Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $28.1500 (1.11%) ($27.8400 - $28.1500) on Mon. May. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $28.1500(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(69%)    XLY(69%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.02(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.02(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.02(0.46%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2008	27.75	28.02	28.02	28.02			28.15(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2	-10000	2	2	1.34	59%	-0.04	16	0.89%	0	0.9	56	0
2	May_9_2008	27.76	28.02	28.01	27.99			27.84(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-5	-3	2.84	59%	-0.04	-2	0.9%	0	-1.1	47	0
3	May_8_2008	27.77	28.02	28.02	28.05			28(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-10000	-2	5	1.38	57%	-0.04	-10	0.9%	0	0	51	0
4	May_7_2008	27.78	28.02	28.03	28.08			27.92(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	6	-10000	5	10	2.37	58%	-0.04	-10	0.91%	0	-0.6	46	0
5	May_6_2008	27.79	28.02	28.04	28.02			28.19(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	1	0	0.77	61%	0	-30	0.91%	0	1.4	51	0

6	May_5_2008	27.79	28	28.04	28.01			28.01(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-4	0.98	58%	-0.04	-34	0.91%	0	0.1	52	0
7	May_2_2008	27.8	28.01	28.01	28.03			28.11(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	3	6	3.97	58%	-0.07	-17.5	0.92%	0	0.6	58	0
8	May_1_2008	27.82	28.02	28	27.99			28.15(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2	-10000	1	4	4.35	59%	-0.04	-10.5	0.93%	0	0.8	58	0
9	Apr_30_2008	27.83	28.01	27.99	27.98			27.65(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-4	-10000	-6	3	2.61	59%	-0.07	-6.6	0.92%	0	-2.1	44	0
10	Apr_29_2008	27.85	28.01	28.04	28.06			28.13(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	4	23	2.73	62%	-0.04	20.8	0.9%	0	0.6	57	0

11	Apr_28_2008	27.86	28.04	28.02	28.01			28.1(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	1	10	3.1	62%	-0.04	17	0.9%	0	0.4	47	0
12	Apr_25_2008	27.87	28.04	27.99	28.01			27.93(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-0	-10000	0	-1	5.97	59%	-0.07	13	0.9%	0	-0.7	42	0
13	Apr_24_2008	27.89	28.03	27.98	28			28.09(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-1	-12	2.71	59%	-0.04	22.2	0.92%	0	0.4	40	0
14	Apr_23_2008	27.9	28.02	27.97	28.01			28.05(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-14	1.42	61%	-0.04	36.8	0.92%	0	0.2	48	0
15	Apr_22_2008	27.91	28.01	27.95	28.03			27.87(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-1	-20	2.75	59%	-0.04	52.6	0.93%	0	-0.9	41	0

16	Apr_21_2008	27.92	28.02	27.98	28.04			28.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	4	-16	2.34	59%	-0.04	89.5	0.93%	0	0.1	45	0
17	Apr_18_2008	27.93	28.01	28	27.99			27.96(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	2	-17	3.74	56%	-0.04	101.6	0.94%	0	-0.3	54	0
18	Apr_17_2008	27.94	28	28	27.96			28.15(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	3	-11	2.29	56%	-0.04	91.2	0.96%	0	0.8	58	0
19	Apr_16_2008	27.95	27.97	28.03	27.92			28.11(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	3	-11	3.86	56%	-0.04	75.9	0.96%	0	0.6	56	0
20	Apr_15_2008	27.96	27.93	28.04	27.88			27.95(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-3	-11	1.36	55%	0	57	0.96%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Apr_14_2008	27.96	27.88	28.06	27.92			27.78(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-3	2.33	55%	-0.04	45.2	0.97%	0	-0.3	45	0
22	Apr_11_2008	27.97	27.84	28.08	28.01			27.79(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-8	6	2.35	52%	0	44.4	0.97%	0	-0.1	48	0
23	Apr_10_2008	27.97	27.82	28.08	28.12			27.97(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-2	28	1.96	52%	0	54.4	0.98%	0	0.4	61	0
24	Apr_9_2008	27.97	27.8	28.09	28.15			27.9(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	40	1.82	54%	-0.04	55.6	0.98%	0	0.2	63	0
25	Apr_8_2008	27.98	27.78	28.08	28.22			28.18(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	0	60	1.65	56%		62.3	0.99%	0	1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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