Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 30, 2007

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $29.1900 (0.14%) ($29.0300 - $29.3000) on Fri. Nov. 30, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $29.1900(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.83(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.66(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.42(2.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2007	27.61	28.42	28.66	28.83			29.19(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	-10000	13	101	2.79	54%	0.07	43.8	0.7%	0	2.1	72	0
2	Nov_29_2007	27.59	28.35	28.58	28.7			29.15(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	-10000	18	90	2.78	56%	0.07	33.3	0.71%	0	2.4	65	0
3	Nov_28_2007	27.57	28.3	28.51	28.52			29(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	24	-10000	8	72	4.53	53%	0.04	30.4	0.71%	0	2.4	66	0
4	Nov_27_2007	27.56	28.26	28.44	28.44			28.55(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	4	61	2.61	49%	0.07	31.8	0.7%	0	1.2	54	0
5	Nov_26_2007	27.54	28.26	28.37	28.4			28.25(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-7	47	2.99	47%	0.04	37	0.7%	0	0	54	0

6	Nov_23_2007	27.53	28.25	28.34	28.47			28.54(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	60	0.69	49%	0.04	58	0.69%	0	1.3	59	0
7	Nov_21_2007	27.52	28.23	28.3	28.45			28.25(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-10000	-4	66	3.36	46%	0.04	60.3	0.67%	0	0.1	59	0
8	Nov_20_2007	27.51	28.22	28.28	28.49			28.6(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	67	3.53	50%	0.04	59.8	0.65%	0	1.7	52	0
9	Nov_19_2007	27.5	28.19	28.24	28.43			28.37(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	10	60	2.72	47%	0.07	56.4	0.65%	0	0.8	52	0
10	Nov_16_2007	27.48	28.16	28.21	28.34			28.57(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	16	39	1.56	49%	0.04	37.8	0.64%	0	1.8	52	0

11	Nov_15_2007	27.47	28.12	28.15	28.2			28.44(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	7	1	4.58	49%	0.04	13.3	0.64%	0	1.5	51	0
12	Nov_14_2007	27.46	28.1	28.09	28.14			28.46(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	4	-10000	11	-17	2.92	44%	0.07	2.8	0.65%	0	1.8	55	0
13	Nov_13_2007	27.44	28.08	28.08	28.04			28.32(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-5	-10000	1	-24	1.6	44%	0.04	-12.5	0.68%	0	1.3	57	0
14	Nov_12_2007	27.43	28.07	28.07	28.03			27.9(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-3	-23	2.31	38%	0.04	-14.1	0.66%	0	-0.9	49	0
15	Nov_9_2007	27.42	28.08	28.11	28.06			27.88(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-3	-5	2.39	34%	0.04	0	0.66%	0	-1.1	51	0

16	Nov_8_2007	27.41	28.08	28.11	28.09			28.15(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	22	3.23	43%	0.04	10	0.69%	0	0.3	60	0
17	Nov_7_2007	27.4	28.08	28.11	28.03			27.95(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-10000	-9	9	2.67	40%	0.04	8.3	0.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
18	Nov_6_2007	27.39	28.1	28.16	28.03			28.26(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	0	23	1.13	52%	0.04	30	0.7%	0	0.9	52	0
19	Nov_5_2007	27.38	28.09	28.14	28.12			28.07(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-5	19	1.75	52%	0	31.1	0.76%	0	-0.1	52	0
20	Nov_2_2007	27.38	28.09	28.12	28.17			28.03(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-6	21	2.54	52%	0.04	37.7	0.77%	0	-0.3	48	0

21	Nov_1_2007	27.37	28.09	28.1	28.24			27.85(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	0	-10000	-6	19	2.62	55%	0	46.9	0.76%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	Oct_31_2007	27.37	28.08	28.12	28.3			28.41(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	9	32	2.19	59%	0.04	57.8	0.74%	0	1.8	55	0
23	Oct_30_2007	27.36	28.05	28.08	28.2			28.23(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	5	16	1.54	59%	0.04	49.1	0.74%	0	1.1	53	0
24	Oct_29_2007	27.35	28.04	28.06	28.15			28.35(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	9	11	1.53	59%	0.04	50.9	0.74%	0	1.9	60	0
25	Oct_26_2007	27.34	28.01	28.04	28.06			28.34(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	10	-10000	11	6	1.33	51%		48	0.76%	0	2.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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