Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 9, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $31.5500 (0.35%) ($31.3900 - $31.5900) on Mon. May. 9, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $31.5500(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.52(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.44(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.09(1.48%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2011	29.81	31.09	31.44				31.55(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	0	128	5.2	61%	0.1	79.8	0.52%	0	1.2	79	0
2	May_6_2011	29.78	31.03	31.37	31.52			31.44(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-10000	-2	133	10.21	61%	0.07	77.7	0.51%	0	1	69	0
3	May_5_2011	29.76	30.98	31.32	31.54			31.36(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-10000	-1	147	17.02	61%	0.07	82.4	0.51%	0	0.9	70	0
4	May_4_2011	29.74	30.92	31.28	31.55			31.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	-10000	9	169	11.45	65%	0.07	84.9	0.51%	0	1.5	82	0
5	May_3_2011	29.72	30.85	31.19	31.48			31.64(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	16	169	10.32	65%	0.1	86.7	0.51%	0	1.8	84	0

6	May_2_2011	29.69	30.77	31.1	31.35			31.56(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	18	155	7.72	65%	0.07	86.4	0.51%	0	1.8	84	0
7	Apr_29_2011	29.67	30.7	31.02	31.21			31.52(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	-10000	16	144	16.05	66%	0.1	85.8	0.52%	0	2	86	0
8	Apr_28_2011	29.64	30.62	30.94	31.08			31.43(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	44	-10000	14	133	5.72	63%	0.07	85	0.52%	0	2.1	80	0
9	Apr_27_2011	29.62	30.54	30.85	30.97			31.23(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	39	-10000	12	118	7.17	58%	0.1	91.5	0.53%	0	1.9	78	0
10	Apr_26_2011	29.59	30.47	30.77	30.87			31.03(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	8	106	6.73	57%	0.07	90.7	0.55%	0	1.6	78	0

11	Apr_25_2011	29.57	30.41	30.71	30.8			30.82(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-1	102	6.38	55%	0.1	86.9	0.54%	0	1.1	76	0
12	Apr_21_2011	29.54	30.35	30.66	30.81			30.9(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	5	113	5.67	55%	0.07	88.6	0.54%	0	1.4	81	0
13	Apr_20_2011	29.52	30.29	30.6	30.77			30.89(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	9	124	6.84	56%	0.1	93.3	0.54%	0	1.5	83	0
14	Apr_19_2011	29.49	30.22	30.54	30.7			30.73(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	6	121	7.27	56%	0.07	92.8	0.54%	0	1.2	78	0
15	Apr_18_2011	29.47	30.15	30.48	30.65			30.67(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	6	126	10.03	56%	0.07	90.2	0.54%	0	1.2	80	0

16	Apr_15_2011	29.45	30.09	30.43	30.6			30.84(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	-10000	15	140	8.86	58%	0.07	79.5	0.53%	0	1.6	89	0
17	Apr_14_2011	29.43	30	30.35	30.48			30.71(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	9	126	6.52	58%	0.07	65	0.54%	0	1.5	88	0
18	Apr_13_2011	29.41	29.91	30.27	30.41			30.53(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	6	122	5.32	56%	0.07	52.1	0.53%	0	1.2	86	0
19	Apr_12_2011	29.39	29.83	30.22	30.36			30.51(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	9	136	9.89	58%	0.07	42.2	0.53%	0	1.4	89	0
20	Apr_11_2011	29.37	29.77	30.15	30.29			30.41(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	6	136	6.8	58%	0.03	34.8	0.54%	0	1.4	89	0

21	Apr_8_2011	29.36	29.72	30.08	30.24			30.25(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	138	7.29	58%	0.07	34.5	0.53%	0	1.2	85	0
22	Apr_7_2011	29.34	29.69	30.02	30.2			30.34(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	10	155	4.33	58%	0.07	35.5	0.54%	0	1.6	93	0
23	Apr_6_2011	29.32	29.66	29.96	30.12			30.3(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	-10000	9	165	6.28	58%	0.07	32.1	0.54%	0	1.6	93	0
24	Apr_5_2011	29.3	29.63	29.87	30.05			30.16(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	-10000	9	176	4.45	58%	0.03	36.4	0.54%	0	1.5	93	0
25	Apr_4_2011	29.29	29.61	29.79	29.98			30.13(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	11	170	2.62	58%		36.5	0.54%	0	1.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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