%	0.14	72.8	0.52%	0	1.2	66	0
5	Apr_2_2013	36.87	39.04	39.45	39.79			40.18(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	-10000	18	197	8.04	79%	0.16	82.4	0.49%	0	2.2	75	0

6	Apr_1_2013	36.81	38.96	39.27	39.61			39.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	136	5.37	77%	0.22	90.5	0.57%	0	1.8	70	0
7	Mar_28_2013	36.73	38.88	39.14	39.52			39.77(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	15	122	5.04	74%	0.14	86.2	0.58%	0	2	71	0
8	Mar_27_2013	36.68	38.79	39.05	39.35			39.61(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	9	102	5.36	74%	0.11	83.3	0.6%	0	2	71	0
9	Mar_26_2013	36.64	38.72	38.95	39.24			39.64(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	-10000	16	94	7.23	70%	0.14	78.7	0.6%	0	2.2	71	0
10	Mar_25_2013	36.59	38.62	38.84	39.05			39.27(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	15	67	6.28	68%	0.11	67.3	0.61%	0	1.6	64	0

11	Mar_22_2013	36.55	38.55	38.78	38.87			39.3(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	45	6.13	68%	0.11	61.5	0.61%	0	2	67	0
12	Mar_21_2013	36.51	38.49	38.71	38.71			38.94(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	2	27	5.59	59%	0.11	63.6	0.61%	0	1.3	68	0
13	Mar_20_2013	36.47	38.45	38.67	38.69			39.06(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	5	34	6.38	59%	0.08	70.5	0.67%	0	1.8	73	0
14	Mar_19_2013	36.44	38.39	38.67	38.62			38.69(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	1	34	8.3	53%	0.05	77.1	0.66%	0	0.9	68	0
15	Mar_18_2013	36.42	38.36	38.61	38.61			38.37(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-5	47	5.05	51%	0.08	84.3	0.67%	0	0	69	0

16	Mar_15_2013	36.39	38.32	38.62	38.67			38.49(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-2	75	9.1	51%	0.11	80.9	0.66%	0	0.5	75	0
17	Mar_14_2013	36.35	38.28	38.6	38.69			38.85(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	5	83	4.25	54%	0.08	78.4	0.65%	0	1.5	63	0
18	Mar_13_2013	36.32	38.21	38.53	38.63			38.72(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	2	77	4.11	54%	0.11	75.2	0.65%	0	1.3	66	0
19	Mar_12_2013	36.28	38.15	38.47	38.63			38.62(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	0	76	5.32	54%	0.08	73.8	0.66%	0	1.1	67	0
20	Mar_11_2013	36.25	38.09	38.39	38.6			38.66(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	76	3.62	54%	0.08	80	0.66%	0	1.4	65	0

21	Mar_8_2013	36.22	38.03	38.3	38.57			38.62(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	6	80	5.18	54%	0.08	84.3	0.65%	0	1.4	71	0
22	Mar_7_2013	36.19	37.97	38.27	38.49			38.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-10000	7	85	3.38	56%	0.06	89.5	0.66%	0	1.5	71	0
23	Mar_6_2013	36.17	37.91	38.21	38.4			38.55(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	7	86	5.8	56%	0.08	87.7	0.66%	0	1.6	72	0
24	Mar_5_2013	36.14	37.85	38.15	38.31			38.64(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	13	90	8.25	56%	0.08	88.3	0.66%	0	2	75	0
25	Mar_4_2013	36.11	37.76	38.08	38.15			38.51(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	12	80	5.11	56%		75.5	0.66%	0	1.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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