Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $31.0400 (-1.49%) ($31.0400 - $31.4300) on Mon. Oct. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $31.0400(-1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(64%)    QQQ(60%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.24(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.17(-0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.76(0.91%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2011	30.61	30.76	31.17	31.24			31.04(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-2	38	8.27	42%	0	57.8	1.4%	0	0.4	59	0
2	Oct_28_2011	30.61	30.67	31.14	31.24			31.51(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	0	45	11.99	43%	0	51.8	1.39%	0	1.2	65	0
3	Oct_27_2011	30.61	30.58	31.07	31.28			31.59(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	6	58	21.68	42%	0.03	54.6	1.39%	0	1.5	72	0
4	Oct_26_2011	30.6	30.5	30.97	31.15			31.19(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	58	5.29	42%	0	56	1.38%	0	1.1	71	0
5	Oct_25_2011	30.6	30.42	30.92	31.07			30.88(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	-0	67	13.39	42%	0	52.2	1.38%	0	0.8	72	0

6	Oct_24_2011	30.6	30.39	30.89	31.08			31.25(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	6	85	9.76	42%	0	51.3	1.37%	0	1.4	80	0
7	Oct_21_2011	30.6	30.33	30.82	30.96			31.47(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	28	-10000	6	94	13.73	43%	-0.03	43.1	1.37%	0	1.9	87	0
8	Oct_20_2011	30.61	30.23	30.68	30.84			30.97(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	3	92	6.28	41%	-0.03	29.1	1.36%	0	1.3	71	0
9	Oct_19_2011	30.62	30.15	30.57	30.77			30.8(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	1	87	7.4	42%	-0.03	15.1	1.36%	0	1.3	62	0
10	Oct_18_2011	30.63	30.11	30.46	30.75			30.89(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	4	87	14.98	42%	0	10.7	1.37%	0	1.5	67	0

11	Oct_17_2011	30.63	30.09	30.32	30.67			30.66(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	1	71	5.77	42%	-0.03	11	1.37%	0	1.2	54	0
12	Oct_14_2011	30.64	30.08	30.18	30.65			30.87(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	8	62	4.21	42%	-0.03	14.5	1.37%	0	1.6	59	0
13	Oct_13_2011	30.65	30.06	30.06	30.49			30.63(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	52	4.14	42%	-0.07	13.3	1.36%	0	1.1	63	0
14	Oct_12_2011	30.67	30.07	29.99	30.34			30.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	11	50	7.72	42%	-0.03	6.6	1.36%	0	1.3	65	0
15	Oct_11_2011	30.68	30.05	29.88	30.11			30.48(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	10	27	5.44	41%	-0.07	-9.4	1.36%	0	0.9	54	0

16	Oct_10_2011	30.7	30.03	29.84	29.91			30.54(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	13	7	5.68	41%	-0.03	-21.7	1.36%	0	1.1	47	0
17	Oct_7_2011	30.71	30.03	29.78	29.65			30.07(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	4	-26	10.81	40%	-0.1	-41.2	1.35%	0	0.2	43	0
18	Oct_6_2011	30.74	30	29.73	29.57			29.9(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-10000	-0	-52	9.94	40%	-0.07	-51.9	1.35%	0	-0.2	39	0
19	Oct_5_2011	30.76	30.04	29.68	29.58			29.55(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-1	-72	9.95	40%	-0.1	-51.2	1.34%	0	-1	34	0
20	Oct_4_2011	30.79	30.1	29.73	29.61			29.51(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-7	-80	15.18	40%	-0.1	-52.8	1.34%	0	-1.2	40	0

21	Oct_3_2011	30.82	30.13	29.83	29.76			29.23(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-8	-63	17.14	40%	-0.1	-49.7	1.35%	0	-1.9	42	0
22	Sep_30_2011	30.85	30.19	29.97	29.93			29.66(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-8	-10000	2	-39	14.88	43%	-0.06	-43.7	1.34%	0	-1.2	47	0
23	Sep_29_2011	30.87	30.25	30.08	29.89			29.97(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	5	-31	8.66	44%	-0.06	-37.4	1.34%	0	-0.7	51	0
24	Sep_28_2011	30.89	30.3	30.16	29.79			29.68(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-3	-41	12.3	44%	-0.06	-37.9	1.33%	0	-1.4	39	0
25	Sep_27_2011	30.91	30.35	30.25	29.85			30.25(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-13	-10000	-4	-40	15.29	46%		-29.6	1.32%	0	-0.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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