Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 24, 2012

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $32.1900 (-0.56%) ($32.1600 - $32.2700) on Tue. Jan. 24, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $32.1900(-0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(70%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $32.35
5 Day Moving Average   $32.34(-0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.28(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.35(-0.49%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2012	31.19	32.35		32.34			32.19(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-1	3	5.89	46%	0.03	63	0.9%	0	-1.1	38	0
2	Jan_23_2012	31.18	32.35	32.28	32.35			32.37(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	21.8	46%	0.06	82.6	0.91%	0	0.1	42	0
3	Jan_20_2012	31.16	32.36	32.26	32.3			32.4(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	3	-13	11.02	51%	0.06	102.2	0.93%	0	0.3	36	0
4	Jan_19_2012	31.14	32.34	32.26	32.26			32.39(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	3	-20	5.96	51%	0.06	104.3	0.93%	0	0.3	46	0
5	Jan_18_2012	31.12	32.29	32.25	32.22			32.33(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	5.15	51%	0.03	87	0.93%	0	0.3	37	0

6	Jan_17_2012	31.11	32.26	32.26	32.21			32.26(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	1	-33	6.75	51%	0.1	64.2	0.93%	0	0	38	0
7	Jan_13_2012	31.08	32.24	32.28	32.2			32.14(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-33	5.59	51%	0.06	34.3	0.93%	0	-0.3	45	0
8	Jan_12_2012	31.06	32.21	32.33	32.21			32.17(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-3	-29	4.73	51%	0.06	26.4	0.94%	0	-0.1	45	0
9	Jan_11_2012	31.04	32.18	32.36	32.25			32.18(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-17	5.38	51%	0.06	22.9	0.94%	0	0	58	0
10	Jan_10_2012	31.02	32.16	32.41	32.29			32.32(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-2	11	5.05	55%	0.1	22.6	0.94%	0	0.4	74	0

11	Jan_9_2012	30.99	32.15	32.43	32.32			32.21(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	32	3.3	55%	0.06	27.3	0.96%	0	0.1	68	0
12	Jan_6_2012	30.97	32.15	32.45	32.37			32.16(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-6	47	6.37	55%	0.1	29.7	0.96%	0	0.1	58	0
13	Jan_5_2012	30.94	32.12	32.47	32.47			32.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-1	76	4.56	55%	0.06	37.4	0.96%	0	0.6	68	0
14	Jan_4_2012	30.92	32.1	32.44	32.49			32.39(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-3	86	6.86	55%	0.1	47.3	0.96%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Jan_3_2012	30.89	32.07	32.35	32.54			32.46(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-1	88	20.76	51%	0.13	64.8	0.96%	0	1	63	0

16	Dec_30_2011	30.85	32.04	32.26	32.56			32.49(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	2	82	2.94	51%	0.1	84	0.99%	0	1.1	57	0
17	Dec_29_2011	30.82	32	32.19	32.53			32.64(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	4	83	2.93	51%	0.13	105.9	0.99%	0	1.7	64	0
18	Dec_28_2011	30.78	31.96	32.08	32.47			32.47(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	6	70	3.65	47%	0.1	129.1	1%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Dec_27_2011	30.75	31.9	31.99	32.38			32.63(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	15	58	3.92	47%	0.16	124.1	1.03%	0	2	58	0
20	Dec_23_2011	30.7	31.81	31.9	32.13			32.57(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	13	28	5.23	51%	0.1	77.9	1.04%	0	1.6	58	0

21	Dec_22_2011	30.67	31.7	31.83	31.91			32.34(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	7	9	4.14	47%	0.07	63.5	1.04%	0	1.4	58	0
22	Dec_21_2011	30.65	31.6	31.76	31.8			32.35(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	-10000	10	-3	8.07	44%	0.07	44	1.07%	0	1.4	56	0
23	Dec_20_2011	30.63	31.52	31.72	31.63			32.01(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	4	-20	6.06	44%	0.03	28.2	1.1%	0	0.9	51	0
24	Dec_19_2011	30.62	31.45	31.71	31.56			31.36(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-4	-18	4.63	39%	0.03	18.2	1.07%	0	-0.2	56	0
25	Dec_16_2011	30.61	31.43	31.77	31.63			31.49(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10000	-7	4	9.37	39%		18.8	1.07%	0	0.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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