Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.3700 (-0.47%) ($27.3700 - $27.8600) on Wed. Feb. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $27.3700(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.18(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.16(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.13(0.88%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2008	28.17	27.13	27.16	27.18			27.37(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	9	38	1.87	53%	0	-90.3	0.9%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Feb_12_2008	28.17	27.15	27.11	27.07			27.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	9	15	5.15	53%	0	-94.1	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0
3	Feb_11_2008	28.17	27.17	27.05	26.96			27.14(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-2	3.44	52%	-0.04	-92.1	0.9%	0	-0.1	54	0
4	Feb_8_2008	28.18	27.22	27.05	26.99			26.8(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-11	-6	2.83	49%	-0.04	-75.2	0.89%	0	-0.9	45	0
5	Feb_7_2008	28.19	27.31	27.03	27.12			27.1(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10000	-2	-3	2.4	49%	0	-54.1	0.89%	0	-0.4	43	0

6	Feb_6_2008	28.19	27.38	27.02	27.12			26.82(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-10000	0	-15	3.14	48%	-0.04	-45.7	0.89%	0	-0.9	36	0
7	Feb_5_2008	28.2	27.45	27.02	27.14			26.93(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-31	4.56	48%	-0.04	-50	0.89%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	Feb_4_2008	28.21	27.53	27.06	27.15			27.3(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	7	-56	2.56	50%	0	-52.4	0.88%	0	-0.4	36	0
9	Feb_1_2008	28.21	27.57	27.06	27.07			27.47(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	13	-91	4.34	47%	0	-60.8	0.88%	0	-0.2	36	0
10	Jan_31_2008	28.21	27.6	27.04	26.92			27.2(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-34	-10000	2	-140	3.03	46%	0.04	-73.3	0.9%	0	-0.6	27	0

11	Jan_30_2008	28.2	27.66	27.08	26.89			26.8(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-48	-10000	-7	-172	4.87	43%	-0.04	-79.9	0.88%	0	-1.3	20	0
12	Jan_29_2008	28.21	27.76	27.18	26.97			26.99(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-41	-10000	2	-169	1.73	43%	0.04	-83.5	0.88%	0	-1.2	32	0
13	Jan_28_2008	28.2	27.86	27.29	26.95			26.91(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-4	-184	4.42	43%	0	-81.4	0.88%	0	-1.4	28	0
14	Jan_25_2008	28.2	27.96	27.43	27			26.7(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-10000	-14	-182	2.96	45%	0	-79.2	0.88%	0	-1.9	32	0
15	Jan_24_2008	28.2	28.09	27.62	27.17			27.07(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-11	-153	3.79	46%	0	-74.6	0.87%	0	-1.6	34	0

16	Jan_23_2008	28.2	28.2	27.77	27.3			27.2(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-11	-132	10.4	46%	0	-65.2	0.87%	0	-1.6	33	0
17	Jan_22_2008	28.2	28.31	27.88	27.43			26.87(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-51	-10000	-22	-137	12.1	44%	0	-60.9	0.85%	0	-2.4	23	0
18	Jan_18_2008	28.2	28.41	28.04	27.69			27.15(-1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-43	-10000	-19	-115	6.03	44%	0	-57.4	0.85%	0	-2.2	23	0
19	Jan_17_2008	28.2	28.5	28.15	27.91			27.55(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-10000	-20	-106	4.25	46%	0.04	-56.4	0.83%	0	-1.9	29	0
20	Jan_16_2008	28.19	28.57	28.23	28.14			27.75(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-14	-96	8.98	46%	0.04	-54.7	0.83%	0	-1.8	27	0

21	Jan_15_2008	28.18	28.62	28.3	28.31			27.85(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-7	-91	2.61	46%	0.04	-55.8	0.83%	0	-1.8	27	0
22	Jan_14_2008	28.17	28.68	28.39	28.39			28.15(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-5	-94	7.33	48%	0.04	-63.6	0.82%	0	-1.4	29	0
23	Jan_11_2008	28.16	28.74	28.48	28.45			28.27(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-18	-10000	3	-79	4.46	48%	0.04	-59.2	0.82%	0	-1.3	43	0
24	Jan_10_2008	28.15	28.79	28.54	28.42			28.67(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	8	-85	5.02	51%	0.07	-58.9	0.8%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Jan_9_2008	28.13	28.82	28.58	28.33			28.62(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	4	-89	4.76	51%		-62.9	0.8%	0	-0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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