Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 26, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.9800 (1.23%) ($27.6100 - $27.9800) on Tue. Feb. 26, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $27.9800(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.54(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.5(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.29(2.53%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2008	28.14	27.29	27.5	27.54			27.98(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	2	67	2.38	54%	0	47.9	0.95%	0	2.2	64	0
2	Feb_25_2008	28.14	27.23	27.42	27.51			27.64(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	5	62	2.44	52%	0	47.6	0.94%	0	1.5	54	0
3	Feb_22_2008	28.14	27.19	27.34	27.45			27.6(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	6	42	3.1	53%	0	27.1	0.95%	0	1.4	51	0
4	Feb_21_2008	28.14	27.16	27.29	27.37			27.3(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-1	28	4.04	50%	-0.04	11.1	0.95%	0	0.5	52	0
5	Feb_20_2008	28.15	27.15	27.24	27.39			27.2(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-5	29	3.55	51%	-0.04	2	0.96%	0	0.2	56	0

6	Feb_19_2008	28.16	27.14	27.22	27.45			27.79(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	10	43	3.69	53%	0	-12.6	0.93%	0	2.3	60	0
7	Feb_15_2008	28.16	27.1	27.16	27.32			27.35(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	9	36	3.1	51%	0	-52.9	0.9%	0	1.1	57	0
8	Feb_14_2008	28.16	27.11	27.17	27.21			27.23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	35	3.39	51%	-0.04	-81.5	0.9%	0	0.5	59	0
9	Feb_13_2008	28.17	27.13	27.16	27.18			27.37(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	9	38	1.87	53%	0	-90.3	0.9%	0	0.9	54	0
10	Feb_12_2008	28.17	27.15	27.11	27.07			27.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	9	15	5.15	53%	0	-94.1	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0

11	Feb_11_2008	28.17	27.17	27.05	26.96			27.14(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-2	3.44	52%	-0.04	-92.1	0.9%	0	-0.1	54	0
12	Feb_8_2008	28.18	27.22	27.05	26.99			26.8(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-11	-6	2.83	49%	-0.04	-75.2	0.89%	0	-0.9	45	0
13	Feb_7_2008	28.19	27.31	27.03	27.12			27.1(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-2	-3	2.4	49%	0	-54.1	0.89%	0	-0.4	43	0
14	Feb_6_2008	28.19	27.38	27.02	27.12			26.82(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-10000	0	-15	3.14	48%	-0.04	-45.7	0.89%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	Feb_5_2008	28.2	27.45	27.02	27.14			26.93(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-31	4.56	48%	-0.04	-50	0.89%	0	-0.9	36	0

16	Feb_4_2008	28.21	27.53	27.06	27.15			27.3(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	7	-56	2.56	50%	0	-52.4	0.88%	0	-0.4	36	0
17	Feb_1_2008	28.21	27.57	27.06	27.07			27.47(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	13	-91	4.34	47%	0	-60.8	0.88%	0	-0.2	36	0
18	Jan_31_2008	28.21	27.6	27.04	26.92			27.2(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-34	-10000	2	-140	3.03	46%	0.04	-73.3	0.9%	0	-0.6	27	0
19	Jan_30_2008	28.2	27.66	27.08	26.89			26.8(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-48	-10000	-7	-172	4.87	43%	-0.04	-79.9	0.88%	0	-1.3	20	0
20	Jan_29_2008	28.21	27.76	27.18	26.97			26.99(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-41	-10000	2	-169	1.73	43%	0.04	-83.5	0.88%	0	-1.2	32	0

21	Jan_28_2008	28.2	27.86	27.29	26.95			26.91(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-4	-184	4.42	43%	0	-81.4	0.88%	0	-1.4	28	0
22	Jan_25_2008	28.2	27.96	27.43	27			26.7(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-10000	-14	-182	2.96	45%	0	-79.2	0.88%	0	-1.9	32	0
23	Jan_24_2008	28.2	28.09	27.62	27.17			27.07(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-11	-153	3.79	46%	0	-74.6	0.87%	0	-1.6	34	0
24	Jan_23_2008	28.2	28.2	27.77	27.3			27.2(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-11	-132	10.4	46%	0	-65.2	0.87%	0	-1.6	33	0
25	Jan_22_2008	28.2	28.31	27.88	27.43			26.87(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-51	-10000	-22	-137	12.1	44%		-60.9	0.85%	0	-2.4	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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