Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.3300 (0.69%) ($22.7500 - $23.9200) on Tue. Nov. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $23.3300(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(68%)    XLK(67%)    QQQ(64%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $23.81
5 Day Moving Average   $23.49(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.81(-2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.81(-2.02%)
To recent high   -20%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2008	26.62	23.81	23.81	23.49			23.33(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-3	-45	6.97	39%	-0.11	-30	2.2%	0	-0.8	53	0
2	Nov_17_2008	26.65	23.85	23.96	23.58			23.17(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-9	-31	4.65	39%	-0.15	-29.2	2.2%	0	-1.1	47	0
3	Nov_14_2008	26.69	23.92	24.1	23.81			23.48(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-6	7	6.1	39%	-0.11	-21.2	2.2%	0	-0.7	62	0
4	Nov_13_2008	26.72	23.92	24.17	23.97			24.2(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	0	34	7.83	40%	-0.11	-9.6	2.18%	0	0.4	61	0
5	Nov_12_2008	26.75	23.96	24.18	23.96			23.27(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-9	35	6.27	37%	-0.15	-4.8	2.11%	0	-1.2	47	0

6	Nov_11_2008	26.79	23.99	24.2	24.19			23.78(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-8	45	4.56	38%	-0.11	-1.6	2.1%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	Nov_10_2008	26.82	24.04	24.21	24.4			24.33(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	58	3	39%	-0.11	1.9	2.09%	0	0.5	50	0
8	Nov_7_2008	26.85	24.05	24.01	24.43			24.26(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	1	37	4.68	40%	-0.15	-9.3	2.11%	0	0.3	48	0
9	Nov_6_2008	26.89	24.02	23.88	24.4			24.15(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	19	6.8	41%	-0.11	-35.9	2.12%	0	0.2	49	0
10	Nov_5_2008	26.92	23.99	23.85	24.43			24.41(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	9	23	5.03	42%	-0.11	-60.4	2.12%	0	0.6	52	0

11	Nov_4_2008	26.95	24	23.8	24.2			24.85(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	9	9	4.8	42%	-0.11	-79.5	2.13%	0	1.1	56	0
12	Nov_3_2008	26.98	24.03	23.72	23.98			24.49(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	12	-10000	18	-8	7.54	42%	-0.15	-83.9	2.12%	0	0.5	48	0
13	Oct_31_2008	27.02	24.11	23.72	23.53			24.12(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	11	-43	12.87	41%	-0.15	-79.6	2.11%	0	0	46	0
14	Oct_30_2008	27.06	24.25	23.71	23.27			24.27(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	2	-57	6.94	42%	-0.15	-75.4	2.12%	0	0	55	0
15	Oct_29_2008	27.1	24.39	23.69	23.21			23.29(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-5	-58	7.06	41%	-0.18	-68.8	2.05%	0	-0.7	51	0

16	Oct_28_2008	27.15	24.61	23.75	23.33			23.75(6.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-5	-61	4.7	41%	-0.15	-61.4	2.07%	0	-0.5	43	0
17	Oct_27_2008	27.19	24.79	23.84	23.44			22.22(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-21	-78	4.86	35%	-0.22	-58.5	1.87%	0	-1.6	29	0
18	Oct_24_2008	27.25	25.02	24.1	23.9			22.8(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-13	-63	7.99	36%	-0.22	-54.7	1.85%	0	-1.4	28	0
19	Oct_23_2008	27.31	25.26	24.21	24.2			24(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-1	-84	8.95	39%	-0.15	-50.2	1.75%	0	-0.8	28	0
20	Oct_22_2008	27.35	25.45	24.16	24.2			23.9(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	0	-132	7.03	41%	-0.18	-50.7	1.75%	0	-1	26	0

21	Oct_21_2008	27.4	25.61	24.25	24.23			24.28(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-10000	-4	-169	4.13	41%	-0.15	-53.7	1.76%	0	-0.9	26	0
22	Oct_20_2008	27.44	25.75	24.37	24.32			24.51(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-10000	-2	-187	5.52	41%	-0.15	-56.6	1.76%	0	-0.8	29	0
23	Oct_17_2008	27.48	25.91	24.54	24.36			24.31(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-41	-10000	7	-186	6.18	40%	-0.15	-59.6	1.76%	0	-1	37	0
24	Oct_16_2008	27.52	26.08	24.81	24.22			24.13(0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-46	-10000	7	-203	11.94	41%	-0.15	-66.4	1.76%	0	-1.2	31	0
25	Oct_15_2008	27.56	26.27	25.13	24.07			23.9(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-10000	-9	-225	7.79	41%		-74.4	1.76%	0	-1.5	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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