Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $39.0600 (0.96%) ($38.8200 - $39.1300) on Wed. Mar. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $39.0600(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(0%)    SHY(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.69(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.67(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.45(1.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2013	36.47	38.45	38.67	38.69			39.06(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	5	34	6.38	59%	0.08	70.5	0.67%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Mar_19_2013	36.44	38.39	38.67	38.62			38.69(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	1	34	8.3	53%	0.05	77.1	0.66%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Mar_18_2013	36.42	38.36	38.61	38.61			38.37(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-5	47	5.05	51%	0.08	84.3	0.67%	0	0	69	0
4	Mar_15_2013	36.39	38.32	38.62	38.67			38.49(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-2	75	9.1	51%	0.11	80.9	0.66%	0	0.5	75	0
5	Mar_14_2013	36.35	38.28	38.6	38.69			38.85(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	5	83	4.25	54%	0.08	78.4	0.65%	0	1.5	63	0

6	Mar_13_2013	36.32	38.21	38.53	38.63			38.72(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	2	77	4.11	54%	0.11	75.2	0.65%	0	1.3	66	0
7	Mar_12_2013	36.28	38.15	38.47	38.63			38.62(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	0	76	5.32	54%	0.08	73.8	0.66%	0	1.1	67	0
8	Mar_11_2013	36.25	38.09	38.39	38.6			38.66(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	76	3.62	54%	0.08	80	0.66%	0	1.4	65	0
9	Mar_8_2013	36.22	38.03	38.3	38.57			38.62(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	6	80	5.18	54%	0.08	84.3	0.65%	0	1.4	71	0
10	Mar_7_2013	36.19	37.97	38.27	38.49			38.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-10000	7	85	3.38	56%	0.06	89.5	0.66%	0	1.5	71	0

11	Mar_6_2013	36.17	37.91	38.21	38.4			38.55(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	7	86	5.8	56%	0.08	87.7	0.66%	0	1.6	72	0
12	Mar_5_2013	36.14	37.85	38.15	38.31			38.64(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	13	90	8.25	56%	0.08	88.3	0.66%	0	2	75	0
13	Mar_4_2013	36.11	37.76	38.08	38.15			38.51(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	12	80	5.11	56%	0.06	75.5	0.66%	0	1.9	72	0
14	Mar_1_2013	36.09	37.69	37.99	38			38.22(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	14	-10000	-1	60	6.58	54%	0.08	73.3	0.65%	0	1.4	69	0
15	Feb_28_2013	36.06	37.62	37.92	38.01			38.09(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	1	64	8.07	56%	0.06	76	0.65%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Feb_27_2013	36.04	37.56	37.86	38			38.11(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	3	68	6.41	56%	0.06	80.2	0.66%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Feb_26_2013	36.02	37.51	37.8	37.96			37.83(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-2	68	7.66	52%	0.06	83.2	0.65%	0	0.8	67	0
18	Feb_25_2013	36	37.46	37.77	37.99			37.74(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	24	-10000	2	88	7.87	52%	0.03	89	0.66%	0	0.7	74	0
19	Feb_22_2013	35.99	37.41	37.74	37.96			38.26(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	11	97	6.18	61%	0.06	87.8	0.66%	0	2	74	0
20	Feb_21_2013	35.97	37.32	37.66	37.82			38.04(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	9	94	9.75	61%	0.06	86.7	0.66%	0	1.7	76	0

21	Feb_20_2013	35.95	37.25	37.59	37.71			37.92(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	7	88	10.45	61%	0.06	84.1	0.66%	0	1.6	73	0
22	Feb_19_2013	35.93	37.17	37.52	37.62			37.99(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	9	84	8.14	64%	0.06	85.5	0.66%	0	2	72	0
23	Feb_15_2013	35.91	37.1	37.41	37.51			37.61(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	1	67	5.69	63%	0.06	90.5	0.68%	0	1.3	71	0
24	Feb_14_2013	35.89	37.03	37.36	37.49			37.56(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	1	74	7.96	60%	0.06	93.5	0.68%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Feb_13_2013	35.87	36.96	37.29	37.48			37.48(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	3	80	3.17	60%		93.1	0.69%	0	1.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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