Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $35.6100 (1.14%) ($35.2300 - $35.7300) on Fri. Jul. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $35.6100(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(-0%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.97(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.09(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.04(1.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2012	34.14	35.04	35.09	34.97			35.61(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	7	-10000	10	-4	6.31	62%	0.09	101.5	0.66%	0	2.4	63	0
2	Jul_26_2012	34.11	34.97	35.05	34.85			35.21(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-5	-10000	-1	-17	5.81	61%	0.06	81.3	0.65%	0	0.9	56	0
3	Jul_25_2012	34.09	34.91	35.02	34.86			34.64(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-13	-22	5.13	59%	0.03	64	0.63%	0	-0.8	41	0
4	Jul_24_2012	34.08	34.88	35.06	35			34.63(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-12	-7	3.92	59%	0.06	56.7	0.63%	0	-0.6	37	0
5	Jul_23_2012	34.06	34.84	35.1	35.13			34.74(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-7	15	6.45	54%	0.03	49.6	0.63%	0	-0.2	46	0

6	Jul_20_2012	34.05	34.8	35.12	35.21			35.05(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	31	6.92	59%	0.06	47.4	0.65%	0	0.5	60	0
7	Jul_19_2012	34.03	34.74	35.11	35.27			35.26(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-10000	5	65	5.98	59%	0.06	42.1	0.65%	0	0.9	79	0
8	Jul_18_2012	34.01	34.69	35.09	35.21			35.31(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	7	80	4.9	59%	0.06	41	0.66%	0	1.1	82	0
9	Jul_17_2012	33.99	34.64	35.06	35.13			35.3(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	6	102	6.21	61%	0.09	41.7	0.66%	0	1.2	83	0
10	Jul_16_2012	33.96	34.59	35.03	35.06			35.15(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	122	3.96	61%	0.06	44	0.67%	0	1.1	83	0

11	Jul_13_2012	33.94	34.55	34.99	35.01			35.33(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	-10000	6	141	5	61%	0.06	45.5	0.66%	0	1.6	80	0
12	Jul_12_2012	33.92	34.51	34.88	34.94			34.94(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	35	-10000	-1	142	6.89	59%	0.06	51.5	0.65%	0	0.9	78	0
13	Jul_11_2012	33.9	34.46	34.79	34.95			34.91(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	-3	140	6.85	60%	0.06	56.6	0.65%	0	1	63	0
14	Jul_10_2012	33.88	34.42	34.68	34.99			34.96(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	-1	136	5.28	57%	0.06	69.4	0.65%	0	1.2	59	0
15	Jul_9_2012	33.86	34.37	34.56	35			34.92(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	3	122	5.36	55%	0.06	78.6	0.66%	0	1.2	58	0

16	Jul_6_2012	33.84	34.32	34.46	34.97			34.96(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	-10000	15	113	3.68	55%	0.06	89.1	0.67%	0	1.5	60	0
17	Jul_5_2012	33.82	34.26	34.35	34.8			35(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	17	75	4.47	55%	0.09	82.9	0.68%	0	1.8	56	0
18	Jul_3_2012	33.79	34.2	34.26	34.6			35.13(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	-10000	24	53	2.15	53%	0.06	65.1	0.67%	0	2.1	66	0
19	Jul_2_2012	33.77	34.1	34.18	34.33			34.97(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	23	21	8.83	55%	0.09	41.5	0.67%	0	2.1	63	0
20	Jun_29_2012	33.74	34.02	34.11	34.07			34.77(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	9	-10000	15	-8	8.01	56%	0.06	19	0.68%	0	1.8	63	0

21	Jun_28_2012	33.72	33.94	34.06	33.9			34.13(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	6	-34	5.75	52%	0.03	-0.9	0.63%	0	0.5	51	0
22	Jun_27_2012	33.71	33.92	34.09	33.84			33.98(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-4	-30	3.77	52%	0.06	-3.8	0.63%	0	0.2	55	0
23	Jun_26_2012	33.69	33.91	34.1	33.88			33.78(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-11	-18	4.59	54%	0.03	1.8	0.63%	0	-0.4	55	0
24	Jun_25_2012	33.68	33.93	34.13	34			33.7(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-14	22	5.72	54%	0.03	16.1	0.63%	0	-0.6	62	0
25	Jun_22_2012	33.67	33.94	34.16	34.15			33.91(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-7	65	4.08	54%		32.1	0.63%	0	-0.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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