Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.2900 (0.65%) ($26.0700 - $26.4100) on Wed. Jan. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $26.2900(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.22(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.15(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.1(0.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.31% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2007	25.64	26.1	26.15	26.22			26.29(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	8	38	2.06	64%	0.12	193.5	0.47%	0	2.4	58	0
2	Dec_29_2006	25.61	26.07	26.12	26.22			26.12(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	0	23	0.96	58%	0.04	98.1	0.47%	0	0.4	54	0
3	Dec_28_2006	25.6	26.04	26.13	26.17			26.25(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	7	30	0.74	61%	0.08	75.4	0.46%	0	1.2	67	0
4	Dec_27_2006	25.58	26.02	26.11	26.13			26.26(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	6	20	0.98	63%	0.08	66.7	0.47%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Dec_26_2006	25.56	25.98	26.11	26.09			26.17(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	3	9	0.55	63%	0.08	48.1	0.47%	0	1	60	0

6	Dec_22_2006	25.54	25.95	26.11	26.09			26.07(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	0	10	0.51	60%	0.04	29.2	0.47%	0	0.5	64	0
7	Dec_21_2006	25.53	25.93	26.08	26.07			26.09(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-2	34	2.01	56%	0.08	27	0.47%	0	0.7	79	0
8	Dec_20_2006	25.51	25.92	26.08	26.08			26.08(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	2	55	0.78	58%	0.04	31.5	0.49%	0	0.7	73	0
9	Dec_19_2006	25.5	25.9	26.08	26.08			26.06(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10000	0	67	1.17	58%	0.08	37.6	0.49%	0	0.7	64	0
10	Dec_18_2006	25.48	25.89	26.07	26.07			26.04(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	-3	91	1.14	58%	0.04	44.7	0.49%	0	0.7	70	0

11	Dec_15_2006	25.47	25.88	26.06	26.07			26.06(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	0	119	3.58	58%	0.08	55.3	0.49%	0	0.8	73	0
12	Dec_14_2006	25.45	25.87	26.01	26.09			26.15(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	5	114	0.74	58%	0.04	65.4	0.5%	0	1.3	61	0
13	Dec_13_2006	25.44	25.84	25.96	26.06			26.05(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	23	-10000	-2	98	2.53	55%	0.08	61.7	0.5%	0	1	55	0
14	Dec_12_2006	25.42	25.82	25.93	26.07			26.06(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	2	100	1.31	55%	0.04	61.7	0.51%	0	1.1	57	0
15	Dec_11_2006	25.41	25.79	25.87	26.06			26.12(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	6	91	0.55	57%	0.08	60.5	0.51%	0	1.6	57	0

16	Dec_8_2006	25.39	25.76	25.81	26.02			26.07(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	16	65	1.68	57%	0.04	59	0.51%	0	1.5	53	0
17	Dec_7_2006	25.38	25.73	25.77	25.91			26.02(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	12	31	0.71	57%	0.08	45.9	0.52%	0	1.5	53	0
18	Dec_6_2006	25.36	25.71	25.75	25.83			26.07(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	10	17	0.87	57%	0.08	37.1	0.52%	0	2	60	0
19	Dec_5_2006	25.34	25.69	25.71	25.76			26.04(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	-10000	15	12	1.18	57%	0.08	24.2	0.52%	0	2.2	62	0
20	Dec_4_2006	25.32	25.66	25.71	25.66			25.9(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	11	-10000	15	-1	1.08	56%	0.08	-1.8	0.52%	0	1.7	62	0

21	Dec_1_2006	25.3	25.66	25.68	25.56			25.53(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.89	51%	0.04	-36.4	0.49%	0	-0.8	51	0
22	Nov_30_2006	25.29	25.64	25.71	25.6			25.61(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-10000	-8	2	1.16	51%	0.04	-43.6	0.49%	0	-0.2	53	0
23	Nov_29_2006	25.28	25.64	25.72	25.6			25.74(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	16	1.2	53%	0.04	-43.6	0.48%	0	0.6	51	0
24	Nov_28_2006	25.27	25.65	25.72	25.65			25.52(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-10	13	1.84	50%	0.04	-38.2	0.47%	0	-0.9	49	0
25	Nov_27_2006	25.26	25.67	25.7	25.71			25.41(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-8	-10000	-17	21	2.51	50%		-25.5	0.47%	0	-1.9	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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