Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 22, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $29.5900 (-0.7%) ($29.5000 - $29.7700) on Tue. Feb. 22, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $29.5900(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(66%)    XLK(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.61(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.56(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.39(0.68%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2011	29.01		29.56	29.61			29.59(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	3	92	16.82	58%	0.1	22.4	0.49%	0	0.8	67	0
2	Feb_18_2011	28.98	29.39	29.53	29.59			29.8(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	33	-10000	7	109	5.52	65%	0.07	23.5	0.48%	0	1.6	78	0
3	Feb_17_2011	28.96	29.37	29.48	29.54			29.72(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	8	109	6.71	65%	0.07	24.4	0.5%	0	1.5	72	0
4	Feb_16_2011	28.94	29.35	29.42	29.54			29.52(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	0	90	4.12	58%	0.03	21.3	0.5%	0	0.8	56	0
5	Feb_15_2011	28.93	29.35	29.37	29.48			29.44(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-1	68	5.23	58%	0.07	27.8	0.52%	0	0.5	45	0

6	Feb_14_2011	28.91	29.34	29.34	29.49			29.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	3	53	5.83	58%	0.03	33.3	0.52%	0	0.5	44	0
7	Feb_11_2011	28.9	29.33	29.29	29.47			29.58(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	8	27	6.77	58%	0.07	38.9	0.52%	0	1.2	49	0
8	Feb_10_2011	28.88	29.32	29.23	29.41			29.42(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	5	-10000	7	-3	5.8	56%	0.07	36.1	0.52%	0	0.5	47	0
9	Feb_9_2011	28.86	29.31	29.21	29.36			29.53(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	15	-19	2.59	56%	0.03	27.8	0.52%	0	1	51	0
10	Feb_8_2011	28.85	29.28	29.2	29.25			29.48(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	10	-38	3.62	56%	0.07	8.3	0.52%	0	1	54	0

11	Feb_7_2011	28.83	29.26	29.21	29.17			29.34(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	12	-45	5.26	56%	0.07	-8.3	0.52%	0	0.4	49	0
12	Feb_4_2011	28.81	29.25	29.23	29.08			29.3(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	9	-60	4.64	60%	0.03	-26.4	0.52%	0	0.2	49	0
13	Feb_3_2011	28.8	29.24	29.24	29.01			29.13(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	-4	-72	3.31	58%	0.07	-37.5	0.54%	0	-0.5	45	0
14	Feb_2_2011	28.78	29.25	29.27	29.04			28.98(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-14	-66	8.21	58%	0.03	-36.1	0.54%	0	-1.3	42	0
15	Feb_1_2011	28.77	29.27	29.31	29.15			29.09(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-14	-33	11.65	58%	0.07	-23.5	0.54%	0	-0.9	55	0

16	Jan_31_2011	28.75	29.28	29.34	29.26			28.88(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-18	-2	6.83	56%	0.03	-5.9	0.53%	0	-2	48	0
17	Jan_28_2011	28.74	29.3	29.39	29.4			28.98(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	0	-10000	-13	40	9.73	56%	0.07	11.5	0.53%	0	-1.8	52	0
18	Jan_27_2011	28.72	29.32	29.39	29.5			29.26(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	15	-10000	-4	73	15.26	61%	0.07	27.3	0.52%	0	-0.4	55	0
19	Jan_26_2011	28.7	29.33	29.43	29.53			29.56(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	7	89	6.03	66%	0.07	36.4	0.51%	0	1.4	61	0
20	Jan_25_2011	28.68	29.31	29.38	29.48			29.64(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	8	70	9.11	66%	0.03	29.4	0.51%	0	2.2	65	0

21	Jan_24_2011	28.67	29.29	29.32	29.42			29.54(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	5	46	4.96	66%	0.1	18.2	0.51%	0	1.9	57	0
22	Jan_21_2011	28.64	29.29	29.27	29.38			29.49(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	4	27	4.51	66%	0.07	4.9	0.51%	0	1.7	57	0
23	Jan_20_2011	28.62	29.28	29.24	29.35			29.44(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	5	16	15.49	69%	0.1	0	0.51%	0	1.3	55	0
24	Jan_19_2011	28.59	29.28	29.22	29.31			29.29(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	7	7	5.17	61%	0.11	-10.5	0.52%	0	0.2	45	0
25	Jan_18_2011	28.56	29.27	29.21	29.26			29.35(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	8	-7	3.32	61%		-15.8	0.54%	0	0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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