Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 18, 2007

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.6900 (0.73%) ($27.4900 - $27.6900) on Fri. May. 18, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $27.6900(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.42(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.35(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.4(1.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.58% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2007	26.75	27.4	27.35	27.42			27.69(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	12	-10000	10	19	1.16	55%	0.04	8.6	0.66%	0	1.8	58	0
2	May_17_2007	26.74	27.4	27.32	27.33			27.49(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	9	-4	1.2	53%	0.07	7.3	0.66%	0	0.7	48	0
3	May_16_2007	26.72	27.39	27.31	27.25			27.56(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-2	-10000	5	-23	0.92	53%	0.04	3.6	0.66%	0	1.1	47	0
4	May_15_2007	26.71	27.37	27.31	27.25			27.28(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	0	-47	1.9	52%	0.04	5.5	0.65%	0	-0.6	33	0
5	May_14_2007	26.7	27.37	27.28	27.2			27.1(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-8	-60	1.06	52%	0.04	12.7	0.65%	0	-1.9	34	0

6	May_11_2007	26.69	27.37	27.31	27.27			27.2(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-5	-52	0.66	52%	0.04	29.1	0.64%	0	-1.2	36	0
7	May_10_2007	26.68	27.37	27.34	27.31			27.13(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-6	-48	1.55	52%	0.04	32.3	0.65%	0	-1.5	30	0
8	May_9_2007	26.67	27.38	27.38	27.31			27.3(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	0	-30	1.09	52%	0.04	39.4	0.65%	0	-0.4	50	0
9	May_8_2007	26.66	27.38	27.42	27.36			27.26(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-1	-21	1.69	52%	0.08	39.1	0.65%	0	-0.5	49	0
10	May_7_2007	26.64	27.36	27.42	27.37			27.45(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	1	-15	2.77	54%	0.04	47.9	0.64%	0	0.4	53	0

11	May_4_2007	26.63	27.34	27.45	27.36			27.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	-2	-7	3	54%	0.08	56.2	0.63%	0	0.3	61	0
12	May_3_2007	26.61	27.33	27.45	27.38			27.4(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-3	13	2.08	54%	0.04	67.5	0.64%	0	0.3	63	0
13	May_2_2007	26.6	27.31	27.47	27.41			27.3(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-8	28	1.8	54%	0.04	81.5	0.64%	0	-0	64	0
14	May_1_2007	26.59	27.29	27.48	27.48			27.29(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-6	55	2.41	54%	0.04	92	0.64%	0	0	65	0
15	Apr_30_2007	26.58	27.26	27.49	27.53			27.4(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	75	0.84	54%	0.08	93.7	0.64%	0	0.5	60	0

16	Apr_27_2007	26.56	27.23	27.47	27.56			27.5(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-2	88	0.67	54%	0.04	85	0.63%	0	0.9	67	0
17	Apr_26_2007	26.55	27.19	27.43	27.58			27.56(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	5	96	1	54%	0.08	78	0.64%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Apr_25_2007	26.53	27.13	27.38	27.54			27.67(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	89	0.86	52%	0.08	68.8	0.64%	0	1.6	72	0
19	Apr_24_2007	26.51	27.07	27.31	27.47			27.53(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	3	79	0.7	52%	0.04	65.1	0.64%	0	1.4	72	0
20	Apr_23_2007	26.5	27.02	27.27	27.44			27.54(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	8	91	2.43	52%	0.11	69.8	0.64%	0	1.5	76	0

21	Apr_20_2007	26.47	26.98	27.22	27.37			27.6(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	13	93	1.45	52%	0.08	83.5	0.63%	0	2	80	0
22	Apr_19_2007	26.45	26.94	27.16	27.26			27.35(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	8	89	0.26	49%	0.04	92.3	0.63%	0	1.5	78	0
23	Apr_18_2007	26.44	26.9	27.13	27.19			27.33(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	8	96	0.72	49%	0.08	104	0.63%	0	1.6	80	0
24	Apr_17_2007	26.42	26.85	27.08	27.12			27.4(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	29	-10000	6	97	0.96	49%	0.08	103.8	0.63%	0	2	80	0
25	Apr_16_2007	26.4	26.79	27.02	27.07			27.15(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	2	93	1.4	47%		93.5	0.62%	0	1.2	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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