Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $29.2600 (1.21%) ($29.0600 - $29.2700) on Thu. Nov. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $29.2600(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(66%)    XLK(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    REMX(5%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.88(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.81(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.65(2.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2010	27.33	28.65	28.81	28.88			29.26(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	24	-10000	14	54	9.51	62%	0.07	79.1	0.62%	0	2.3	63	0
2	Nov_3_2010	27.31	28.6	28.75	28.76			28.91(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	7	36	8.92	58%	0.07	81.3	0.61%	0	1.3	59	0
3	Nov_2_2010	27.29	28.56	28.72	28.7			28.82(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	2	24	3.16	61%	0.11	75	0.62%	0	1.1	58	0
4	Nov_1_2010	27.26	28.53	28.72	28.68			28.65(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-4	20	7.64	61%	0.07	66.3	0.63%	0	0.4	61	0
5	Oct_29_2010	27.24	28.49	28.68	28.72			28.77(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-1	45	6.42	56%	0.07	66.7	0.63%	0	1	66	0

6	Oct_28_2010	27.22	28.45	28.67	28.73			28.67(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-1	59	6.7	56%	0.07	62.4	0.65%	0	0.7	65	0
7	Oct_27_2010	27.2	28.41	28.66	28.74			28.57(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-1	73	8.72	56%	0.11	67	0.65%	0	0.5	65	0
8	Oct_26_2010	27.17	28.38	28.65	28.75			28.72(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	9	89	3.88	56%	0.11	67.3	0.65%	0	1.1	65	0
9	Oct_25_2010	27.14	28.35	28.61	28.67			28.88(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	3	82	5.22	56%	0.07	65.5	0.64%	0	1.7	73	0
10	Oct_22_2010	27.12	28.3	28.55	28.64			28.81(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	4	88	4.07	56%	0.11	67.9	0.65%	0	1.7	77	0

11	Oct_21_2010	27.09	28.26	28.49	28.6			28.71(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	3	88	6.33	56%	0.04	72.6	0.66%	0	1.5	72	0
12	Oct_20_2010	27.08	28.21	28.43	28.57			28.61(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	2	89	4.2	60%	0.11	69.9	0.68%	0	1.4	72	0
13	Oct_19_2010	27.05	28.17	28.39	28.55			28.36(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	24	-10000	1	93	5.78	57%	0.04	72.7	0.69%	0	0.7	63	0
14	Oct_18_2010	27.04	28.14	28.37	28.54			28.71(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	10	102	4.01	62%	0.11	75	0.67%	0	2	71	0
15	Oct_15_2010	27.01	28.1	28.28	28.44			28.61(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	9	82	6.48	56%	0.07	74	0.69%	0	1.9	74	0

16	Oct_14_2010	26.99	28.04	28.21	28.35			28.54(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	8	66	3.71	56%	0.07	71.9	0.69%	0	2	64	0
17	Oct_13_2010	26.97	28.01	28.15	28.27			28.53(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	6	58	8.27	56%	0.11	79.7	0.69%	0	2.4	72	0
18	Oct_12_2010	26.94	27.97	28.09	28.21			28.29(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	52	5.89	54%	0.07	91.7	0.69%	0	1.6	61	0
19	Oct_11_2010	26.92	27.93	28.06	28.18			28.22(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	8	55	3.05	54%	0.04	97.2	0.69%	0	1.5	61	0
20	Oct_8_2010	26.91	27.9	28.03	28.1			28.19(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	43	4.2	58%	0.07	90.7	0.69%	0	1.4	59	0

21	Oct_7_2010	26.89	27.87	28.01	28.05			28.13(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	5	48	4.44	63%	0.04	88.6	0.71%	0	1.2	65	0
22	Oct_6_2010	26.88	27.83	27.97	28			28.23(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	5	34	4.64	63%	0.04	88	0.74%	0	1.7	58	0
23	Oct_5_2010	26.87	27.78	27.93	27.95			28.11(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	1	27	5.42	63%	0	91.1	0.75%	0	1.3	57	0
24	Oct_4_2010	26.87	27.74	27.93	27.94			27.85(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-1	30	6.3	61%	0.04	108	0.74%	0	0.5	57	0
25	Oct_1_2010	26.86	27.71	27.9	27.95			27.93(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	39	5.42	61%		112.8	0.75%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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