Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 23, 2007

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.6300 (0.19%) ($26.5400 - $26.6900) on Tue. Jan. 23, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $26.6300(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.6(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.52(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.37(0.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2007	25.79	26.37	26.52	26.6			26.63(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	4	101	0.65	62%	0.04	75	0.44%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Jan_22_2007	25.78	26.34	26.48	26.58			26.58(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	2	89	2.14	62%	0.04	76.9	0.46%	0	1.4	63	0
3	Jan_19_2007	25.77	26.31	26.44	26.57			26.61(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	83	0.77	62%	0.04	72.1	0.46%	0	1.7	64	0
4	Jan_18_2007	25.76	26.28	26.41	26.55			26.57(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	7	90	0.66	62%	0.04	69.1	0.46%	0	1.6	66	0
5	Jan_17_2007	25.75	26.26	26.38	26.51			26.61(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	11	92	1.57	62%	0.04	64.6	0.46%	0	2.1	70	0

6	Jan_16_2007	25.74	26.23	26.33	26.44			26.53(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	12	74	1.94	62%	0.08	60.7	0.46%	0	1.9	67	0
7	Jan_12_2007	25.72	26.21	26.3	26.37			26.51(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	13	64	1.35	62%	0.04	52.6	0.46%	0	2	67	0
8	Jan_11_2007	25.71	26.18	26.27	26.29			26.55(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18	-10000	7	51	1.87	62%	0.08	46	0.46%	0	2.8	70	0
9	Jan_10_2007	25.69	26.16	26.23	26.25			26.35(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	2	45	1.04	59%	0.04	57.9	0.45%	0	1.9	66	0
10	Jan_9_2007	25.68	26.15	26.21	26.24			26.24(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	5	45	2.44	59%	0.04	88.2	0.45%	0	1	60	0

11	Jan_8_2007	25.67	26.15	26.19	26.21			26.18(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-4	32	0.97	59%	0.04	102.9	0.45%	0	0.6	51	0
12	Jan_5_2007	25.66	26.13	26.19	26.23			26.14(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-3	38	1.36	57%	0.04	126.5	0.46%	0	0.1	55	0
13	Jan_4_2007	25.65	26.12	26.18	26.25			26.33(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	5	50	0.85	64%	0.04	161.8	0.45%	0	2.3	65	0
14	Jan_3_2007	25.64	26.1	26.15	26.22			26.29(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	8	38	2.06	64%	0.12	193.5	0.47%	0	2.4	58	0
15	Dec_29_2006	25.61	26.07	26.12	26.22			26.12(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	0	23	0.96	58%	0.04	98.1	0.47%	0	0.4	54	0

16	Dec_28_2006	25.6	26.04	26.13	26.17			26.25(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	7	30	0.74	61%	0.08	75.4	0.46%	0	1.2	67	0
17	Dec_27_2006	25.58	26.02	26.11	26.13			26.26(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	6	20	0.98	63%	0.08	66.7	0.47%	0	1.3	62	0
18	Dec_26_2006	25.56	25.98	26.11	26.09			26.17(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	3	9	0.55	63%	0.08	48.1	0.47%	0	1	60	0
19	Dec_22_2006	25.54	25.95	26.11	26.09			26.07(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	0	10	0.51	60%	0.04	29.2	0.47%	0	0.5	64	0
20	Dec_21_2006	25.53	25.93	26.08	26.07			26.09(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-2	34	2.01	56%	0.08	27	0.47%	0	0.7	79	0

21	Dec_20_2006	25.51	25.92	26.08	26.08			26.08(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	2	55	0.78	58%	0.04	31.5	0.49%	0	0.7	73	0
22	Dec_19_2006	25.5	25.9	26.08	26.08			26.06(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10000	0	67	1.17	58%	0.08	37.6	0.49%	0	0.7	64	0
23	Dec_18_2006	25.48	25.89	26.07	26.07			26.04(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-3	91	1.14	58%	0.04	44.7	0.49%	0	0.7	70	0
24	Dec_15_2006	25.47	25.88	26.06	26.07			26.06(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	0	119	3.58	58%	0.08	55.3	0.49%	0	0.8	73	0
25	Dec_14_2006	25.45	25.87	26.01	26.09			26.15(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	5	114	0.74	58%		65.4	0.5%	0	1.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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