Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 19, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.1200 (0.22%) ($26.9400 - $27.2000) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $27.1200(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(66%)    XLY(66%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(5%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.85(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.53(2.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.45(2.53%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2010	26.5	26.45	26.53	26.85			27.12(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	15	90	4.44	48%	0.08	15.7	0.68%	0	2.1	66	0
2	Feb_18_2010	26.48	26.4	26.42	26.71			27.06(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	19	60	7.54	48%	0.04	-5.7	0.68%	0	2.4	62	0
3	Feb_17_2010	26.47	26.4	26.37	26.54			26.9(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	13	34	7.49	48%	0.08	-26.3	0.68%	0	2.1	58	0
4	Feb_16_2010	26.45	26.4	26.34	26.42			26.71(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	18	27	7.11	47%	0.11	-35.8	0.67%	0	1.3	57	0
5	Feb_12_2010	26.42	26.38	26.31	26.26			26.44(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	10	-3	8.9	44%	0.04	-47.5	0.67%	0	0.2	52	0

6	Feb_11_2010	26.41	26.4	26.28	26.17			26.44(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	9	-24	5.88	44%	0.04	-50	0.67%	0	0.1	53	0
7	Feb_10_2010	26.4	26.42	26.27	26.09			26.23(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-9	-49	6.36	42%	0.04	-47.9	0.66%	0	-0.6	47	0
8	Feb_9_2010	26.39	26.45	26.28	26.17			26.26(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-12	-48	7.46	46%	0.04	-40.2	0.66%	0	-0.6	39	0
9	Feb_8_2010	26.38	26.47	26.29	26.27			25.95(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-10	-46	5.15	43%	0	-31.6	0.68%	0	-1.7	29	0
10	Feb_5_2010	26.38	26.5	26.33	26.36			25.98(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-4	-40	13.53	43%	0.04	-24.8	0.68%	0	-1.8	34	0

11	Feb_4_2010	26.37	26.54	26.37	26.4			26.05(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-6	-53	10.83	43%	0.04	-24.5	0.68%	0	-1.9	33	0
12	Feb_3_2010	26.36	26.54	26.4	26.45			26.59(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	5	-64	6.57	47%	0.04	-23.3	0.63%	0	0.1	39	0
13	Feb_2_2010	26.35	26.54	26.4	26.41			26.78(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-10	-10000	11	-74	7.43	51%	0.08	-28.9	0.63%	0	0.9	48	0
14	Feb_1_2010	26.33	26.54	26.41	26.32			26.4(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	3	-89	9.02	47%	0.04	-41.4	0.62%	0	-0.7	44	0
15	Jan_29_2010	26.32	26.57	26.45	26.3			26.2(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-3	-87	8.93	46%	0.04	-44.4	0.64%	0	-1.5	41	0

16	Jan_28_2010	26.31	26.6	26.52	26.32			26.3(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-1	-73	14.18	46%	0.04	-43.4	0.67%	0	-1.4	41	0
17	Jan_27_2010	26.3	26.63	26.58	26.33			26.37(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-66	12.56	46%	0.08	-35.4	0.67%	0	-1.2	42	0
18	Jan_26_2010	26.28	26.64	26.62	26.4			26.31(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-15	-53	8.12	44%	0	-17.3	0.67%	0	-1.7	40	0
19	Jan_25_2010	26.28	26.66	26.66	26.53			26.34(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-9	-28	6.08	44%	0.04	4.2	0.68%	0	-1.7	41	0
20	Jan_22_2010	26.27	26.68	26.69	26.61			26.29(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-10000	-14	-12	9.08	42%	0.08	10.4	0.69%	0	-2.2	48	0

21	Jan_21_2010	26.25	26.68	26.73	26.74			26.35(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-8	-10000	-13	9	9.04	41%	0.08	23.2	0.69%	0	-2.3	42	0
22	Jan_20_2010	26.23	26.7	26.77	26.86			26.73(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-10000	-1	35	8.67	43%	0.08	31.1	0.67%	0	0.3	48	0
23	Jan_19_2010	26.21	26.68	26.76	26.87			26.93(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	6	39	10.97	46%	0.15	4.1	0.66%	0	1.9	56	0
24	Jan_15_2010	26.17	26.68	26.74	26.82			26.77(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	5	28	11.97	49%	0.08	-14.1	0.66%	0	0.6	53	0
25	Jan_14_2010	26.15	26.66	26.71	26.78			26.9(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	6	18	5.26	49%		-18.8	0.66%	0	1.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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