Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.0000 (-1.71%) ($23.0000 - $23.4200) on Fri. Jan. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.21% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $23.0000(-1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(67%)    XLK(66%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -1.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.105% (StdDev 2.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $23.5
5 Day Moving Average   $23.67(-2.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.67(-2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.5(-2.13%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 2.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2009	25.07	23.5	23.67	23.67			23(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-4	-10000	-10	16	6.06	43%	-0.2	15.3	2.21%	0	-1.4	42	0
2	Jan_8_2009	25.12	23.5	23.71	23.92			23.4(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	5	-10000	-3	30	6.25	41%	-0.24	34.6	2.32%	0	-0.3	49	0
3	Jan_7_2009	25.18	23.52	23.69	24.01			23.71(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	0	32	4.23	40%	-0.2	46.4	2.34%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Jan_6_2009	25.23	23.53	23.65	24			23.95(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	5	35	8.8	38%	-0.2	59.5	2.37%	0	1.2	64	0
5	Jan_5_2009	25.28	23.51	23.58	23.86			24.31(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	7	29	6.65	38%	-0.16	46.3	2.39%	0	2.3	70	0

6	Jan_2_2009	25.32	23.44	23.5	23.66			24.21(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	6	22	3.76	38%	-0.31	25.8	2.39%	0	2.6	70	0
7	Dec_31_2008	25.4	23.4	23.42	23.48			23.87(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	7	-10000	5	13	2.82	38%	-0.2	10.3	2.38%	0	1.9	58	0
8	Dec_30_2008	25.45	23.36	23.39	23.33			23.64(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	3	6	3.07	41%	-0.24	-12.2	2.38%	0	1.2	55	0
9	Dec_29_2008	25.51	23.31	23.34	23.26			23.27(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10000	0	-6	1.99	39%	-0.2	-22.3	2.42%	0	-0.2	38	0
10	Dec_26_2008	25.56	23.35	23.33	23.25			23.32(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-13	2.63	39%	-0.27	11.3	2.46%	0	-0.1	42	0

11	Dec_24_2008	25.63	23.35	23.31	23.31			23.3(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.78	41%	-0.19	29.9	2.46%	0	-0.2	55	0
12	Dec_23_2008	25.68	23.37	23.32	23.36			23.1(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-4	-7	5.96	40%	-0.19	36.8	2.46%	0	-0.9	47	0
13	Dec_22_2008	25.73	23.38	23.35	23.47			23.29(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	2	-10000	1	4	4.34	40%	-0.16	48.9	2.46%	0	-0.3	55	0
14	Dec_19_2008	25.77	23.37	23.4	23.43			23.23(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	0	12	9.23	40%	-0.15	38	2.46%	0	-0.4	59	0
15	Dec_18_2008	25.81	23.31	23.45	23.42			23.62(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	4	10	7.12	40%	-0.15	3.6	2.46%	0	0.7	44	0

16	Dec_17_2008	25.85	23.27	23.39	23.31			23.54(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	1	-4	6.61	38%	-0.15	-7.6	2.46%	0	0.6	48	0
17	Dec_16_2008	25.89	23.26	23.37	23.28			23.66(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	2	-5	8.49	38%	-0.12	-14.5	2.49%	0	0.9	53	0
18	Dec_15_2008	25.92	23.23	23.31	23.22			23.12(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-5	-14	4.74	38%	-0.15	-30.7	2.47%	0	-0.2	50	0
19	Dec_12_2008	25.96	23.25	23.28	23.37			23.14(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-4	-8	6.6	38%	-0.19	-28.9	2.47%	0	-0.2	53	0
20	Dec_11_2008	26.01	23.3	23.37	23.48			23.11(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	5	-10000	0	20	7.51	38%	-0.15	-20	2.47%	0	-0.4	63	0

21	Dec_10_2008	26.05	23.31	23.37	23.47			23.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	0	30	7.46	38%	-0.15	-31.4	2.47%	0	0.1	56	0
22	Dec_9_2008	26.09	23.33	23.43	23.46			23.38(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	2	32	10.38	38%	-0.11	-40.7	2.48%	0	0.1	51	0
23	Dec_8_2008	26.12	23.37	23.42	23.4			23.84(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	8	32	8.64	39%	-0.11	-42.1	2.47%	0	0.9	55	0
24	Dec_5_2008	26.15	23.38	23.34	23.18			23.7(2.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-3	11	8.09	39%	-0.15	-50.4	2.48%	0	0.6	51	0
25	Dec_4_2008	26.19	23.4	23.17	23.26			23.05(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-5	-7	7.79	37%		-46.8	2.46%	0	-0.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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