Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $30.0700 (1.93%) ($29.5300 - $30.0700) on Mon. Sep. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $30.0700(1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(64%)    QQQ(60%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $30.37
5 Day Moving Average   $29.93(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.24(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.37(-0.99%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2011	30.92	30.37		29.93			30.07(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-36	12.09	46%	-0.06	-13.4	1.31%	0	-0.7	49	0
2	Sep_23_2011	30.94	30.38	30.24	30.03			29.5(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-14	-37	13.09	42%	-0.06	-0.7	1.29%	0	-2	41	0
3	Sep_22_2011	30.96	30.41	30.3	30.3			29.44(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-18	-10000	-15	-25	19.98	41%	-0.06	21.1	1.3%	0	-2.5	36	0
4	Sep_21_2011	30.98	30.46	30.43	30.59			30.01(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-4	-10000	-5	-1	12.11	43%	-0.03	53.3	1.28%	0	-1.4	39	0
5	Sep_20_2011	30.99	30.48	30.51	30.68			30.64(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	5	12	7.14	46%	-0.03	67.6	1.25%	0	0.5	47	0

6	Sep_19_2011	31	30.43	30.47	30.58			30.58(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	6	-3	6.74	46%	-0.03	47.5	1.26%	0	0.4	48	0
7	Sep_16_2011	31.01	30.38	30.44	30.47			30.84(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	8	-10	12.83	47%	-0.03	34.8	1.25%	0	1.2	60	0
8	Sep_15_2011	31.02	30.33	30.43	30.31			30.86(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	2	-15	9.79	45%	0	28.9	1.26%	0	1.3	63	0
9	Sep_14_2011	31.02	30.29	30.42	30.27			30.5(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-14	12.34	46%	-0.03	49.6	1.26%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Sep_13_2011	31.03	30.27	30.45	30.32			30.14(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-1	8.86	46%	-0.03	59.1	1.26%	0	-0.3	50	0

11	Sep_12_2011	31.04	30.26	30.51	30.34			30.03(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	15	10.44	46%	-0.03	74.2	1.26%	0	-0.6	57	0
12	Sep_9_2011	31.05	30.24	30.51	30.4			30(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-8	27	12.02	45%	-0.03	70.4	1.27%	0	-0.6	58	0
13	Sep_8_2011	31.06	30.21	30.53	30.56			30.68(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	-10000	-2	49	6.4	47%	0	69.8	1.24%	0	1	64	0
14	Sep_7_2011	31.06	30.1	30.5	30.56			30.76(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	0	57	8.99	47%	0	41.9	1.24%	0	1.1	56	0
15	Sep_6_2011	31.06	30.04	30.45	30.6			30.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-5	61	11.78	45%	0	37	1.22%	0	0.3	53	0

16	Sep_2_2011	31.06	29.97	30.4	30.7			30.34(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	-10000	2	69	10.87	43%	0	25.7	1.22%	0	0.6	56	0
17	Sep_1_2011	31.06	29.94	30.33	30.67			30.78(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	9	72	11.73	44%	0	17.8	1.21%	0	1.3	67	0
18	Aug_31_2011	31.06	29.88	30.23	30.5			30.89(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	6	63	8.99	45%	0	0	1.22%	0	1.6	72	0
19	Aug_30_2011	31.06	29.85	30.15	30.39			30.79(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	5	83	10.71	45%	0.03	-9.6	1.22%	0	1.6	77	0
20	Aug_29_2011	31.05	29.81	30.07	30.29			30.71(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	12	85	13.13	45%	0	-23.1	1.23%	0	1.6	60	0

21	Aug_26_2011	31.05	29.8	29.99	30.07			30.17(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	7	84	9.42	43%	0	-38.4	1.21%	0	0.6	62	0
22	Aug_25_2011	31.05	29.83	29.93	29.95			29.92(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	3	68	13.77	42%	0	-47.4	1.2%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Aug_24_2011	31.05	29.88	29.86	29.9			30.38(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	2	60	12.64	43%	0	-51.5	1.19%	0	0.7	56	0
24	Aug_23_2011	31.05	29.9	29.66	29.87			30.25(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	2	27	12.72	43%	0	-51.8	1.19%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Aug_22_2011	31.05	29.95	29.58	29.83			29.64(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	-3	8	8.85	40%		-51.5	1.16%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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