Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $28.2200 (0.11%) ($28.1500 - $28.2500) on Mon. Oct. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $28.2200(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(66%)    XLK(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.18(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.06(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.93(1.04%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2010	26.92	27.93	28.06	28.18			28.22(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	8	55	3.05	54%	0.04	97.2	0.69%	0	1.5	61	0
2	Oct_8_2010	26.91	27.9	28.03	28.1			28.19(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	43	4.2	58%	0.07	90.7	0.69%	0	1.4	59	0
3	Oct_7_2010	26.89	27.87	28.01	28.05			28.13(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	5	48	4.44	63%	0.04	88.6	0.71%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Oct_6_2010	26.88	27.83	27.97	28			28.23(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	5	34	4.64	63%	0.04	88	0.74%	0	1.7	58	0
5	Oct_5_2010	26.87	27.78	27.93	27.95			28.11(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	1	27	5.42	63%	0	91.1	0.75%	0	1.3	57	0

6	Oct_4_2010	26.87	27.74	27.93	27.94			27.85(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-1	30	6.3	61%	0.04	108	0.74%	0	0.5	57	0
7	Oct_1_2010	26.86	27.71	27.9	27.95			27.93(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	39	5.42	61%	0	112.8	0.75%	0	0.8	60	0
8	Sep_30_2010	26.86	27.67	27.9	27.97			27.88(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	4	47	8.39	61%	0	117.8	0.75%	0	0.7	60	0
9	Sep_29_2010	26.86	27.63	27.86	27.93			27.98(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	52	5.33	55%	0.04	107.1	0.75%	0	1.1	65	0
10	Sep_28_2010	26.85	27.56	27.84	27.9			28.06(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	5	60	5.66	55%	0.04	81.7	0.78%	0	1.3	69	0

11	Sep_27_2010	26.84	27.48	27.79	27.85			27.88(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	1	63	3.61	55%	0.04	68.6	0.78%	0	0.9	69	0
12	Sep_24_2010	26.83	27.42	27.76	27.84			28.04(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	9	72	4.52	49%	0.04	65.2	0.79%	0	1.4	69	0
13	Sep_23_2010	26.82	27.35	27.7	27.74			27.67(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	63	8.95	46%	0	56.5	0.79%	0	0.7	68	0
14	Sep_22_2010	26.82	27.3	27.68	27.77			27.85(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	1	82	5.93	43%	0	54.7	0.79%	0	1.2	77	0
15	Sep_21_2010	26.82	27.24	27.63	27.76			27.8(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	4	104	13.37	43%	0	50.9	0.8%	0	1.2	82	0

16	Sep_20_2010	26.82	27.19	27.57	27.72			27.85(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	6	119	6.37	43%	0	50.3	0.8%	0	1.4	84	0
17	Sep_17_2010	26.82	27.13	27.51	27.72			27.55(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	0	124	10.6	38%	0	48.1	0.81%	0	1	72	0
18	Sep_16_2010	26.82	27.09	27.47	27.66			27.82(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	8	146	6.89	40%	0	47.5	0.8%	0	1.7	82	0
19	Sep_15_2010	26.82	27.05	27.38	27.57			27.79(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	9	140	6.45	43%	0.04	49.3	0.81%	0	1.9	73	0
20	Sep_14_2010	26.81	27	27.26	27.47			27.6(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	7	123	8.51	43%	-0.04	44.4	0.81%	0	1.7	72	0

21	Sep_13_2010	26.82	26.96	27.15	27.39			27.55(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	4	104	5.26	43%	0	35.2	0.81%	0	1.8	66	0
22	Sep_10_2010	26.82	26.92	27.06	27.34			27.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	7	97	4.01	47%	-0.04	29.7	0.82%	0	2	67	0
23	Sep_9_2010	26.83	26.88	26.96	27.26			27.39(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	8	79	4.96	47%	-0.04	22	0.85%	0	1.9	65	0
24	Sep_8_2010	26.84	26.88	26.89	27.17			27.3(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	15	62	5.74	51%	0	9	0.85%	0	1.9	53	0
25	Sep_7_2010	26.84	26.85	26.82	27			27.18(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	12	29	6.44	51%		-6.7	0.87%	0	1.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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