Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 27, 2007

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.4800 (-0.45%) ($26.4100 - $26.6000) on Tue. Mar. 27, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $26.4800(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.64(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.37(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.21(1.03%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2007	26.23	26.21	26.37	26.64			26.48(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	3	115	1.89	47%	0.04	3.5	0.63%	0	0.9	62	0
2	Mar_26_2007	26.22	26.21	26.3	26.61			26.6(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	12	107	1.16	47%	0.04	-11.5	0.63%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Mar_23_2007	26.21	26.21	26.26	26.51			26.79(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	-10000	21	108	1.19	49%	0.04	-20	0.62%	0	1.7	68	0
4	Mar_22_2007	26.2	26.21	26.2	26.34			26.73(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	15	82	2.61	49%	0.08	-35.4	0.63%	0	1.6	65	0
5	Mar_21_2007	26.18	26.2	26.13	26.22			26.6(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	19	55	1.1	49%	0	-42.5	0.63%	0	1.1	53	0

6	Mar_20_2007	26.18	26.21	26.06	26.06			26.35(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	15	9	1.46	46%	0.04	-46.3	0.61%	0	0.4	49	0
7	Mar_19_2007	26.17	26.24	26.02	25.94			26.1(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.79	43%	0	-47.4	0.6%	0	-0.3	48	0
8	Mar_16_2007	26.17	26.27	26.02	25.97			25.93(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-8	-63	1.91	41%	0	-39.4	0.59%	0	-0.8	34	0
9	Mar_15_2007	26.17	26.32	25.99	25.97			26.13(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	0	-81	1.46	43%	0	-32.5	0.59%	0	-0.4	36	0
10	Mar_14_2007	26.17	26.35	26	26.03			25.8(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-3	-106	2.66	37%	0	-31.3	0.56%	0	-1.3	29	0

11	Mar_13_2007	26.17	26.39	26.05	26.05			25.75(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-7	-125	1.42	37%	0	-33.5	0.57%	0	-1.6	26	0
12	Mar_12_2007	26.17	26.43	26.1	26.1			26.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	14	-156	1.09	44%	0.04	-35.4	0.51%	0	-0.5	29	0
13	Mar_9_2007	26.16	26.44	26.15	26.01			26.22(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-40	-10000	9	-187	1.51	44%	0.04	-45.8	0.51%	0	-0.6	34	0
14	Mar_8_2007	26.15	26.46	26.2	25.95			26.14(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-58	-10000	-5	-215	1.75	44%	0.04	-52.8	0.51%	0	-0.8	33	0
15	Mar_7_2007	26.14	26.48	26.26	25.98			25.9(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-63	-10000	-12	-214	1.88	38%	0	-52.9	0.5%	0	-1.6	32	0

16	Mar_6_2007	26.14	26.52	26.36	26.06			26(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-6	-185	2.03	38%	0.04	-49.2	0.49%	0	-1.5	39	0
17	Mar_5_2007	26.13	26.56	26.46	26.1			25.8(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-10000	-32	-168	2.65	37%	0	-46.8	0.48%	0	-2.3	38	0
18	Mar_2_2007	26.13	26.62	26.58	26.3			25.89(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-10000	-28	-93	2.16	45%	0.04	-31.4	0.52%	0	-2.6	38	0
19	Mar_1_2007	26.12	26.66	26.68	26.49			26.3(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-21	-10000	-16	-35	2.12	52%	0.04	-12	0.48%	0	-1.6	45	0
20	Feb_28_2007	26.11	26.68	26.73	26.59			26.3(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-18	-6	2.06	53%	0.04	-1.3	0.49%	0	-1.9	43	0

21	Feb_27_2007	26.1	26.7	26.76	26.71			26.2(-2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-15	-10000	-26	17	4.68	48%	0.04	14.1	0.49%	0	-2.6	38	0
22	Feb_26_2007	26.09	26.72	26.79	26.88			26.81(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-3	70	0.99	59%	0.08	48.2	0.42%	0	0.6	54	0
23	Feb_23_2007	26.07	26.7	26.77	26.9			26.82(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-2	63	1.36	59%	0.04	46.7	0.43%	0	0.8	50	0
24	Feb_22_2007	26.06	26.7	26.74	26.91			26.8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	17	-10000	3	60	2.05	59%	0.08	48.3	0.43%	0	0.7	51	0
25	Feb_21_2007	26.04	26.69	26.72	26.89			26.9(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	12	58	0.84	59%		48.3	0.43%	0	1.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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