Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $35.6700 (1.48%) ($35.2300 - $35.6700) on Fri. Nov. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $35.6700(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(-0%)    SHY(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.06(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.77(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.97(2%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2012	35.52	34.97	34.77	35.06			35.67(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	26	21	3.06	47%	0	-39	0.67%	0	1.6	54	0
2	Nov_21_2012	35.52	34.95	34.65	34.76			35.15(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	17	-47	3.74	43%	0	-71.8	0.64%	0	0.5	42	0
3	Nov_20_2012	35.52	34.97	34.62	34.57			35.1(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-15	-10000	9	-88	5.46	43%	0	-87.5	0.65%	0	0.3	42	0
4	Nov_19_2012	35.52	35	34.64	34.47			34.97(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-22	-10000	6	-105	8.63	43%	0.03	-89.1	0.65%	0	-0.1	41	0
5	Nov_16_2012	35.51	35.05	34.65	34.4			34.41(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-3	-138	7.03	37%	0	-86.1	0.61%	0	-1.3	25	0

6	Nov_15_2012	35.51	35.14	34.73	34.43			34.19(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-9	-141	6.76	35%	0	-75	0.6%	0	-1.8	27	0
7	Nov_14_2012	35.51	35.24	34.85	34.52			34.2(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-10000	-14	-128	8.88	35%	0.03	-68	0.6%	0	-1.9	27	0
8	Nov_13_2012	35.5	35.34	34.97	34.67			34.58(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-17	-118	4.3	37%	0	-65.3	0.59%	0	-1.5	25	0
9	Nov_12_2012	35.5	35.4	35.05	34.84			34.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-33	-10000	-10	-100	3.3	37%	0.03	-64.6	0.59%	0	-1.6	26	0
10	Nov_9_2012	35.49	35.47	35.14	34.94			34.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-35	-10000	-12	-102	6.35	37%	0.03	-68.1	0.59%	0	-1.8	21	0

11	Nov_8_2012	35.48	35.54	35.21	35.06			34.6(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-41	-10000	-16	-114	7.5	40%	0	-70.2	0.59%	0	-2.1	19	0
12	Nov_7_2012	35.48	35.61	35.28	35.23			34.98(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-8	-111	6.08	43%	0.03	-69.1	0.59%	0	-1.6	27	0
13	Nov_6_2012	35.47	35.68	35.35	35.31			35.4(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	1	-110	3.44	46%	0.03	-63.5	0.57%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	Nov_5_2012	35.46	35.74	35.38	35.3			35.14(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-6	-122	9.44	44%	0.03	-52.7	0.56%	0	-1.5	36	0
15	Nov_2_2012	35.45	35.8	35.48	35.36			35.2(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-1	-96	4.62	47%	0.03	-42.6	0.6%	0	-1.5	38	0

16	Nov_1_2012	35.44	35.85	35.59	35.37			35.41(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-10000	3	-83	4.94	47%	0.03	-39.3	0.61%	0	-1.1	39	0
17	Oct_31_2012	35.43	35.88	35.66	35.34			35.39(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-7	-90	10.61	47%	0.11	-39.6	0.61%	0	-1.2	36	0
18	Oct_26_2012	35.39	35.92	35.73	35.41			35.35(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-6	-88	4.54	55%	0.06	-40	0.62%	0	-1.6	29	0
19	Oct_25_2012	35.37	35.95	35.78	35.48			35.47(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-12	-92	5.16	55%	0.06	-37.9	0.65%	0	-1.4	29	0
20	Oct_24_2012	35.35	35.98	35.82	35.62			35.25(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-36	-10000	-18	-90	4.13	55%	0.06	-34.8	0.65%	0	-2.3	28	0

21	Oct_23_2012	35.33	36.01	35.89	35.83			35.25(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-29	-10000	-16	-66	5.01	53%	0.06	-24.4	0.65%	0	-2.7	34	0
22	Oct_22_2012	35.31	36.04	35.98	36.02			35.73(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-6	-39	5.96	56%	0.06	-13.1	0.64%	0	-1.4	44	0
23	Oct_19_2012	35.29	36.06	36.05	36.09			35.71(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-7	-10000	-3	-20	4.96	56%	0.06	0	0.64%	0	-1.7	44	0
24	Oct_18_2012	35.27	36.08	36.13	36.12			36.14(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	5	3	7.52	60%	0.06	6.9	0.62%	0	0.3	59	0
25	Oct_17_2012	35.25	36.09	36.15	36.06			36.34(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	8	4	5.46	60%		6.9	0.62%	0	1.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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