Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $37.2600 (1.2%) ($37.0200 - $37.3500) on Tue. Feb. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $37.2600(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(0%)    SHY(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.01(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.88(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(2.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2013	35.79	36.48	36.88	37.01			37.26(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	23	-10000	4	80	7.61	55%	0.06	72.1	0.73%	0	1.5	77	0
2	Feb_4_2013	35.77	36.39	36.8	37.01			36.82(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	0	83	4.5	52%	0.03	80	0.72%	0	0.8	74	0
3	Feb_1_2013	35.76	36.34	36.77	36.95			37.17(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	6	100	4.86	55%	0.03	89.3	0.71%	0	1.6	89	0
4	Jan_31_2013	35.75	36.27	36.68	36.87			36.87(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	5	103	4.37	53%	0.06	100	0.71%	0	1.2	89	0
5	Jan_30_2013	35.73	36.21	36.61	36.81			36.92(-0.19%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	33	-10000	7	111	4.37	53%	0.03	106.9	0.71%	0	1.5	93	0

6	Jan_29_2013	35.72	36.11	36.53	36.72			36.99(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	8	116	4.87	53%	0.03	104	0.71%	0	2	96	0
7	Jan_28_2013	35.71	35.99	36.43	36.62			36.79(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	5	114	5.11	53%	0.06	79.7	0.71%	0	1.7	89	0
8	Jan_25_2013	35.69	35.89	36.35	36.56			36.76(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	7	110	3.93	53%	0	57.9	0.72%	0	1.5	75	0
9	Jan_24_2013	35.69	35.79	36.25	36.47			36.58(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	8	103	4.57	53%	0.03	43.2	0.72%	0	1.4	74	0
10	Jan_23_2013	35.68	35.72	36.15	36.37			36.48(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	86	3.6	49%	0.03	30.9	0.72%	0	1.3	68	0

11	Jan_22_2013	35.67	35.65	36.05	36.31			36.49(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	8	91	3.82	49%	0.03	22.1	0.74%	0	1.4	81	0
12	Jan_18_2013	35.66	35.61	35.95	36.21			36.48(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	8	102	5.66	47%	0.03	17.8	0.75%	0	1.6	84	0
13	Jan_17_2013	35.65	35.56	35.88	36.1			36.33(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	8	111	6.19	47%	0.03	9.6	0.75%	0	1.5	73	0
14	Jan_16_2013	35.64	35.54	35.82	35.99			36.09(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	8	118	3.32	47%	0.03	2.2	0.75%	0	1.1	72	0
15	Jan_15_2013	35.63	35.53	35.78	35.88			36.14(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	10	124	4.27	48%	0	-5.2	0.75%	0	1.3	65	0

16	Jan_14_2013	35.63	35.52	35.66	35.75			36.03(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	7	103	5.08	48%	0.03	-15.2	0.75%	0	1.1	62	0
17	Jan_11_2013	35.62	35.51	35.51	35.65			35.92(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	2	62	3.02	48%	0	-19.7	0.75%	0	0.9	49	0
18	Jan_10_2013	35.62	35.52	35.4	35.63			35.76(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	1	43	4.08	48%	0	-19.3	0.75%	0	0.5	50	0
19	Jan_9_2013	35.62	35.53	35.31	35.62			35.55(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-4	14	4.31	46%	0	-16.7	0.75%	0	0	43	0
20	Jan_8_2013	35.62	35.56	35.26	35.67			35.47(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	8	6	4.51	46%	0	-11.2	0.76%	0	-0.2	42	0

21	Jan_7_2013	35.62	35.59	35.22	35.56			35.57(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	8	-10000	17	-21	3.03	46%	-0.03	-16.1	0.76%	0	-0	44	0
22	Jan_4_2013	35.63	35.59	35.24	35.33			35.81(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	14	-55	5.94	46%	0	-27	0.75%	0	0.4	45	0
23	Jan_3_2013	35.63	35.59	35.22	35.14			35.71(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	14	-88	6.54	46%	0	-35.7	0.76%	0	0.2	43	0
24	Jan_2_2013	35.63	35.61	35.24	34.95			35.8(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-21	-10000	11	-117	10.81	46%	0	-42.2	0.76%	0	0.3	43	0
25	Dec_31_2012	35.63	35.62	35.25	34.8			34.9(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-4	-162	17.88	41%		-46.7	0.68%	0	-1.3	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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