Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $24.3000 (0.08%) ($24.1500 - $24.3300) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $24.3000(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(66%)    XLY(66%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.36(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.44(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.25(0.21%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2009	22.86	24.25	24.44	24.36			24.3(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	7	4.82	55%	0.13	79	1.08%	0	0.1	64	0
2	Aug_7_2009	22.83	24.2	24.46	24.41			24.28(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-3	22	6.3	55%	0.18	67.5	1.09%	0	0.2	62	0
3	Aug_6_2009	22.79	24.14	24.48	24.45			24.18(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-6	41	6.18	55%	0.13	64.2	1.09%	0	0.1	62	0
4	Aug_5_2009	22.76	24.09	24.5	24.53			24.43(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-3	61	4.47	55%	0.13	62.3	1.09%	0	0.6	73	0
5	Aug_4_2009	22.73	24.03	24.46	24.57			24.59(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	20	-10000	2	73	4.36	57%	0.18	63.1	1.09%	0	1	85	0

6	Aug_3_2009	22.69	23.95	24.41	24.54			24.55(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10000	1	84	5.84	57%	0.18	61.6	1.1%	0	1	89	0
7	Jul_31_2009	22.65	23.89	24.35	24.54			24.52(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	0	96	4.42	57%	0.18	64.9	1.11%	0	1.1	89	0
8	Jul_30_2009	22.61	23.81	24.3	24.52			24.57(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10000	4	122	4.9	57%	0.22	61.7	1.11%	0	1.3	93	0
9	Jul_29_2009	22.56	23.75	24.23	24.47			24.6(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	9	140	3.66	60%	0.22	68.6	1.11%	0	1.5	89	0
10	Jul_28_2009	22.51	23.67	24.14	24.35			24.47(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	7	136	4.66	60%	0.22	68	1.13%	0	1.5	80	0

11	Jul_27_2009	22.46	23.6	24.04	24.25			24.44(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	7	133	4.54	60%	0.22	69.5	1.13%	0	1.6	81	0
12	Jul_24_2009	22.41	23.53	23.93	24.16			24.53(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	9	125	2.27	60%	0.22	70.7	1.13%	0	2	72	0
13	Jul_23_2009	22.36	23.45	23.76	24.04			24.31(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	6	112	5.29	60%	0.18	69.1	1.12%	0	2	76	0
14	Jul_22_2009	22.32	23.37	23.63	23.96			23.98(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	4	97	4.03	58%	0.22	68	1.11%	0	1.5	59	0
15	Jul_21_2009	22.27	23.31	23.55	23.91			23.97(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	9	98	6.42	58%	0.18	65.3	1.13%	0	1.6	65	0

16	Jul_20_2009	22.23	23.25	23.46	23.79			24(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	81	5.11	54%	0.18	58.9	1.14%	0	1.9	61	0
17	Jul_17_2009	22.19	23.19	23.39	23.65			23.93(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	15	73	3.5	54%	0.14	45.8	1.17%	0	2.1	62	0
18	Jul_16_2009	22.16	23.15	23.29	23.44			23.91(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	13	43	4.61	54%	0.14	34.3	1.17%	0	2.5	60	0
19	Jul_15_2009	22.13	23.1	23.22	23.26			23.75(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	-10000	8	32	4.63	57%	0.14	15	1.17%	0	2.5	64	0
20	Jul_14_2009	22.1	23.04	23.14	23.15			23.37(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	4	23	4.13	55%	0.09	-13	1.18%	0	1.4	61	0

21	Jul_13_2009	22.08	23.04	23.12	23.09			23.3(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	5	-10000	-1	21	2.69	55%	0.09	-36.5	1.19%	0	1.3	58	0
22	Jul_10_2009	22.06	23.02	23.09	23.09			22.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	7	-10000	0	27	3.18	52%	0.09	-34.6	1.17%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Jul_9_2009	22.04	23.05	23.12	23.1			23(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-5	21	3.68	52%	0.05	-42.3	1.18%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	Jul_8_2009	22.03	23.06	23.09	23.17			23.17(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	2	31	6.93	52%	0.09	-41.7	1.18%	0	0.4	54	0
25	Jul_7_2009	22.01	23.07	23.05	23.14			23.07(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-2	26	4.6	49%		-49.6	1.18%	0	0	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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