Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.5100 (-1.01%) ($27.4600 - $27.7400) on Tue. May. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $27.5100(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(66%)    XLY(66%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(4%)    IGOV(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $27.9
5 Day Moving Average   $27.68(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.8(-1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.9(-1.4%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2010	27.19	27.9	27.8				27.51(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	0	-71	12.39	54%	0	-51.5	0.53%	0	-2.1	35	0
2	May_3_2010	27.19	27.93	27.86	27.68			27.79(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-4	-69	3.37	55%	0.04	-59	0.57%	0	-0.8	42	0
3	Apr_30_2010	27.18	27.94	27.88	27.71			27.63(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-10	-65	7.47	59%	0.04	-49.2	0.6%	0	-1.8	34	0
4	Apr_29_2010	27.17	27.97	27.91	27.79			27.79(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-10000	-8	-54	4.1	59%	0.04	-31.6	0.6%	0	-1.1	42	0
5	Apr_28_2010	27.16	27.98	27.94	27.86			27.7(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-10	-39	5.16	59%	0.04	-21.1	0.6%	0	-1.8	46	0

6	Apr_27_2010	27.15	28	27.98	27.94			27.48(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-15	-10000	-14	-18	8.25	57%	0	-10	0.6%	0	-3.7	41	0
7	Apr_26_2010	27.15	28	28.04	28.06			27.97(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-1	14	4.46	65%	0.04	31	0.55%	0	-0.8	48	0
8	Apr_23_2010	27.14	28.03	28.05	28.07			28.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	3	19	4.65	65%	0.04	44.8	0.55%	0	0	46	0
9	Apr_22_2010	27.13	28.02	28.06	28.05			28.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-10000	3	11	5.11	65%	0.04	28.1	0.55%	0	0.9	48	0
10	Apr_21_2010	27.12	28.02	28.04	28.05			28.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	1	-10000	0	5	5.61	59%	0.04	25	0.55%	0	1	57	0

11	Apr_20_2010	27.11	28.01	28.01	28.03			28.1(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	1	-3	5.38	56%	0.07	37.5	0.58%	0	1	49	0
12	Apr_19_2010	27.09	28	28	28.02			28.02(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-7	4.79	56%	0.04	46.9	0.59%	0	0.2	49	0
13	Apr_16_2010	27.08	27.99	28.01	28.04			27.91(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-2	3	6.53	56%	0.04	61.1	0.59%	0	-0.8	51	0
14	Apr_15_2010	27.07	28	28.03	28.06			28.03(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	2	18	3.88	56%	0.04	91.7	0.59%	0	0.3	56	0
15	Apr_14_2010	27.06	27.99	28.03	28.04			28.08(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	6	13	3.63	56%	0.04	108.3	0.6%	0	0.9	56	0

16	Apr_13_2010	27.05	27.98	28.03	27.99			28.04(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1	-10000	1	1	3.05	58%	0.04	105.1	0.6%	0	0.5	46	0
17	Apr_12_2010	27.04	27.96	28.02	27.99			28.13(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1	-10000	0	4	4.09	58%	0.04	102.3	0.6%	0	1.4	57	0
18	Apr_9_2010	27.03	27.93	28	27.98			28.04(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-1	8	3.34	58%	0.04	77.8	0.6%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Apr_8_2010	27.02	27.9	27.98	27.99			27.89(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-1	8	2.57	58%	0.04	69.2	0.6%	0	-0.1	48	0
20	Apr_7_2010	27.01	27.88	27.99	28			27.84(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-6	7	3.59	58%	0.04	64	0.61%	0	-0.2	48	0

21	Apr_6_2010	27	27.87	28.02	28.05			28.02(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-1	30	3.97	60%	0.04	66.3	0.6%	0	0.7	57	0
22	Apr_5_2010	26.99	27.84	28.01	28.06			28.11(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	5	41	3.6	60%	0.07	70.9	0.6%	0	1.1	63	0
23	Apr_1_2010	26.97	27.81	27.97	28.02			28.11(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	6	43	4.44	62%	0.07	77.9	0.6%	0	1.3	68	0
24	Mar_31_2010	26.95	27.78	27.97	28.02			27.93(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	0	50	4.76	57%	0.04	74.4	0.6%	0	0.6	66	0
25	Mar_30_2010	26.94	27.75	27.96	27.97			28.09(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	16	-10000	-1	66	3.46	57%		75.5	0.61%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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