Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 26, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.7000 (0.67%) ($22.5500 - $22.9600) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $22.7000(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(67%)    XLK(66%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.19(-19.87%)
Resistance Level   $23.21
5 Day Moving Average   $22.7(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.79(-0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.21(-2.2%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2009	24.51	23.21	22.79	22.7			22.7(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-2	-61	6.67	49%	-0.2	-30.4	2.01%	0	-0.9	22	0
2	Jan_23_2009	24.56	23.24	22.82	22.75			22.55(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-19	-10000	-2	-68	6.12	44%	-0.24	-31.6	2.11%	0	-1.3	22	0
3	Jan_22_2009	24.62	23.27	22.9	22.79			22.77(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	-10000	1	-72	8.12	44%	-0.24	-35	2.1%	0	-1	33	0
4	Jan_21_2009	24.68	23.3	22.99	22.76			22.79(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	6.57	44%	-0.2	-36.7	2.11%	0	-1	38	0
5	Jan_20_2009	24.73	23.33	23.1	22.83			22.68(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-64	11.34	44%	-0.24	-32.9	2.12%	0	-1.3	44	0

6	Jan_16_2009	24.79	23.38	23.26	22.9			22.95(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-0	-49	3.84	44%	-0.24	-27.6	2.1%	0	-1	46	0
7	Jan_15_2009	24.85	23.41	23.38	22.91			22.74(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-5	-42	7.62	41%	-0.2	-26.1	2.1%	0	-1.5	44	0
8	Jan_14_2009	24.9	23.46	23.49	23.04			22.64(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	5.9	41%	-0.24	-15.6	2.14%	0	-2	46	0
9	Jan_13_2009	24.96	23.46	23.6	23.25			23.15(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-6	-8	9.81	48%	-0.2	-10.1	2.12%	0	-0.9	50	0
10	Jan_12_2009	25.01	23.49	23.62	23.41			23.01(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-10000	-10	1	6.54	48%	-0.24	-5.1	2.2%	0	-1.3	49	0

11	Jan_9_2009	25.07	23.5	23.67	23.67			23(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-4	-10000	-10	16	6.06	43%	-0.2	15.3	2.21%	0	-1.4	42	0
12	Jan_8_2009	25.12	23.5	23.71	23.92			23.4(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	5	-10000	-3	30	6.25	41%	-0.24	34.6	2.32%	0	-0.3	49	0
13	Jan_7_2009	25.18	23.52	23.69	24.01			23.71(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	0	32	4.23	40%	-0.2	46.4	2.34%	0	0.5	51	0
14	Jan_6_2009	25.23	23.53	23.65	24			23.95(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	5	35	8.8	38%	-0.2	59.5	2.37%	0	1.2	64	0
15	Jan_5_2009	25.28	23.51	23.58	23.86			24.31(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	7	29	6.65	38%	-0.16	46.3	2.39%	0	2.3	70	0

16	Jan_2_2009	25.32	23.44	23.5	23.66			24.21(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	6	22	3.76	38%	-0.31	25.8	2.39%	0	2.6	70	0
17	Dec_31_2008	25.4	23.4	23.42	23.48			23.87(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	7	-10000	5	13	2.82	38%	-0.2	10.3	2.38%	0	1.9	58	0
18	Dec_30_2008	25.45	23.36	23.39	23.33			23.64(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	3	6	3.07	41%	-0.24	-12.2	2.38%	0	1.2	55	0
19	Dec_29_2008	25.51	23.31	23.34	23.26			23.27(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10000	0	-6	1.99	39%	-0.2	-22.3	2.42%	0	-0.2	38	0
20	Dec_26_2008	25.56	23.35	23.33	23.25			23.32(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-13	2.63	39%	-0.27	11.3	2.46%	0	-0.1	42	0

21	Dec_24_2008	25.63	23.35	23.31	23.31			23.3(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.78	41%	-0.19	29.9	2.46%	0	-0.2	55	0
22	Dec_23_2008	25.68	23.37	23.32	23.36			23.1(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-4	-7	5.96	40%	-0.19	36.8	2.46%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	Dec_22_2008	25.73	23.38	23.35	23.47			23.29(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	2	-10000	1	4	4.34	40%	-0.16	48.9	2.46%	0	-0.3	55	0
24	Dec_19_2008	25.77	23.37	23.4	23.43			23.23(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	0	12	9.23	40%	-0.15	38	2.46%	0	-0.4	59	0
25	Dec_18_2008	25.81	23.31	23.45	23.42			23.62(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	4	10	7.12	40%		3.6	2.46%	0	0.7	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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