Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $31.8600 (-0.65%) ($31.7300 - $31.9600) on Wed. May. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $31.8600(-0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $31.87
5 Day Moving Average   $32.15(-0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.16(-0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.87(-0.03%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2011	30.14	31.87	32.16	32.15			31.86(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-9	93	23.02	62%	0.1	82.7	0.54%	0	-0	68	0
2	May_24_2011	30.11	31.84	32.15	32.23			32.07(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-10000	-2	118	7.35	64%	0.1	86.9	0.53%	0	0.6	64	0
3	May_23_2011	30.08	31.79	32.12	32.25			32.1(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	32	-10000	-1	130	7.64	64%	0.07	84.4	0.53%	0	0.7	63	0
4	May_20_2011	30.06	31.73	32.07	32.26			32.32(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	5	136	12.33	64%	0.13	85.3	0.53%	0	1.4	71	0
5	May_19_2011	30.02	31.66	31.98	32.22			32.42(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	7	128	11.1	64%	0.1	83.5	0.53%	0	1.7	76	0

6	May_18_2011	29.99	31.59	31.88	32.16			32.24(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	13	119	10.31	63%	0.1	86.8	0.54%	0	1.5	75	0
7	May_17_2011	29.96	31.51	31.81	32.05			32.19(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	10	110	13.99	64%	0.1	80.7	0.54%	0	1.5	78	0
8	May_16_2011	29.93	31.44	31.75	31.96			32.12(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	13	115	11.34	64%	0.07	78.6	0.54%	0	1.5	80	0
9	May_13_2011	29.91	31.37	31.69	31.85			32.11(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	16	120	6.65	64%	0.1	80.3	0.54%	0	1.7	82	0
10	May_12_2011	29.88	31.3	31.63	31.71			32.15(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	43	-10000	19	116	10.35	64%	0.1	79.4	0.54%	0	2.1	80	0

11	May_11_2011	29.85	31.22	31.56	31.55			31.68(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	102	7.08	62%	0.07	76	0.52%	0	1.2	75	0
12	May_10_2011	29.83	31.16	31.51	31.54			31.74(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	2	118	7.62	62%	0.07	78.1	0.52%	0	1.5	80	0
13	May_9_2011	29.81	31.09	31.44	31.54			31.55(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	0	128	5.2	61%	0.1	79.8	0.52%	0	1.2	79	0
14	May_6_2011	29.78	31.03	31.37	31.52			31.44(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-10000	-2	133	10.21	61%	0.07	77.7	0.51%	0	1	69	0
15	May_5_2011	29.76	30.98	31.32	31.54			31.36(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-10000	-1	147	17.02	61%	0.07	82.4	0.51%	0	0.9	70	0

16	May_4_2011	29.74	30.92	31.28	31.55			31.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	-10000	9	169	11.45	65%	0.07	84.9	0.51%	0	1.5	82	0
17	May_3_2011	29.72	30.85	31.19	31.48			31.64(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	16	169	10.32	65%	0.1	86.7	0.51%	0	1.8	84	0
18	May_2_2011	29.69	30.77	31.1	31.35			31.56(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	18	155	7.72	65%	0.07	86.4	0.51%	0	1.8	84	0
19	Apr_29_2011	29.67	30.7	31.02	31.21			31.52(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	-10000	16	144	16.05	66%	0.1	85.8	0.52%	0	2	86	0
20	Apr_28_2011	29.64	30.62	30.94	31.08			31.43(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	44	-10000	14	133	5.72	63%	0.07	85	0.52%	0	2.1	80	0

21	Apr_27_2011	29.62	30.54	30.85	30.97			31.23(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	-10000	12	118	7.17	58%	0.1	91.5	0.53%	0	1.9	78	0
22	Apr_26_2011	29.59	30.47	30.77	30.87			31.03(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	8	106	6.73	57%	0.07	90.7	0.55%	0	1.6	78	0
23	Apr_25_2011	29.57	30.41	30.71	30.8			30.82(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-1	102	6.38	55%	0.1	86.9	0.54%	0	1.1	76	0
24	Apr_21_2011	29.54	30.35	30.66	30.81			30.9(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	5	113	5.67	55%	0.07	88.6	0.54%	0	1.4	81	0
25	Apr_20_2011	29.52	30.29	30.6	30.77			30.89(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	9	124	6.84	56%		93.3	0.54%	0	1.5	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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