Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $30.6700 (-0.55%) ($30.5400 - $30.7400) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $30.6700(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.65(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.48(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.15(1.72%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2011	29.47	30.15	30.48	30.65			30.67(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	6	126	10.03	56%	0.07	90.2	0.54%	0	1.2	80	0
2	Apr_15_2011	29.45	30.09	30.43	30.6			30.84(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	-10000	15	140	8.86	58%	0.07	79.5	0.53%	0	1.6	89	0
3	Apr_14_2011	29.43	30	30.35	30.48			30.71(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	9	126	6.52	58%	0.07	65	0.54%	0	1.5	88	0
4	Apr_13_2011	29.41	29.91	30.27	30.41			30.53(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	6	122	5.32	56%	0.07	52.1	0.53%	0	1.2	86	0
5	Apr_12_2011	29.39	29.83	30.22	30.36			30.51(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	9	136	9.89	58%	0.07	42.2	0.53%	0	1.4	89	0

6	Apr_11_2011	29.37	29.77	30.15	30.29			30.41(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	6	136	6.8	58%	0.03	34.8	0.54%	0	1.4	89	0
7	Apr_8_2011	29.36	29.72	30.08	30.24			30.25(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	138	7.29	58%	0.07	34.5	0.53%	0	1.2	85	0
8	Apr_7_2011	29.34	29.69	30.02	30.2			30.34(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	10	155	4.33	58%	0.07	35.5	0.54%	0	1.6	93	0
9	Apr_6_2011	29.32	29.66	29.96	30.12			30.3(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	-10000	9	165	6.28	58%	0.07	32.1	0.54%	0	1.6	93	0
10	Apr_5_2011	29.3	29.63	29.87	30.05			30.16(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	-10000	9	176	4.45	58%	0.03	36.4	0.54%	0	1.5	93	0

11	Apr_4_2011	29.29	29.61	29.79	29.98			30.13(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	-10000	11	170	2.62	58%	0.07	36.5	0.54%	0	1.5	70	0
12	Apr_1_2011	29.27	29.57	29.72	29.89			30.07(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	9	150	5.22	58%	0.03	28.7	0.54%	0	1.6	60	0
13	Mar_31_2011	29.26	29.54	29.62	29.82			29.92(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	6	112	4.6	58%	0.03	23.5	0.54%	0	1.3	52	0
14	Mar_30_2011	29.25	29.53	29.53	29.77			29.98(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	14	83	10.21	58%	0.03	25.5	0.54%	0	1.6	53	0
15	Mar_29_2011	29.24	29.5	29.41	29.66			29.82(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	11	24	3.79	57%	0.03	13.7	0.53%	0	1.1	45	0

16	Mar_28_2011	29.23	29.5	29.35	29.57			29.68(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	6	-15	6.12	57%	0	3.3	0.53%	0	0.7	46	0
17	Mar_25_2011	29.23	29.48	29.35	29.52			29.69(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	17	-23	4.58	57%	0.03	-4.3	0.53%	0	0.8	53	0
18	Mar_24_2011	29.22	29.47	29.33	29.39			29.69(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	18	-44	5.22	57%	0.03	-19.6	0.54%	0	0.8	51	0
19	Mar_23_2011	29.21	29.47	29.32	29.25			29.42(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	15	-78	5.39	55%	0	-38.6	0.53%	0	-0.2	43	0
20	Mar_22_2011	29.21	29.46	29.36	29.13			29.37(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-21	-10000	3	-92	5.48	55%	0.03	-50	0.53%	0	-0.3	50	0

21	Mar_21_2011	29.2	29.47	29.4	29.11			29.41(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-25	-10000	-3	-92	5.92	55%	0.03	-47.8	0.53%	0	-0.2	49	0
22	Mar_18_2011	29.19	29.49	29.41	29.13			29.05(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-19	-108	7.22	51%	0	-41.1	0.5%	0	-1.6	38	0
23	Mar_17_2011	29.19	29.53	29.46	29.27			28.98(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-10000	-19	-78	7.94	48%	0.03	-25	0.5%	0	-2.1	41	0
24	Mar_16_2011	29.18	29.56	29.54	29.41			28.84(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-32	-10000	-29	-39	13.05	51%	0	-11.5	0.51%	0	-3.1	42	0
25	Mar_15_2011	29.18	29.59	29.61	29.63			29.26(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-8	-10000	-14	12	12.94	56%		20.4	0.49%	0	-2.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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