Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $24.5300 (0.9%) ($24.2400 - $24.5300) on Fri. Jul. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $24.5300(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(66%)    XLY(66%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.16(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.93(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.53(4.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2009	22.41	23.53	23.93	24.16			24.53(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	9	125	2.27	60%	0.22	70.7	1.13%	0	2	72	0
2	Jul_23_2009	22.36	23.45	23.76	24.04			24.31(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	6	112	5.29	60%	0.18	69.1	1.12%	0	2	76	0
3	Jul_22_2009	22.32	23.37	23.63	23.96			23.98(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	4	97	4.03	58%	0.22	68	1.11%	0	1.5	59	0
4	Jul_21_2009	22.27	23.31	23.55	23.91			23.97(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	9	98	6.42	58%	0.18	65.3	1.13%	0	1.6	65	0
5	Jul_20_2009	22.23	23.25	23.46	23.79			24(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	81	5.11	54%	0.18	58.9	1.14%	0	1.9	61	0

6	Jul_17_2009	22.19	23.19	23.39	23.65			23.93(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	15	73	3.5	54%	0.14	45.8	1.17%	0	2.1	62	0
7	Jul_16_2009	22.16	23.15	23.29	23.44			23.91(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	13	43	4.61	54%	0.14	34.3	1.17%	0	2.5	60	0
8	Jul_15_2009	22.13	23.1	23.22	23.26			23.75(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	-10000	8	32	4.63	57%	0.14	15	1.17%	0	2.5	64	0
9	Jul_14_2009	22.1	23.04	23.14	23.15			23.37(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	4	23	4.13	55%	0.09	-13	1.18%	0	1.4	61	0
10	Jul_13_2009	22.08	23.04	23.12	23.09			23.3(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	5	-10000	-1	21	2.69	55%	0.09	-36.5	1.19%	0	1.3	58	0

11	Jul_10_2009	22.06	23.02	23.09	23.09			22.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	7	-10000	0	27	3.18	52%	0.09	-34.6	1.17%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	Jul_9_2009	22.04	23.05	23.12	23.1			23(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-5	21	3.68	52%	0.05	-42.3	1.18%	0	-0.2	45	0
13	Jul_8_2009	22.03	23.06	23.09	23.17			23.17(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	2	31	6.93	52%	0.09	-41.7	1.18%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Jul_7_2009	22.01	23.07	23.05	23.14			23.07(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-2	26	4.6	49%	0.05	-49.6	1.18%	0	0	57	0
15	Jul_6_2009	22	23.1	23.02	23.16			23.36(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	5	29	5.52	51%	0.09	-39.2	1.19%	0	0.9	55	0

16	Jul_2_2009	21.98	23.11	22.97	23.09			22.89(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-4	5	4.95	51%	0.09	-35	1.16%	0	-0.7	42	0
17	Jul_1_2009	21.96	23.15	23.01	23.14			23.38(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	11	16	6.95	57%	0.05	-19.2	1.15%	0	0.7	49	0
18	Jun_30_2009	21.95	23.16	22.96	23			22.99(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	5	-11	3.5	51%	0.05	-15	1.15%	0	-0.5	46	0
19	Jun_29_2009	21.94	23.2	22.93	22.94			23.17(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	6	-35	2.13	51%	0.05	-12.8	1.18%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Jun_26_2009	21.93	23.2	22.9	22.86			23.03(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	2	-61	3.29	51%	0.05	-11	1.18%	0	-0.5	39	0

21	Jun_25_2009	21.92	23.22	22.94	22.84			23.11(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-19	-10000	-2	-69	6.93	51%	0.05	-9.1	1.19%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Jun_24_2009	21.91	23.21	22.96	22.87			22.72(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-3	-75	6.36	48%	0	-7.6	1.17%	0	-1.2	34	0
23	Jun_23_2009	21.91	23.22	23.01	22.91			22.66(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-19	-10000	1	-79	3.67	55%	0.05	-8.9	1.18%	0	-1.4	34	0
24	Jun_22_2009	21.9	23.25	23.09	22.9			22.8(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-2	-81	3.98	55%	0.05	-4.9	1.29%	0	-1.2	34	0
25	Jun_19_2009	21.89	23.26	23.18	22.93			22.89(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-9	-79	6.32	52%		3.8	1.3%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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