Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 12, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.9200 (1.19%) ($22.5600 - $22.9500) on Tue. May. 12, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $22.9200(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(67%)    XLK(66%)    QQQ(62%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.64(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.42(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.09(3.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2009	21.89	22.09	22.42	22.64			22.92(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	9	101	5.24	59%	0	66.2	1.44%	0	1.9	79	0
2	May_11_2009	21.89	22.01	22.3	22.5			22.65(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	3	84	5.55	59%	-0.05	57.6	1.44%	0	1.6	65	0
3	May_8_2009	21.9	21.95	22.2	22.46			22.76(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	9	81	7.58	55%	0	55	1.48%	0	2.2	71	0
4	May_7_2009	21.9	21.9	22.08	22.32			22.47(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	57	6.84	55%	-0.09	49.3	1.49%	0	1.8	55	0
5	May_6_2009	21.92	21.85	21.99	22.23			22.38(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	4	41	8.05	55%	-0.05	47.4	1.5%	0	1.8	56	0

6	May_5_2009	21.93	21.81	21.91	22.17			22.24(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	6	35	7.1	55%	-0.05	51.6	1.51%	0	1.5	60	0
7	May_4_2009	21.94	21.79	21.87	22.07			22.43(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	10	36	5.02	52%	-0.05	58	1.52%	0	2.5	69	0
8	May_1_2009	21.95	21.75	21.87	21.91			22.09(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	7	20	4.34	53%	-0.05	52.5	1.55%	0	1.5	58	0
9	Apr_30_2009	21.96	21.74	21.78	21.79			22(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	5	14	6.8	50%	-0.05	42.3	1.56%	0	1.2	55	0
10	Apr_29_2009	21.97	21.71	21.77	21.71			22.09(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	7	-10000	6	11	5.57	50%	-0.05	28.9	1.61%	0	1.8	57	0

11	Apr_28_2009	21.98	21.66	21.73	21.61			21.73(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-10000	-2	2	4.99	48%	-0.14	9.4	1.6%	0	0.3	56	0
12	Apr_27_2009	22.01	21.66	21.73	21.61			21.63(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1	-10000	0	-3	5.37	48%	-0.09	6	1.6%	0	-0	46	0
13	Apr_24_2009	22.03	21.64	21.69	21.64			21.5(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-8	9.41	48%	-0.05	25	1.59%	0	-0.6	45	0
14	Apr_23_2009	22.04	21.64	21.71	21.76			21.59(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-5	-0	7.9	48%	-0.09	56.5	1.6%	0	-0.2	44	0
15	Apr_22_2009	22.06	21.65	21.72	21.84			21.59(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-1	12	7.32	48%	-0.09	73	1.61%	0	-0.2	53	0

16	Apr_21_2009	22.08	21.64	21.72	21.86			21.88(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	6	23	5.8	48%	-0.05	75	1.6%	0	0.9	63	0
17	Apr_20_2009	22.09	21.62	21.71	21.75			21.66(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	22	10.4	48%	-0.09	74.2	1.59%	0	0.2	60	0
18	Apr_17_2009	22.11	21.57	21.72	21.74			22.09(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	5	27	4.75	50%	0	56.3	1.58%	0	1.5	56	0
19	Apr_16_2009	22.11	21.51	21.7	21.65			21.98(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	20	7.12	50%	-0.09	56.4	1.59%	0	1.3	51	0
20	Apr_15_2009	22.13	21.47	21.65	21.59			21.69(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	2	11	3.85	50%	-0.09	72.8	1.59%	0	0.6	52	0

21	Apr_14_2009	22.15	21.45	21.59	21.55			21.31(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10000	-6	0	3.85	46%	-0.09	89.9	1.57%	0	-0.4	51	0
22	Apr_13_2009	22.17	21.43	21.59	21.66			21.61(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-2	8	4.53	46%	-0.05	114.3	1.59%	0	0.5	53	0
23	Apr_9_2009	22.18	21.38	21.58	21.7			21.67(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-3	29	3.63	46%	-0.05	101.9	1.57%	0	0.6	67	0
24	Apr_8_2009	22.19	21.32	21.59	21.75			21.66(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	2	51	2.86	46%	-0.09	92	1.59%	0	0.6	61	0
25	Apr_7_2009	22.21	21.23	21.58	21.71			21.48(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	5	56	4.71	46%		78.5	1.59%	0	0.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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