Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $28.0400 (0.29%) ($27.9100 - $28.1200) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $28.0400(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(69%)    XLY(69%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.04(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.98(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.02(0.07%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2008	27.92	28.02	27.98	28.04			28.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	4	-16	2.34	59%	-0.04	89.5	0.93%	0	0.1	45	0
2	Apr_18_2008	27.93	28.01	28	27.99			27.96(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	2	-17	3.74	56%	-0.04	101.6	0.94%	0	-0.3	54	0
3	Apr_17_2008	27.94	28	28	27.96			28.15(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	3	-11	2.29	56%	-0.04	91.2	0.96%	0	0.8	58	0
4	Apr_16_2008	27.95	27.97	28.03	27.92			28.11(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	3	-11	3.86	56%	-0.04	75.9	0.96%	0	0.6	56	0
5	Apr_15_2008	27.96	27.93	28.04	27.88			27.95(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-3	-11	1.36	55%	0	57	0.96%	0	0.1	57	0

6	Apr_14_2008	27.96	27.88	28.06	27.92			27.78(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-3	2.33	55%	-0.04	45.2	0.97%	0	-0.3	45	0
7	Apr_11_2008	27.97	27.84	28.08	28.01			27.79(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-8	6	2.35	52%	0	44.4	0.97%	0	-0.1	48	0
8	Apr_10_2008	27.97	27.82	28.08	28.12			27.97(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-2	28	1.96	52%	0	54.4	0.98%	0	0.4	61	0
9	Apr_9_2008	27.97	27.8	28.09	28.15			27.9(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	40	1.82	54%	-0.04	55.6	0.98%	0	0.2	63	0
10	Apr_8_2008	27.98	27.78	28.08	28.15			28.18(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	0	60	1.65	56%	0	62.3	0.99%	0	1	74	0

11	Apr_7_2008	27.98	27.72	28.06	28.22			28.19(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	5	87	1.45	57%	-0.04	54.3	0.99%	0	1	80	0
12	Apr_4_2008	27.99	27.66	28.03	28.15			28.37(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	6	100	2.22	57%	0	49.7	1%	0	1.6	79	0
13	Apr_3_2008	27.99	27.6	27.96	28.06			28.13(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	4	94	2.66	57%	0	41	0.99%	0	1.2	62	0
14	Apr_2_2008	27.99	27.57	27.89	28.01			28.21(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	92	3.27	55%	0	38.9	1%	0	1.6	64	0
15	Apr_1_2008	27.99	27.52	27.81	27.92			28.2(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	3	77	7.42	55%	0	29	1.01%	0	1.8	62	0

16	Mar_31_2008	27.99	27.48	27.67	27.88			27.86(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-1	70	2.04	52%	0	25.2	1.01%	0	1.1	67	0
17	Mar_28_2008	27.99	27.44	27.59	27.9			27.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	4	73	2.74	52%	0	21.8	1.01%	0	1.3	63	0
18	Mar_27_2008	27.99	27.43	27.54	27.85			27.91(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	75	2.45	51%	0	22.5	1.01%	0	1.5	61	0
19	Mar_26_2008	27.99	27.43	27.49	27.75			27.77(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	6	63	2.15	51%	-0.04	22.1	1.02%	0	1.2	54	0
20	Mar_25_2008	28	27.41	27.46	27.66			28(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	17	60	3.44	51%	0	15	1.01%	0	1.8	59	0

21	Mar_24_2008	28	27.39	27.35	27.42			27.93(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	16	-10000	14	21	4.83	51%	0	-0.9	1.02%	0	1.8	57	0
22	Mar_20_2008	28	27.37	27.26	27.23			27.62(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	3	-7	3.95	52%	-0.04	-14.7	1.03%	0	0.9	58	0
23	Mar_19_2008	28.01	27.35	27.21	27.23			27.45(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-6	-10000	0	-22	5.41	53%	0	-20.2	1.03%	0	0.4	46	0
24	Mar_18_2008	28.01	27.34	27.2	27.19			27.3(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-27	3.91	53%	-0.07	-23.6	1.03%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Mar_17_2008	28.03	27.36	27.21	27.23			26.81(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-1	-34	5.31	51%		-10.4	1%	0	-1.9	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.