Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $31.1600 (-0.64%) ($30.9900 - $31.2800) on Mon. Jul. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $31.1600(-0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $31.28
5 Day Moving Average   $31.32(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.47(-0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.28(-0.38%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2011	30.86		31.47	31.32			31.16(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-7	31	5.92	47%	0.03	14.7	0.61%	0	-0.4	64	0
2	Jul_15_2011	30.85	31.28	31.51	31.39			31.36(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-8	68	10.52	49%	0.06	24.5	0.61%	0	0.2	72	0
3	Jul_14_2011	30.83	31.27	31.5	31.47			31.27(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-11	92	6.83	50%	0.06	29.4	0.61%	0	0	62	0
4	Jul_13_2011	30.81	31.27	31.48	31.58			31.41(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-5	114	5.9	50%	0.06	35.8	0.61%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Jul_12_2011	30.79	31.25	31.42	31.63			31.41(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	27	-10000	-1	111	5.63	50%	0.03	44.3	0.61%	0	0.5	51	0

6	Jul_11_2011	30.78	31.23	31.36	31.64			31.51(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	1	98	8.31	50%	0.07	44.3	0.61%	0	0.8	52	0
7	Jul_8_2011	30.76	31.2	31.28	31.63			31.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	10	88	5.74	52%	0.07	38.7	0.61%	0	1.6	61	0
8	Jul_7_2011	30.74	31.17	31.19	31.53			31.85(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	-10000	18	65	7.48	52%	0.07	27.3	0.61%	0	2.2	63	0
9	Jul_6_2011	30.72	31.13	31.11	31.36			31.63(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	18	43	8.71	50%	0.07	0	0.6%	0	1.9	65	0
10	Jul_5_2011	30.7	31.1	31.07	31.19			31.46(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	15	12	7.25	50%	0.1	-42.9	0.6%	0	1.5	50	0

11	Jul_1_2011	30.67	31.08	31.06	31.05			31.47(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	13	-10000	18	-4	8.45	50%	0.1	-83.1	0.6%	0	1.8	56	0
12	Jun_30_2011	30.64	31.07	31.02	30.88			31.23(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	9	-32	10.18	49%	0.03	-112.2	0.59%	0	0.7	56	0
13	Jun_29_2011	30.63	31.09	31.01	30.8			30.99(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-10000	-3	-55	9.81	48%	0.07	-97.9	0.58%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Jun_28_2011	30.61	31.13	31	30.83			30.81(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-12	-61	19.1	46%	0.03	-75.2	0.58%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Jun_27_2011	30.6	31.2	31.06	30.94			30.75(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-13	-33	5.04	46%	0.07	-65.6	0.58%	0	-1.2	45	0

16	Jun_24_2011	30.58	31.27	31.09	31.06			30.61(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-12	-13	8.76	48%	0.03	-58	0.58%	0	-1.6	42	0
17	Jun_23_2011	30.57	31.33	31.13	31.17			30.86(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-7	-4	18.62	50%	0.07	-58.6	0.58%	0	-1.2	42	0
18	Jun_22_2011	30.55	31.38	31.13	31.23			31.14(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	6	2	9.31	53%	0.07	-59.1	0.57%	0	-0.6	41	0
19	Jun_21_2011	30.53	31.43	31.17	31.18			31.34(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-1	-36	12.76	57%	0.1	-61.2	0.56%	0	-0.2	37	0
20	Jun_20_2011	30.5	31.46	31.14	31.19			31.37(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	7	-68	8.47	57%	0.07	-58.6	0.58%	0	-0.2	33	0

21	Jun_17_2011	30.48	31.51	31.12	31.13			31.14(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-10000	6	-110	13.67	56%	0.07	-56.6	0.57%	0	-0.8	35	0
22	Jun_16_2011	30.46	31.57	31.13	31.08			31.16(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10000	-2	-142	10.21	52%	0.07	-55.1	0.57%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	Jun_15_2011	30.44	31.62	31.17	31.1			30.91(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-4	-142	24.78	48%	0.03	-48.4	0.6%	0	-1.4	35	0
24	Jun_14_2011	30.43	31.69	31.27	31.14			31.38(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-30	-10000	7	-141	10.59	50%	0.07	-43.7	0.58%	0	-0.6	37	0
25	Jun_13_2011	30.41	31.72	31.35	31.08			31.05(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-2	-154	10	47%		-42.4	0.57%	0	-1.3	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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