Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $28.3200 (-0.46%) ($28.2400 - $28.4600) on Tue. Nov. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $28.3200(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(66%)    XLK(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $28.73
5 Day Moving Average   $28.49(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.56(-0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.73(-1.43%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2010	27.77	28.73	28.56	28.49			28.32(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-10	-58	9.24	66%	0.07	-23	0.61%	0	-1.6	35	0
2	Nov_29_2010	27.75	28.75	28.6	28.58			28.45(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-9	-50	4.9	66%	0.07	-17.5	0.62%	0	-1.3	34	0
3	Nov_26_2010	27.73	28.77	28.63	28.66			28.5(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-5	-47	2.13	66%	0.11	-10.5	0.62%	0	-1.2	33	0
4	Nov_24_2010	27.7	28.78	28.66	28.71			28.69(0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	5	-46	4.28	69%	0.14	-4.1	0.62%	0	-0.4	33	0
5	Nov_23_2010	27.66	28.77	28.68	28.66			28.47(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-14	-10000	2	-62	5.98	68%	0	-12.3	0.62%	0	-1.4	40	0

6	Nov_22_2010	27.66	28.77	28.72	28.64			28.81(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	1	-66	4.97	74%	0.14	-7.2	0.6%	0	0.1	50	0
7	Nov_19_2010	27.62	28.77	28.74	28.63			28.81(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	2	-57	3.59	68%	0.11	-5.8	0.6%	0	0.1	55	0
8	Nov_18_2010	27.59	28.77	28.77	28.61			28.79(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-14	-10000	-1	-52	5.22	68%	0.11	-4.3	0.62%	0	0	51	0
9	Nov_17_2010	27.56	28.79	28.81	28.62			28.41(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	9.45	64%	0.11	1.4	0.6%	0	-1.9	45	0
10	Nov_16_2010	27.53	28.79	28.86	28.7			28.4(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10000	-11	-11	6.36	64%	0.07	13.7	0.61%	0	-1.9	49	0

11	Nov_15_2010	27.51	28.79	28.86	28.8			28.72(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-8	13	4.38	71%	0.11	31.8	0.59%	0	-0.4	51	0
12	Nov_12_2010	27.48	28.79	28.91	28.87			28.71(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-9	19	8.36	71%	0.11	54.5	0.59%	0	-0.5	46	0
13	Nov_11_2010	27.45	28.8	28.92	28.95			28.85(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-9	34	6.43	62%	0.07	72.5	0.59%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Nov_10_2010	27.43	28.78	28.9	29.03			28.82(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-2	50	8.34	62%	0.11	90.4	0.63%	0	0.2	54	0
15	Nov_9_2010	27.4	28.77	28.88	29.05			28.91(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10000	2	54	6.87	62%	0.07	91.3	0.63%	0	0.6	59	0

16	Nov_8_2010	27.38	28.74	28.87	29.03			29.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	9	67	8.57	62%	0.11	86.2	0.62%	0	1.3	69	0
17	Nov_5_2010	27.35	28.7	28.84	28.95			29.11(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	8	57	6.01	62%	0.07	80.2	0.62%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Nov_4_2010	27.33	28.65	28.81	28.88			29.26(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	24	-10000	14	54	9.51	62%	0.07	79.1	0.62%	0	2.3	63	0
19	Nov_3_2010	27.31	28.6	28.75	28.76			28.91(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	7	36	8.92	58%	0.07	81.3	0.61%	0	1.3	59	0
20	Nov_2_2010	27.29	28.56	28.72	28.7			28.82(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	2	24	3.16	61%	0.11	75	0.62%	0	1.1	58	0

21	Nov_1_2010	27.26	28.53	28.72	28.68			28.65(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-4	20	7.64	61%	0.07	66.3	0.63%	0	0.4	61	0
22	Oct_29_2010	27.24	28.49	28.68	28.72			28.77(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-1	45	6.42	56%	0.07	66.7	0.63%	0	1	66	0
23	Oct_28_2010	27.22	28.45	28.67	28.73			28.67(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-1	59	6.7	56%	0.07	62.4	0.65%	0	0.7	65	0
24	Oct_27_2010	27.2	28.41	28.66	28.74			28.57(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-1	73	8.72	56%	0.11	67	0.65%	0	0.5	65	0
25	Oct_26_2010	27.17	28.38	28.65	28.75			28.72(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	9	89	3.88	56%		67.3	0.65%	0	1.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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