Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $32.6800 (0.55%) ($32.4600 - $32.7200) on Thu. Feb. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $32.6800(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(70%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.52(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.36(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.34(1.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2012	31.43	32.34	32.36	32.52			32.68(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	5	22	5.98	62%	0.1	43.4	0.75%	0	2	56	0
2	Feb_8_2012	31.4	32.32	32.33	32.46			32.5(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	4	14	4.69	62%	0.06	30	0.8%	0	1.1	52	0
3	Feb_7_2012	31.38	32.31	32.34	32.41			32.49(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	7	14	11.21	62%	0.06	19.6	0.81%	0	1.2	54	0
4	Feb_6_2012	31.36	32.29	32.3	32.32			32.46(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	7	1	7.38	62%	0.06	-7	0.82%	0	1.2	55	0
5	Feb_3_2012	31.34	32.28	32.29	32.23			32.48(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	1	-10000	4	-7	6.66	62%	0.03	-39.5	0.82%	0	1.4	59	0

6	Feb_2_2012	31.33	32.28	32.29	32.18			32.38(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-4	-10000	-1	-11	5.45	62%	0.06	-53.5	0.83%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Feb_1_2012	31.31	32.27	32.28	32.19			32.26(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10000	-5	-7	9.54	55%	0.06	-60.5	0.84%	0	-0.1	53	0
8	Jan_31_2012	31.29	32.28	32.29	32.25			32.03(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-1	-10000	-2	1	5.87	50%	0.06	-53.5	0.87%	0	-1.8	42	0
9	Jan_30_2012	31.27	32.3	32.31	32.28			32.01(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-4	-10000	-6	4	9.64	50%	0.06	-45	0.89%	0	-2.2	46	0
10	Jan_27_2012	31.25	32.33	32.31	32.36			32.22(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-2	15	5.68	50%	0.06	-21.6	0.89%	0	-0.9	54	0

11	Jan_26_2012	31.23	32.33	32.33	32.39			32.44(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	1	17	6.76	50%	0.06	2.3	0.89%	0	0.6	51	0
12	Jan_25_2012	31.21	32.33	32.3	32.38			32.56(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	3	13	7.76	50%	0.06	41.9	0.9%	0	1.5	54	0
13	Jan_24_2012	31.19	32.35	32.3	32.34			32.19(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-1	3	5.89	46%	0.03	63	0.9%	0	-1.1	38	0
14	Jan_23_2012	31.18	32.35	32.28	32.35			32.37(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	21.8	46%	0.06	82.6	0.91%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Jan_20_2012	31.16	32.36	32.26	32.3			32.4(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	3	-13	11.02	51%	0.06	102.2	0.93%	0	0.3	36	0

16	Jan_19_2012	31.14	32.34	32.26	32.26			32.39(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	3	-20	5.96	51%	0.06	104.3	0.93%	0	0.3	46	0
17	Jan_18_2012	31.12	32.29	32.25	32.22			32.33(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	5.15	51%	0.03	87	0.93%	0	0.3	37	0
18	Jan_17_2012	31.11	32.26	32.26	32.21			32.26(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	1	-33	6.75	51%	0.1	64.2	0.93%	0	0	38	0
19	Jan_13_2012	31.08	32.24	32.28	32.2			32.14(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-33	5.59	51%	0.06	34.3	0.93%	0	-0.3	45	0
20	Jan_12_2012	31.06	32.21	32.33	32.21			32.17(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-3	-29	4.73	51%	0.06	26.4	0.94%	0	-0.1	45	0

21	Jan_11_2012	31.04	32.18	32.36	32.25			32.18(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-17	5.38	51%	0.06	22.9	0.94%	0	0	58	0
22	Jan_10_2012	31.02	32.16	32.41	32.29			32.32(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-2	11	5.05	55%	0.1	22.6	0.94%	0	0.4	74	0
23	Jan_9_2012	30.99	32.15	32.43	32.32			32.21(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	32	3.3	55%	0.06	27.3	0.96%	0	0.1	68	0
24	Jan_6_2012	30.97	32.15	32.45	32.37			32.16(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-6	47	6.37	55%	0.1	29.7	0.96%	0	0.1	58	0
25	Jan_5_2012	30.94	32.12	32.47	32.47			32.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-1	76	4.56	55%		37.4	0.96%	0	0.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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