Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.4300 (0%) ($27.0400 - $27.4600) on Thu. Mar. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $27.4300(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(69%)    XLY(69%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.27(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.29(0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.41(0.07%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2008	28.05		27.29	27.27			27.43(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	3	-42	8.38	51%	-0.04	5.5	0.99%	0	0.1	47	0
2	Mar_12_2008	28.06		27.31	27.27			27.43(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-11	-10000	0	-43	4.54	51%	0	9.9	1%	0	0.1	53	0
3	Mar_11_2008	28.06	27.41	27.32	27.23			27.5(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	1	-36	3.68	50%	-0.04	20.9	1%	0	0.4	55	0
4	Mar_10_2008	28.07	27.41	27.36	27.21			26.93(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-7	-40	4.28	47%	-0.04	15.4	0.96%	0	-1.8	38	0
5	Mar_7_2008	28.08	27.39	27.44	27.3			27.07(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-1	-20	5.31	49%	-0.04	13.1	0.96%	0	-1.2	48	0

6	Mar_6_2008	28.09	27.4	27.49	27.31			27.2(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-7	-14	1.87	49%	-0.04	13.1	0.97%	0	-0.7	51	0
7	Mar_5_2008	28.1	27.38	27.51	27.4			27.45(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-2	2.13	49%	0	21.7	0.97%	0	0.2	52	0
8	Mar_4_2008	28.1	27.36	27.49	27.43			27.38(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-9	-7	4.35	49%	-0.04	22.1	0.97%	0	0.1	49	0
9	Mar_3_2008	28.11	27.35	27.49	27.55			27.4(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-4	23	3.03	49%	-0.04	38.9	0.97%	0	0.2	55	0
10	Feb_29_2008	28.12	27.35	27.53	27.6			27.13(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	5	-10000	-7	41	4.41	47%	-0.04	54.9	0.95%	0	-0.7	57	0

11	Feb_28_2008	28.13	27.36	27.54	27.69			27.65(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	5	63	3.23	52%	-0.04	68.2	0.93%	0	1	58	0
12	Feb_27_2008	28.14	27.32	27.52	27.62			27.6(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	6	66	2.4	53%	0	53	0.95%	0	0.9	61	0
13	Feb_26_2008	28.14	27.29	27.5	27.54			27.98(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	2	67	2.38	54%	0	47.9	0.95%	0	2.2	64	0
14	Feb_25_2008	28.14	27.23	27.42	27.51			27.64(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	5	62	2.44	52%	0	47.6	0.94%	0	1.5	54	0
15	Feb_22_2008	28.14	27.19	27.34	27.45			27.6(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	6	42	3.1	53%	0	27.1	0.95%	0	1.4	51	0

16	Feb_21_2008	28.14	27.16	27.29	27.37			27.3(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-1	28	4.04	50%	-0.04	11.1	0.95%	0	0.5	52	0
17	Feb_20_2008	28.15	27.15	27.24	27.39			27.2(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-5	29	3.55	51%	-0.04	2	0.96%	0	0.2	56	0
18	Feb_19_2008	28.16	27.14	27.22	27.45			27.79(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	10	43	3.69	53%	0	-12.6	0.93%	0	2.3	60	0
19	Feb_15_2008	28.16	27.1	27.16	27.32			27.35(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	9	36	3.1	51%	0	-52.9	0.9%	0	1.1	57	0
20	Feb_14_2008	28.16	27.11	27.17	27.21			27.23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	35	3.39	51%	-0.04	-81.5	0.9%	0	0.5	59	0

21	Feb_13_2008	28.17	27.13	27.16	27.18			27.37(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	9	38	1.87	53%	0	-90.3	0.9%	0	0.9	54	0
22	Feb_12_2008	28.17	27.15	27.11	27.07			27.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	9	15	5.15	53%	0	-94.1	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0
23	Feb_11_2008	28.17	27.17	27.05	26.96			27.14(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-2	3.44	52%	-0.04	-92.1	0.9%	0	-0.1	54	0
24	Feb_8_2008	28.18	27.22	27.05	26.99			26.8(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-11	-6	2.83	49%	-0.04	-75.2	0.89%	0	-0.9	45	0
25	Feb_7_2008	28.19	27.31	27.03	27.12			27.1(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-2	-3	2.4	49%		-54.1	0.89%	0	-0.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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