Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $28.6700 (0.17%) ($28.5100 - $28.9100) on Thu. Jan. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $28.6700(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.03(-9.21%)
Resistance Level   $28.79
5 Day Moving Average   $28.42(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.54(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.79(-0.42%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2008	28.15	28.79	28.54	28.42			28.67(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	8	-85	5.02	51%	0.07	-58.9	0.8%	0	-0.3	46	0
2	Jan_9_2008	28.13	28.82	28.58	28.33			28.62(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	4	-89	4.76	51%	0.07	-62.9	0.8%	0	-0.5	50	0
3	Jan_8_2008	28.11	28.86	28.65	28.29			28.24(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-10	-94	5.55	48%	0.04	-60.7	0.79%	0	-1.6	42	0
4	Jan_7_2008	28.1	28.92	28.75	28.4			28.45(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-11	-71	3.83	48%	0.07	-49.6	0.79%	0	-1.2	41	0
5	Jan_4_2008	28.08	28.96	28.79	28.52			28.12(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-15	-73	4.17	46%	0.07	-42.2	0.77%	0	-2.2	30	0

6	Jan_3_2008	28.06	29.01	28.88	28.68			28.24(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-10000	-17	-58	4.38	46%	0.04	-35.1	0.77%	0	-2.3	35	0
7	Jan_2_2008	28.05	29.06	28.94	28.87			28.39(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-10000	-16	-42	10.12	46%	0.11	-14.6	0.77%	0	-2.4	38	0
8	Dec_31_2007	28.02	29.1	28.99	29.05			28.8(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-10	-30	1.76	48%	0.07	21.1	0.75%	0	-1.4	38	0
9	Dec_28_2007	28	29.1	29.01	29.16			29.03(0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	5	-19	0.73	50%	0.07	51.4	0.74%	0	-0.4	41	0
10	Dec_27_2007	27.98	29.12	29.04	29.16			28.92(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	0	-23	2.45	50%	0.04	63.9	0.74%	0	-1	47	0

11	Dec_26_2007	27.97	29.13	29.04	29.11			29.2(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	9	-18	1.35	52%	0.11	73.6	0.73%	0	0.3	51	0
12	Dec_24_2007	27.94	29.1	29.07	29.01			29.3(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	8	-31	0.88	52%	0.07	45.6	0.73%	0	0.7	55	0
13	Dec_21_2007	27.92	29.05	29.08	28.92			29.34(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-4	-10000	7	-37	2.28	52%	0.11	30.8	0.73%	0	0.9	55	0
14	Dec_20_2007	27.89	29.01	29.09	28.85			28.8(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-12	-52	1.72	48%	0.07	27.1	0.69%	0	-0.7	42	0
15	Dec_19_2007	27.87	28.99	29.12	28.97			28.93(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-6	-30	1.92	48%	0.11	31.4	0.69%	0	-0.2	45	0

16	Dec_18_2007	27.84	28.97	29.15	29.03			28.69(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-10	-18	4.01	51%	0.07	39.5	0.69%	0	-0.8	45	0
17	Dec_17_2007	27.82	28.96	29.19	29.13			28.82(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-10000	-12	10	2.98	51%	0.07	50.4	0.72%	0	-0.4	59	0
18	Dec_14_2007	27.8	28.95	29.22	29.26			29.02(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-9	55	2.75	51%	0.11	67.4	0.72%	0	0.2	69	0
19	Dec_13_2007	27.77	28.93	29.24	29.35			29.38(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	5	95	3.22	54%	0.07	76.1	0.7%	0	1.1	68	0
20	Dec_12_2007	27.75	28.88	29.22	29.3			29.25(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	1	113	2.38	54%	0.07	79.1	0.7%	0	0.9	71	0

21	Dec_11_2007	27.73	28.83	29.2	29.29			29.17(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	3	124	3.66	54%	0.07	79.9	0.7%	0	0.9	60	0
22	Dec_10_2007	27.71	28.77	29.14	29.26			29.49(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	8	131	0.98	57%	0.07	69.9	0.69%	0	1.6	70	0
23	Dec_7_2007	27.69	28.69	29.02	29.18			29.46(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	6	111	3.01	57%	0.07	64.1	0.69%	0	1.8	64	0
24	Dec_6_2007	27.67	28.63	28.93	29.18			29.15(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	0	107	3.18	54%	0.04	66.7	0.68%	0	1.2	63	0
25	Dec_5_2007	27.66	28.57	28.84	29.12			29.16(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	3	103	1.63	52%		62.6	0.69%	0	1.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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