Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.5200 (-2.96%) ($26.4600 - $27.0000) on Thu. May. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $26.5200(-2.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(66%)    XLY(66%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.7(-6.86%)
Resistance Level   $27.46
5 Day Moving Average   $27.22(-2.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.3(-2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.46(-3.42%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2010	27.27	27.46	27.3	27.22			26.52(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-25	-10000	-18	-45	18.46	41%	0	-53.6	0.8%	0	-2.5	38	0
2	May_19_2010	27.27	27.54	27.36	27.42			27.33(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-7	-36	11.73	48%	0	-43.9	0.72%	0	-0.6	43	0
3	May_18_2010	27.27	27.58	27.38	27.49			27.4(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-2	-25	8.63	48%	0.04	-36.2	0.72%	0	-0.5	46	0
4	May_17_2010	27.26	27.61	27.39	27.49			27.56(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	0	-20	7.12	50%	0	-33.8	0.72%	0	-0.1	51	0
5	May_14_2010	27.26	27.63	27.41	27.51			27.27(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	3	-10000	11	-23	7.37	50%	0.04	-36.2	0.71%	0	-1	41	0

6	May_13_2010	27.25	27.67	27.44	27.4			27.53(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	12	-52	3.34	53%	0.04	-46.2	0.71%	0	-0.4	42	0
7	May_12_2010	27.24	27.69	27.47	27.28			27.7(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-20	-10000	2	-86	6.88	53%	0.04	-53.8	0.71%	0	0	43	0
8	May_11_2010	27.23	27.71	27.47	27.28			27.51(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	0	-105	5.9	55%	0.04	-51.5	0.7%	0	-0.5	40	0
9	May_10_2010	27.22	27.73	27.46	27.26			27.52(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-35	-10000	-5	-124	8.01	55%	0.07	-51.9	0.71%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	May_7_2010	27.2	27.76	27.5	27.31			26.74(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-51	-10000	-21	-142	10.85	50%	0	-48.1	0.62%	0	-2.8	26	0

11	May_6_2010	27.2	27.83	27.63	27.49			26.92(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-42	-10000	-21	-106	11.3	52%	0	-46.2	0.62%	0	-3.1	32	0
12	May_5_2010	27.2	27.89	27.75	27.67			27.61(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-2	-76	9.05	62%	0.04	-44.4	0.53%	0	-1.4	39	0
13	May_4_2010	27.19	27.9	27.8	27.67			27.51(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	0	-71	12.39	54%	0	-51.5	0.53%	0	-2.1	35	0
14	May_3_2010	27.19	27.93	27.86	27.68			27.79(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-4	-69	3.37	55%	0.04	-59	0.57%	0	-0.8	42	0
15	Apr_30_2010	27.18	27.94	27.88	27.71			27.63(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-10	-65	7.47	59%	0.04	-49.2	0.6%	0	-1.8	34	0

16	Apr_29_2010	27.17	27.97	27.91	27.79			27.79(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-10000	-8	-54	4.1	59%	0.04	-31.6	0.6%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Apr_28_2010	27.16	27.98	27.94	27.86			27.7(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-10	-39	5.16	59%	0.04	-21.1	0.6%	0	-1.8	46	0
18	Apr_27_2010	27.15	28	27.98	27.94			27.48(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-15	-10000	-14	-18	8.25	57%	0	-10	0.6%	0	-3.7	41	0
19	Apr_26_2010	27.15	28	28.04	28.06			27.97(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-1	14	4.46	65%	0.04	31	0.55%	0	-0.8	48	0
20	Apr_23_2010	27.14	28.03	28.05	28.07			28.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	3	19	4.65	65%	0.04	44.8	0.55%	0	0	46	0

21	Apr_22_2010	27.13	28.02	28.06	28.05			28.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-10000	3	11	5.11	65%	0.04	28.1	0.55%	0	0.9	48	0
22	Apr_21_2010	27.12	28.02	28.04	28.05			28.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	1	-10000	0	5	5.61	59%	0.04	25	0.55%	0	1	57	0
23	Apr_20_2010	27.11	28.01	28.01	28.03			28.1(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	1	-3	5.38	56%	0.07	37.5	0.58%	0	1	49	0
24	Apr_19_2010	27.09	28	28	28.02			28.02(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-7	4.79	56%	0.04	46.9	0.59%	0	0.2	49	0
25	Apr_16_2010	27.08	27.99	28.01	28.04			27.91(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-2	3	6.53	56%		61.1	0.59%	0	-0.8	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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