Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.7100 (0.6%) ($26.5900 - $26.7400) on Wed. Feb. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $26.7100(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.21% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.56(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.63(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.61(0.38%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.34% (three month std-dev: 0.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2007	25.97		26.63	26.56			26.71(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	4	-3	1.68	63%	0.04	8.8	0.42%	0	1.1	57	0
2	Feb_13_2007	25.96		26.63	26.54			26.55(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-4	-16	0.77	60%	0.04	20.6	0.42%	0	-0.7	41	0
3	Feb_12_2007	25.95		26.62	26.56			26.46(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0.92	60%	0.08	47.1	0.42%	0	-1.7	43	0
4	Feb_9_2007	25.93		26.62	26.61			26.52(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-10	-1	0.78	57%	0.04	93.3	0.42%	0	-1.1	48	0
5	Feb_8_2007	25.92	26.61	26.62	26.67			26.56(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-7	10	1.84	57%	0.04	126.7	0.42%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	Feb_7_2007	25.91	26.6	26.64	26.71			26.61(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-2	23	1.71	57%	0.04	113.2	0.42%	0	0.1	53	0
7	Feb_6_2007	25.9	26.59	26.65	26.72			26.67(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	5	35	1.56	57%	0.04	93.9	0.42%	0	0.6	53	0
8	Feb_5_2007	25.89	26.57	26.64	26.69			26.71(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	5	33	1.2	57%	0.04	76.8	0.42%	0	0.9	59	0
9	Feb_2_2007	25.88	26.54	26.63	26.66			26.8(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	11	30	1.11	54%	0.04	59.4	0.42%	0	1.5	65	0
10	Feb_1_2007	25.87	26.51	26.61	26.6			26.75(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	14	2.73	50%	0.04	54.7	0.42%	0	1.4	60	0

11	Jan_31_2007	25.86	26.49	26.61	26.56			26.65(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-4	8	1.86	50%	0.04	58.3	0.44%	0	1	66	0
12	Jan_30_2007	25.85	26.46	26.61	26.58			26.54(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-2	33	2.55	50%	0.04	63.3	0.43%	0	0.5	67	0
13	Jan_29_2007	25.84	26.45	26.59	26.59			26.56(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-2	54	1.69	50%	0.04	67.2	0.44%	0	0.6	70	0
14	Jan_26_2007	25.83	26.44	26.58	26.6			26.49(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-4	72	3.11	53%	0.04	69.1	0.44%	0	0.3	70	0
15	Jan_25_2007	25.82	26.42	26.59	26.6			26.56(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	0	91	2.78	56%	0.08	73.6	0.45%	0	0.7	60	0

16	Jan_24_2007	25.8	26.4	26.57	26.62			26.73(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	4	100	2.09	59%	0.04	75	0.44%	0	1.7	70	0
17	Jan_23_2007	25.79	26.37	26.52	26.6			26.63(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	4	101	0.65	62%	0.04	75	0.44%	0	1.4	73	0
18	Jan_22_2007	25.78	26.34	26.48	26.58			26.58(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	2	89	2.14	62%	0.04	76.9	0.46%	0	1.4	63	0
19	Jan_19_2007	25.77	26.31	26.44	26.57			26.61(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	83	0.77	62%	0.04	72.1	0.46%	0	1.7	64	0
20	Jan_18_2007	25.76	26.28	26.41	26.55			26.57(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	7	90	0.66	62%	0.04	69.1	0.46%	0	1.6	66	0

21	Jan_17_2007	25.75	26.26	26.38	26.51			26.61(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	11	92	1.57	62%	0.04	64.6	0.46%	0	2.1	70	0
22	Jan_16_2007	25.74	26.23	26.33	26.44			26.53(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	12	74	1.94	62%	0.08	60.7	0.46%	0	1.9	67	0
23	Jan_12_2007	25.72	26.21	26.3	26.37			26.51(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	13	64	1.35	62%	0.04	52.6	0.46%	0	2	67	0
24	Jan_11_2007	25.71	26.18	26.27	26.29			26.55(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18	-10000	7	51	1.87	62%	0.08	46	0.46%	0	2.8	70	0
25	Jan_10_2007	25.69	26.16	26.23	26.25			26.35(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	2	45	1.04	59%		57.9	0.45%	0	1.9	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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