Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $29.1400 (0%) ($29.1100 - $29.2500) on Mon. Dec. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $29.1400(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(65%)    XLY(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.06(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.89(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.75(1.36%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2010	27.96	28.75	28.89	29.06			29.14(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	29	-10000	9	90	6.42	66%	0.07	25.3	0.6%	0	1.6	57	0
2	Dec_10_2010	27.94	28.73	28.82	28.98			29.14(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	8	64	3.17	66%	0.07	8.8	0.6%	0	1.8	57	0
3	Dec_9_2010	27.92	28.71	28.75	28.91			29.09(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	7	43	3.76	66%	0.07	-6.8	0.6%	0	1.8	56	0
4	Dec_8_2010	27.9	28.69	28.71	28.85			29.01(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	5	40	4.78	66%	0.11	-19.7	0.6%	0	1.7	64	0
5	Dec_7_2010	27.87	28.68	28.65	28.81			28.9(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	14	38	8.56	66%	0.07	-25.4	0.6%	0	1.2	62	0

6	Dec_6_2010	27.85	28.69	28.65	28.69			28.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	7	16	4.84	66%	0.07	-31.8	0.6%	0	0.3	50	0
7	Dec_3_2010	27.83	28.7	28.65	28.63			28.81(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	7	8	5.15	66%	0.07	-28.8	0.61%	0	0.5	51	0
8	Dec_2_2010	27.81	28.72	28.64	28.57			28.8(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	2	-8	9.1	66%	0.07	-21.4	0.61%	0	0.3	48	0
9	Dec_1_2010	27.79	28.72	28.6	28.55			28.78(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	7	-23	6.47	70%	0.07	-18.4	0.61%	0	0.2	48	0
10	Nov_30_2010	27.77	28.73	28.56	28.49			28.32(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-10	-58	9.24	66%	0.07	-23	0.61%	0	-1.6	35	0

11	Nov_29_2010	27.75	28.75	28.6	28.58			28.45(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-9	-50	4.9	66%	0.07	-17.5	0.62%	0	-1.3	34	0
12	Nov_26_2010	27.73	28.77	28.63	28.66			28.5(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-5	-47	2.13	66%	0.11	-10.5	0.62%	0	-1.2	33	0
13	Nov_24_2010	27.7	28.78	28.66	28.71			28.69(0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	5	-46	4.28	69%	0.14	-4.1	0.62%	0	-0.4	33	0
14	Nov_23_2010	27.66	28.77	28.68	28.66			28.47(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-14	-10000	2	-62	5.98	68%	0	-12.3	0.62%	0	-1.4	40	0
15	Nov_22_2010	27.66	28.77	28.72	28.64			28.81(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	1	-66	4.97	74%	0.14	-7.2	0.6%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Nov_19_2010	27.62	28.77	28.74	28.63			28.81(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	2	-57	3.59	68%	0.11	-5.8	0.6%	0	0.1	55	0
17	Nov_18_2010	27.59	28.77	28.77	28.61			28.79(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-14	-10000	-1	-52	5.22	68%	0.11	-4.3	0.62%	0	0	51	0
18	Nov_17_2010	27.56	28.79	28.81	28.62			28.41(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	9.45	64%	0.11	1.4	0.6%	0	-1.9	45	0
19	Nov_16_2010	27.53	28.79	28.86	28.7			28.4(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10000	-11	-11	6.36	64%	0.07	13.7	0.61%	0	-1.9	49	0
20	Nov_15_2010	27.51	28.79	28.86	28.8			28.72(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-8	13	4.38	71%	0.11	31.8	0.59%	0	-0.4	51	0

21	Nov_12_2010	27.48	28.79	28.91	28.87			28.71(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-9	19	8.36	71%	0.11	54.5	0.59%	0	-0.5	46	0
22	Nov_11_2010	27.45	28.8	28.92	28.95			28.85(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-9	34	6.43	62%	0.07	72.5	0.59%	0	0.3	51	0
23	Nov_10_2010	27.43	28.78	28.9	29.03			28.82(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-2	50	8.34	62%	0.11	90.4	0.63%	0	0.2	54	0
24	Nov_9_2010	27.4	28.77	28.88	29.05			28.91(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10000	2	54	6.87	62%	0.07	91.3	0.63%	0	0.6	59	0
25	Nov_8_2010	27.38	28.74	28.87	29.03			29.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	9	67	8.57	62%		86.2	0.62%	0	1.3	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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