Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 30, 2012

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $34.0800 (0.59%) ($33.9200 - $34.1500) on Fri. Mar. 30, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $34.0800(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(70%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.96(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.82(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.67(1.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2012	32.45	33.67	33.82	33.96			34.08(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	9	64	3.78	73%	0.09	73.8	0.4%	0	1.5	67	0
2	Mar_29_2012	32.42	33.63	33.77	33.9			33.88(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	6	52	5.05	70%	0.09	71.3	0.4%	0	0.9	67	0
3	Mar_28_2012	32.39	33.59	33.76	33.86			33.89(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	8	62	3.54	70%	0.06	71.3	0.4%	0	1.1	70	0
4	Mar_27_2012	32.37	33.56	33.75	33.81			33.97(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	11	78	3.31	70%	0.09	72.3	0.4%	0	1.5	78	0
5	Mar_26_2012	32.34	33.52	33.73	33.74			33.99(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	32	-10000	12	92	5.56	70%	0.09	71.6	0.4%	0	1.7	80	0

6	Mar_23_2012	32.31	33.47	33.69	33.66			33.76(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	5	82	3.11	64%	0.09	67.9	0.4%	0	1.1	62	0
7	Mar_22_2012	32.28	33.44	33.66	33.63			33.68(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-10000	-3	81	5.47	64%	0.09	63	0.41%	0	0.9	64	0
8	Mar_21_2012	32.25	33.4	33.63	33.65			33.65(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10000	-3	95	4.17	64%	0.09	64.4	0.41%	0	0.9	65	0
9	Mar_20_2012	32.22	33.36	33.58	33.67			33.6(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-7	92	4.79	76%	0.09	63.3	0.43%	0	0.8	61	0
10	Mar_19_2012	32.19	33.32	33.54	33.72			33.62(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	1	90	4.21	76%	0.06	68.8	0.5%	0	1	64	0

11	Mar_16_2012	32.17	33.29	33.51	33.71			33.6(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	2	102	5.35	76%	0.06	77.8	0.5%	0	1	66	0
12	Mar_15_2012	32.15	33.27	33.47	33.69			33.8(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	11	106	5.29	85%	0.09	81.1	0.51%	0	1.8	73	0
13	Mar_14_2012	32.12	33.22	33.41	33.6			33.74(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	14	95	5.73	85%	0.09	84.5	0.53%	0	1.9	74	0
14	Mar_13_2012	32.09	33.17	33.36	33.48			33.84(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	35	-10000	17	89	5.13	85%	0.09	84.6	0.53%	0	2.6	81	0
15	Mar_12_2012	32.06	33.11	33.28	33.33			33.59(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	6	68	7.41	82%	0.06	84.1	0.52%	0	2.1	73	0

16	Mar_9_2012	32.04	33.06	33.23	33.28			33.47(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	6	58	5.23	82%	0.06	85.1	0.54%	0	1.9	61	0
17	Mar_8_2012	32.02	33.02	33.19	33.23			33.36(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	4	49	5.8	66%	0.09	89.1	0.55%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Mar_7_2012	31.99	32.98	33.15	33.19			33.13(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-2	43	7.28	62%	0.06	86.6	0.57%	0	0.7	61	0
19	Mar_6_2012	31.97	32.95	33.12	33.21			33.08(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	47	9.77	62%	0.09	91.8	0.57%	0	0.5	60	0
20	Mar_5_2012	31.94	32.92	33.1	33.23			33.36(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	6	58	6.07	74%	0.06	94.9	0.56%	0	1.7	73	0

21	Mar_2_2012	31.92	32.88	33.06	33.17			33.21(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	3	60	4.04	74%	0.09	94.9	0.56%	0	1.3	74	0
22	Mar_1_2012	31.89	32.84	33.04	33.14			33.18(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	5	67	7.83	74%	0.09	91.1	0.56%	0	1.3	69	0
23	Feb_29_2012	31.86	32.79	33.01	33.09			33.23(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	9	66	12.84	83%	0.09	76.5	0.62%	0	1.6	75	0
24	Feb_28_2012	31.83	32.73	32.97	33			33.17(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	6	58	4.88	86%	0.06	60.9	0.64%	0	1.5	75	0
25	Feb_27_2012	31.81	32.67	32.93	32.94			33.06(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	13	-10000	0	53	5.54	86%		46.9	0.66%	0	1.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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