Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 12, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $20.2600 (2.58%) ($19.6500 - $20.3100) on Thu. Mar. 12, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $20.2600(2.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(67%)    XLK(66%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(5%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.8(-36.82%)
Resistance Level   $20.51
5 Day Moving Average   $19.78(2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.87(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.51(-1.22%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 3.71% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090412

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_12_2009	22.68	20.51	19.87	19.78			20.26(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	-10000	8	-108	4.14	33%	-0.13	-71.7	1.44%	0	-0.3	37	0
2	Mar_11_2009	22.71	20.58	19.88	19.66			19.75(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-5	-155	5.81	27%	-0.22	-73.8	1.39%	0	-1	28	0
3	Mar_10_2009	22.76	20.67	19.99	19.73			19.77(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-38	-10000	1	-153	4.26	27%	-0.22	-76.7	1.4%	0	-1.1	32	0
4	Mar_9_2009	22.81	20.79	20.12	19.72			19.41(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-8	-165	4.77	22%	-0.22	-72.3	1.37%	0	-1.6	29	0
5	Mar_6_2009	22.86	20.95	20.26	19.83			19.71(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-9	-170	6.91	23%	-0.22	-67	1.37%	0	-1.5	29	0

6	Mar_5_2009	22.91	21.07	20.41	19.96			19.65(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-12	-169	7.27	31%	-0.17	-68.8	1.38%	0	-1.7	26	0
7	Mar_4_2009	22.95	21.18	20.61	20.13			20.11(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10000	-12	-150	5.21	33%	-0.22	-75.8	1.41%	0	-1.4	32	0
8	Mar_3_2009	23	21.3	20.73	20.3			19.73(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-10000	-20	-143	6.35	28%	-0.22	-72.9	1.39%	0	-2	29	0
9	Mar_2_2009	23.05	21.42	20.89	20.58			19.97(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-11	-128	6.96	28%	-0.17	-77.3	1.4%	0	-2.1	25	0
10	Feb_27_2009	23.09	21.53	21.06	20.74			20.36(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-12	-118	5.64	24%	-0.13	-84.2	1.54%	0	-2	25	0

11	Feb_26_2009	23.12	21.66	21.21	20.93			20.49(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-14	-105	5.42	24%	-0.22	-76.2	1.56%	0	-2	33	0
12	Feb_25_2009	23.17	21.78	21.34	21.16			20.95(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-5	-83	5.8	26%	-0.22	-65.1	1.55%	0	-1.4	41	0
13	Feb_24_2009	23.22	21.88	21.4	21.24			21.15(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-89	6.06	26%	-0.21	-59.9	1.55%	0	-1.2	37	0
14	Feb_23_2009	23.27	21.96	21.51	21.26			20.75(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-10	-88	5.49	21%	-0.3	-62.6	1.53%	0	-2	40	0
15	Feb_20_2009	23.34	22.05	21.69	21.42			21.3(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-7	-62	7.59	33%	-0.26	-63.7	1.63%	0	-1.4	42	0

16	Feb_19_2009	23.4	22.12	21.77	21.54			21.63(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-59	5.03	30%	-0.3	-58.3	1.67%	0	-0.9	38	0
17	Feb_18_2009	23.47	22.18	21.8	21.55			21.36(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-3	-76	7	30%	-0.25	-61.1	1.69%	0	-1.5	33	0
18	Feb_17_2009	23.53	22.25	21.9	21.6			21.25(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-11	-81	5.89	30%	-0.42	-66.2	1.7%	0	-2	35	0
19	Feb_13_2009	23.63	22.34	21.98	21.81			21.56(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-10	-74	3.95	35%	-0.3	-59.5	1.72%	0	-1.7	39	0
20	Feb_12_2009	23.7	22.4	22.04	22			21.9(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-3	-59	7.14	33%	-0.21	-60.4	1.79%	0	-1.2	44	0

21	Feb_11_2009	23.75	22.44	22.13	22.05			21.7(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-1	-54	5.43	31%	-0.25	-70.6	1.8%	0	-1.8	39	0
22	Feb_10_2009	23.81	22.51	22.27	22.07			21.58(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-9	-52	7.24	31%	-0.25	-79.7	1.82%	0	-2.3	38	0
23	Feb_9_2009	23.87	22.59	22.39	22.25			22.3(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	4	-33	4.81	34%	-0.21	-94.3	1.78%	0	-0.8	46	0
24	Feb_6_2009	23.92	22.62	22.39	22.18			22.52(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	4	-42	7.27	34%	-0.25	-115.1	1.77%	0	-0.3	44	0
25	Feb_5_2009	23.98	22.66	22.43	22.1			22.14(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-8	-57	12.05	34%		-114.7	1.76%	0	-1.3	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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