Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 4, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $29.3000 (0.58%) ($29.0800 - $29.3200) on Fri. Feb. 4, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $29.3000(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.08(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.23(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.25(0.17%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2011	28.81	29.25	29.23	29.08			29.3(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	9	-60	4.64	60%	0.03	-26.4	0.52%	0	0.2	49	0
2	Feb_3_2011	28.8	29.24	29.24	29.01			29.13(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	-4	-72	3.31	58%	0.07	-37.5	0.54%	0	-0.5	45	0
3	Feb_2_2011	28.78	29.25	29.27	29.04			28.98(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-14	-66	8.21	58%	0.03	-36.1	0.54%	0	-1.3	42	0
4	Feb_1_2011	28.77	29.27	29.31	29.15			29.09(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-14	-33	11.65	58%	0.07	-23.5	0.54%	0	-0.9	55	0
5	Jan_31_2011	28.75	29.28	29.34	29.26			28.88(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-18	-2	6.83	56%	0.03	-5.9	0.53%	0	-2	48	0

6	Jan_28_2011	28.74	29.3	29.39	29.4			28.98(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	0	-10000	-13	40	9.73	56%	0.07	11.5	0.53%	0	-1.8	52	0
7	Jan_27_2011	28.72	29.32	29.39	29.5			29.26(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	15	-10000	-4	73	15.26	61%	0.07	27.3	0.52%	0	-0.4	55	0
8	Jan_26_2011	28.7	29.33	29.43	29.53			29.56(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	7	89	6.03	66%	0.07	36.4	0.51%	0	1.4	61	0
9	Jan_25_2011	28.68	29.31	29.38	29.48			29.64(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	8	70	9.11	66%	0.03	29.4	0.51%	0	2.2	65	0
10	Jan_24_2011	28.67	29.29	29.32	29.42			29.54(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	5	46	4.96	66%	0.1	18.2	0.51%	0	1.9	57	0

11	Jan_21_2011	28.64	29.29	29.27	29.38			29.49(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	4	27	4.51	66%	0.07	4.9	0.51%	0	1.7	57	0
12	Jan_20_2011	28.62	29.28	29.24	29.35			29.44(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	5	16	15.49	69%	0.1	0	0.51%	0	1.3	55	0
13	Jan_19_2011	28.59	29.28	29.22	29.31			29.29(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	7	7	5.17	61%	0.11	-10.5	0.52%	0	0.2	45	0
14	Jan_18_2011	28.56	29.28	29.22	29.26			29.35(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	8	-7	3.32	61%	0.14	-15.8	0.54%	0	0.7	49	0
15	Jan_14_2011	28.52	29.27	29.22	29.2			29.33(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	8	-17	4.1	61%	0.11	-21.1	0.54%	0	0.5	53	0

16	Jan_13_2011	28.49	29.27	29.21	29.14			29.33(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-6	-10000	4	-34	4.78	63%	0.11	-15.9	0.54%	0	0.4	44	0
17	Jan_12_2011	28.46	29.27	29.2	29.14			29.27(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-11	-10000	0	-45	4.49	63%	0.11	-11.4	0.55%	0	-0.1	42	0
18	Jan_11_2011	28.43	29.27	29.21	29.11			29.03(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-6	-46	3.44	61%	0.07	2.3	0.54%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Jan_10_2011	28.41	29.28	29.24	29.16			29.05(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-8	-37	4.49	61%	0.07	29.3	0.54%	0	-1.9	36	0
20	Jan_7_2011	28.39	29.29	29.26	29.22			29.03(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-12	-10000	-7	-28	5.45	61%	0.11	60.5	0.54%	0	-2.4	33	0

21	Jan_6_2011	28.36	29.3	29.3	29.28			29.18(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-3	-21	5.44	61%	0.07	97.1	0.54%	0	-1.2	29	0
22	Jan_5_2011	28.34	29.29	29.3	29.3			29.28(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-3	-13	4.49	64%	0.07	95.1	0.54%	0	-0.1	49	0
23	Jan_4_2011	28.32	29.27	29.32	29.32			29.27(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-10	5.19	64%	0.11	98	0.55%	0	0	50	0
24	Jan_3_2011	28.29	29.25	29.32	29.33			29.35(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	3	0	5.26	64%	0.07	86.2	0.55%	0	0.5	60	0
25	Dec_31_2010	28.27	29.22	29.33	29.31			29.31(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-10000	-3	1	3.63	64%		83.3	0.55%	0	0.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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