Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $32.6300 (0.18%) ($32.5500 - $32.7200) on Tue. Dec. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $32.6300(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(70%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(63%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.38(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.99(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.9(2.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2011	30.75	31.9	31.99	32.38			32.63(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	15	58	3.92	47%	0.16	124.1	1.03%	0	2	58	0
2	Dec_23_2011	30.7	31.81	31.9	32.13			32.57(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	13	28	5.23	51%	0.1	77.9	1.04%	0	1.6	58	0
3	Dec_22_2011	30.67	31.7	31.83	31.91			32.34(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	7	9	4.14	47%	0.07	63.5	1.04%	0	1.4	58	0
4	Dec_21_2011	30.65	31.6	31.76	31.8			32.35(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	-10000	10	-3	8.07	44%	0.07	44	1.07%	0	1.4	56	0
5	Dec_20_2011	30.63	31.52	31.72	31.63			32.01(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	4	-20	6.06	44%	0.03	28.2	1.1%	0	0.9	51	0

6	Dec_19_2011	30.62	31.45	31.71	31.56			31.36(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-4	-18	4.63	39%	0.03	18.2	1.07%	0	-0.2	56	0
7	Dec_16_2011	30.61	31.43	31.77	31.63			31.49(-1.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-4	-10000	-7	4	9.37	39%	0	18.8	1.07%	0	0.1	63	0
8	Dec_15_2011	30.61	31.41	31.77	31.74			31.81(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	2	40	7.24	39%	0.03	22.7	1.07%	0	0.7	73	0
9	Dec_14_2011	30.6	31.37	31.8	31.71			31.49(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-7	61	5.65	39%	0	23.8	1.07%	0	0.2	72	0
10	Dec_13_2011	30.6	31.36	31.85	31.82			31.65(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-4	95	6.46	39%	0.03	27.6	1.08%	0	0.5	67	0

11	Dec_12_2011	30.59	31.34	31.81	31.89			31.72(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-2	115	5.89	39%	0	31.3	1.08%	0	0.7	68	0
12	Dec_9_2011	30.59	31.33	31.73	31.93			32.01(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	4	123	3.89	36%	0	37.9	1.07%	0	1.2	62	0
13	Dec_8_2011	30.59	31.28	31.58	31.87			31.68(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-2	105	5.22	36%	0	37	1.1%	0	0.7	60	0
14	Dec_7_2011	30.59	31.23	31.45	31.91			32.05(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	2	100	5.95	42%	0	39.3	1.09%	0	1.5	63	0
15	Dec_6_2011	30.59	31.2	31.3	31.88			31.97(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	9	88	5.99	42%	0.03	49.7	1.11%	0	1.5	57	0

16	Dec_5_2011	30.58	31.16	31.16	31.72			31.93(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	13	66	7.18	42%	0.03	46.1	1.11%	0	1.6	58	0
17	Dec_2_2011	30.57	31.11	31.06	31.5			31.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	15	39	5.69	40%	0	31	1.12%	0	1.4	51	0
18	Dec_1_2011	30.57	31.08	30.98	31.23			31.85(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	18	12	11.69	40%	0.03	10.1	1.13%	0	1.8	58	0
19	Nov_30_2011	30.56	31.02	30.89	30.91			31.9(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	7	-10000	15	-16	7.08	40%	0	-15.9	1.13%	0	2.3	62	0
20	Nov_29_2011	30.56	30.95	30.82	30.65			31.17(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-7	-10000	7	-49	4.81	39%	0	-43.4	1.09%	0	0.6	44	0

21	Nov_28_2011	30.56	30.94	30.81	30.53			30.85(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-18	-10000	-2	-66	6.76	39%	-0.03	-56.6	1.1%	0	-0.3	45	0
22	Nov_25_2011	30.57	30.97	30.87	30.57			30.37(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-7	-58	3.22	33%	-0.1	-50.4	1.09%	0	-1.6	44	0
23	Nov_23_2011	30.6	31.04	30.95	30.69			30.26(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-9	-48	5.09	38%	-0.03	-35.3	1.1%	0	-2.2	40	0
24	Nov_22_2011	30.61	31.09	31.02	30.85			30.59(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-9	-33	5.78	38%	0	-21	1.12%	0	-1.6	50	0
25	Nov_21_2011	30.61	31.1	31.11	31.01			30.56(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-8	-1	21.79	38%		-7.5	1.12%	0	-1.9	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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