Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.1500 (0.93%) ($26.8600 - $27.2100) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $27.1500(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(66%)    XLY(66%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.82(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.78(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.36(3%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2010	27.13	26.36	26.78	26.82			27.15(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	8	79	10.1	46%	-0.04	22.4	1.14%	0	1.5	80	0
2	Jul_22_2010	27.14	26.3	26.71	26.82			26.9(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	0	81	7.04	46%	0	9.5	1.14%	0	1.2	75	0
3	Jul_21_2010	27.14	26.28	26.67	26.7			26.6(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-3	100	11.4	46%	-0.04	7.7	1.13%	0	0.7	73	0
4	Jul_20_2010	27.15	26.26	26.62	26.74			26.89(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	1	118	7.29	46%	0	4.9	1.12%	0	1.3	74	0
5	Jul_19_2010	27.15	26.26	26.5	26.74			26.57(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	0	111	6.49	44%	-0.04	4	1.11%	0	0.7	58	0

6	Jul_16_2010	27.16	26.24	26.4	26.74			26.52(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	0	105	7.83	44%	0	5.7	1.11%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Jul_15_2010	27.16	26.25	26.31	26.72			26.9(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	6	99	4.13	46%	-0.04	7	1.1%	0	1.3	61	0
8	Jul_14_2010	27.17	26.25	26.17	26.63			26.82(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	10	74	4.6	46%	0	7.1	1.1%	0	1.2	53	0
9	Jul_13_2010	27.17	26.24	26.05	26.49			26.81(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	17	49	6.16	46%	0	3.8	1.1%	0	1.2	56	0
10	Jul_12_2010	27.17	26.22	25.97	26.24			26.57(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	16	12	3.79	46%	-0.04	-3.4	1.09%	0	0.7	47	0

11	Jul_9_2010	27.18	26.21	25.89	26.02			26.48(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	14	-31	6.89	46%	0	-12.8	1.09%	0	0.6	45	0
12	Jul_8_2010	27.18	26.22	25.85	25.83			26.48(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-7	-10000	14	-68	6.36	46%	-0.04	-24.6	1.09%	0	0.6	40	0
13	Jul_7_2010	27.19	26.21	25.83	25.64			26.09(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-21	-10000	6	-101	6.5	43%	0	-41.3	1.08%	0	-0.3	39	0
14	Jul_6_2010	27.19	26.22	25.85	25.56			25.6(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-7	-133	6.91	40%	-0.04	-46.4	1.05%	0	-1.3	28	0
15	Jul_2_2010	27.2	26.24	25.94	25.66			25.45(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-6	-125	4.87	40%	-0.04	-47.4	1.04%	0	-1.8	32	0

16	Jul_1_2010	27.21	26.27	26.06	25.74			25.55(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-9	-114	9.77	41%	-0.04	-50	1.04%	0	-1.7	37	0
17	Jun_30_2010	27.22	26.34	26.2	25.86			25.5(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-15	-99	6.56	41%	-0.04	-35.5	1.04%	0	-2.1	33	0
18	Jun_29_2010	27.23	26.4	26.33	26.06			25.68(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-9	-66	10.23	41%	0	-18	1.04%	0	-2.1	45	0
19	Jun_28_2010	27.23	26.44	26.45	26.18			26.1(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-7	-40	7.86	43%	0	-10.7	1.03%	0	-1.1	49	0
20	Jun_25_2010	27.23	26.45	26.51	26.28			25.88(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-11	-16	10.61	43%	0	-6	1.02%	0	-1.8	54	0

21	Jun_24_2010	27.23	26.45	26.57	26.43			26.15(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10000	-12	12	4.78	43%	0	7.5	1.01%	0	-1.2	53	0
22	Jun_23_2010	27.23	26.48	26.63	26.59			26.47(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-4	33	6.77	46%	-0.04	1.8	1.01%	0	-0	46	0
23	Jun_22_2010	27.24	26.46	26.61	26.64			26.3(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-10000	-9	28	7.04	46%	0	-13.3	1.01%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Jun_21_2010	27.24	26.46	26.62	26.76			26.59(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-1	48	5.38	48%	0.04	-18.6	1%	0	0.4	55	0
25	Jun_18_2010	27.23	26.47	26.56	26.77			26.66(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	3	41	7.71	47%		-28.3	1%	0	0.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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